heat flux
Aggregation of Published Non-Uniform Axial Power Data for Phase II of the OECD/NEA AI/ML Critical Heat Flux Benchmark
Bourisaw, Reece, McCants, Reid, Corre, Jean-Marie Le, Iskhakova, Anna, Iskhakov, Arsen S.
Critical heat flux (CHF) marks the onset of boiling crisis in light-water reactors, defining safe thermal-hydraulic operating limits. To support Phase II of the OECD/NEA AI/ML CHF benchmark, which introduces spatially varying power profiles, this work compiles and digitizes a broad CHF dataset covering both uniform and non-uniform axial heating conditions. Heating profiles were extracted from technical reports, interpolated onto a consistent axial mesh, validated via energy-balance checks, and encoded in machine-readable formats for benchmark compatibility. Classical CHF correlations exhibit substantial errors under uniform heating and degrade markedly when applied to non-uniform profiles, while modern tabular methods offer improved but still imperfect predictions. A neural network trained solely on uniform data performs well in that regime but fails to generalize to spatially varying scenarios, underscoring the need for models that explicitly incorporate axial power distributions. By providing these curated datasets and baseline modeling results, this study lays the groundwork for advanced transfer-learning strategies, rigorous uncertainty quantification, and design-optimization efforts in the next phase of the CHF benchmark.
- North America > United States > Kansas > Riley County > Manhattan (0.04)
- North America > United States > Florida > Palm Beach County > Boca Raton (0.04)
- Europe > United Kingdom > England (0.04)
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- Energy > Oil & Gas > Upstream (1.00)
- Energy > Renewable (0.92)
- Energy > Power Industry > Utilities > Nuclear (0.92)
- Government > Regional Government > North America Government > United States Government (0.67)
Data-Driven Probabilistic Air-Sea Flux Parameterization
Wu, Jiarong, Perezhogin, Pavel, Gagne, David John, Reichl, Brandon, Subramanian, Aneesh C., Thompson, Elizabeth, Zanna, Laure
Accurately quantifying air-sea fluxes is important for understanding air-sea interactions and improving coupled weather and climate systems. This study introduces a probabilistic framework to represent the highly variable nature of air-sea fluxes, which is missing in deterministic bulk algorithms. Assuming Gaussian distributions conditioned on the input variables, we use artificial neural networks and eddy-covariance measurement data to estimate the mean and variance by minimizing negative log-likelihood loss. The trained neural networks provide alternative mean flux estimates to existing bulk algorithms, and quantify the uncertainty around the mean estimates. Stochastic parameterization of air-sea turbulent fluxes can be constructed by sampling from the predicted distributions. Tests in a single-column forced upper-ocean model suggest that changes in flux algorithms influence sea surface temperature and mixed layer depth seasonally. The ensemble spread in stochastic runs is most pronounced during spring restratification.
- North America > United States > Colorado > Boulder County > Boulder (0.14)
- Southern Ocean (0.04)
- Pacific Ocean > North Pacific Ocean (0.04)
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How does ion temperature gradient turbulence depend on magnetic geometry? Insights from data and machine learning
Landreman, Matt, Choi, Jong Youl, Alves, Caio, Balaprakash, Prasanna, Churchill, R. Michael, Conlin, Rory, Roberg-Clark, Gareth
Magnetic geometry has a significant effect on the level of turbulent transport in fusion plasmas. Here, we model and analyze this dependence using multiple machine learning methods and a dataset of > 200,000 nonlinear simulations of ion-temperature-gradient turbulence in diverse non-axisymmetric geometries. The dataset is generated using a large collection of both optimized and randomly generated stellarator equilibria. At fixed gradients, the turbulent heat flux varies between geometries by several orders of magnitude. Trends are apparent among the configurations with particularly high or low heat flux. Regression and classification techniques from machine learning are then applied to extract patterns in the dataset. Due to a symmetry of the gyrokinetic equation, the heat flux and regressions thereof should be invariant to translations of the raw features in the parallel coordinate, similar to translation invariance in computer vision applications. Multiple regression models including convolutional neural networks (CNNs) and decision trees can achieve reasonable predictive power for the heat flux in held-out test configurations, with highest accuracy for the CNNs. Using Spearman correlation, sequential feature selection, and Shapley values to measure feature importance, it is consistently found that the most important geometric lever on the heat flux is the flux surface compression in regions of bad curvature. The second most important feature relates to the magnitude of geodesic curvature. These two features align remarkably with surrogates that have been proposed based on theory, while the methods here allow a natural extension to more features for increased accuracy. The dataset, released with this publication, may also be used to test other proposed surrogates, and we find many previously published proxies do correlate well with both the heat flux and stability boundary.
- North America > United States > Maryland > Prince George's County > College Park (0.14)
- North America > United States > Tennessee > Anderson County > Oak Ridge (0.04)
- North America > United States > New Jersey > Mercer County > Princeton (0.04)
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- Energy (1.00)
- Government > Regional Government > North America Government > United States Government (0.45)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Machine Learning > Statistical Learning > Regression (0.66)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Machine Learning > Neural Networks > Deep Learning (0.66)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Machine Learning > Performance Analysis > Accuracy (0.46)
Decrypting the temperature field in flow boiling with latent diffusion models
Na, UngJin, Seo, JunYoung, Kim, Taeil, Jeon, ByongGuk, Jo, HangJin
Flow boiling plays an important role in enhancing the performance of thermal management systems, including refrigeration, microelectronics cooling, nuclear power plants, and nuclear fission reactors [1, 2]. This phenomenon involves a fluid absorbing heat and undergoing a phase change from liquid to vapor, while supplied with the advection of the bulk flow, significantly boosting the heat transfer efficiency through the utilization of latent heat. The initiation of the phase change is known as the onset of nucleate boiling (ONB) [3]. However, when the liquid fails to rewet the surface, the surface becomes entirely covered by a vapor layer, leading to a significant reduction in heat transfer efficiency. This phenomenon is known as the departure from nucleate boiling (DNB) [4]. The heat transfer process between the ONB and the DNB points can be described using the RPI wall boiling model [5].
- Asia > South Korea > Gyeongsangbuk-do > Pohang (0.05)
- Asia > South Korea > Daejeon > Daejeon (0.04)
Improved Forecasts of Global Extreme Marine Heatwaves Through a Physics-guided Data-driven Approach
Shu, Ruiqi, Wu, Hao, Gao, Yuan, Xu, Fanghua, Gou, Ruijian, Huang, Xiaomeng
The unusually warm sea surface temperature events known as marine heatwaves (MHWs) have a profound impact on marine ecosystems. Accurate prediction of extreme MHWs has significant scientific and financial worth. However, existing methods still have certain limitations, especially in the most extreme MHWs. In this study, to address these issues, based on the physical nature of MHWs, we created a novel deep learning neural network that is capable of accurate 10-day MHW forecasting. Our framework significantly improves the forecast ability of extreme MHWs through two specially designed modules inspired by numerical models: a coupler and a probabilistic data argumentation. The coupler simulates the driving effect of atmosphere on MHWs while the probabilistic data argumentation approaches significantly boost the forecast ability of extreme MHWs based on the idea of ensemble forecast. Compared with traditional numerical prediction, our framework has significantly higher accuracy and requires fewer computational resources. What's more, explainable AI methods show that wind forcing is the primary driver of MHW evolution and reveal its relation with air-sea heat exchange. Overall, our model provides a framework for understanding MHWs' driving processes and operational forecasts in the future.
- Pacific Ocean > North Pacific Ocean > South China Sea (0.04)
- Oceania > Australia > Western Australia (0.04)
- Pacific Ocean > South Pacific Ocean > Coral Sea (0.04)
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Samudra: An AI Global Ocean Emulator for Climate
Dheeshjith, Surya, Subel, Adam, Adcroft, Alistair, Busecke, Julius, Fernandez-Granda, Carlos, Gupta, Shubham, Zanna, Laure
AI emulators for forecasting have emerged as powerful tools that can outperform conventional numerical predictions. The next frontier is to build emulators for long climate simulations with skill across a range of spatiotemporal scales, a particularly important goal for the ocean. Our work builds a skillful global emulator of the ocean component of a state-of-the-art climate model. We emulate key ocean variables, sea surface height, horizontal velocities, temperature, and salinity, across their full depth. We use a modified ConvNeXt UNet architecture trained on multidepth levels of ocean data. We show that the ocean emulator - Samudra - which exhibits no drift relative to the truth, can reproduce the depth structure of ocean variables and their interannual variability. Samudra is stable for centuries and 150 times faster than the original ocean model. Samudra struggles to capture the correct magnitude of the forcing trends and simultaneously remains stable, requiring further work.
- Southern Ocean (0.04)
- North America > United States > New York (0.04)
- Europe > Germany > Bavaria > Upper Bavaria > Munich (0.04)
The untapped potential of electrically-driven phase transition actuators to power innovative soft robot designs
In the quest for electrically-driven soft actuators, the focus has shifted away from liquid-gas phase transition, commonly associated with reduced strain rates and actuation delays, in favour of electrostatic and other electrothermal actuation methods. This prevented the technology from capitalizing on its unique characteristics, particularly: low voltage operation, controllability, scalability, and ease of integration into robots. Here, we introduce a phase transition electric soft actuator capable of strain rates of over 16%/s and pressurization rates of 100 kPa/s, approximately one order of magnitude higher than previous attempts. Blocked forces exceeding 50 N were achieved while operating at voltages up to 24 V. We propose a method for selecting working fluids which allows for application-specific optimization, together with a nonlinear control approach that reduces both parasitic vibrations and control lag. We demonstrate the integration of this technology in soft robotic systems, including the first quadruped robot powered by liquid-gas phase transition.
- Energy > Oil & Gas > Upstream (0.68)
- Materials > Chemicals > Commodity Chemicals > Petrochemicals > Polymers & Plastics (0.47)
Accelerating the discovery of steady-states of planetary interior dynamics with machine learning
Agarwal, Siddhant, Tosi, Nicola, Hüttig, Christian, Greenberg, David S., Bekar, Ali Can
Simulating mantle convection often requires reaching a computationally expensive steady-state, crucial for deriving scaling laws for thermal and dynamical flow properties and benchmarking numerical solutions. The strong temperature dependence of the rheology of mantle rocks causes viscosity variations of several orders of magnitude, leading to a slow-evolving stagnant lid where heat conduction dominates, overlying a rapidly-evolving and strongly convecting region. Time-stepping methods, while effective for fluids with constant viscosity, are hindered by the Courant criterion, which restricts the time step based on the system's maximum velocity and grid size. Consequently, achieving steady-state requires a large number of time steps due to the disparate time scales governing the stagnant and convecting regions. We present a concept for accelerating mantle convection simulations using machine learning. We generate a dataset of 128 two-dimensional simulations with mixed basal and internal heating, and pressure- and temperature-dependent viscosity. We train a feedforward neural network on 97 simulations to predict steady-state temperature profiles. These can then be used to initialize numerical time stepping methods for different simulation parameters. Compared to typical initializations, the number of time steps required to reach steady-state is reduced by a median factor of 3.75. The benefit of this method lies in requiring very few simulations to train on, providing a solution with no prediction error as we initialize a numerical method, and posing minimal computational overhead at inference time. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach and discuss the potential implications for accelerated simulations for advancing mantle convection research.
Climate-Invariant Machine Learning
Beucler, Tom, Gentine, Pierre, Yuval, Janni, Gupta, Ankitesh, Peng, Liran, Lin, Jerry, Yu, Sungduk, Rasp, Stephan, Ahmed, Fiaz, O'Gorman, Paul A., Neelin, J. David, Lutsko, Nicholas J., Pritchard, Michael
Projecting climate change is a generalization problem: we extrapolate the recent past using physical models across past, present, and future climates. Current climate models require representations of processes that occur at scales smaller than model grid size, which have been the main source of model projection uncertainty. Recent machine learning (ML) algorithms hold promise to improve such process representations, but tend to extrapolate poorly to climate regimes they were not trained on. To get the best of the physical and statistical worlds, we propose a new framework - termed "climate-invariant" ML - incorporating knowledge of climate processes into ML algorithms, and show that it can maintain high offline accuracy across a wide range of climate conditions and configurations in three distinct atmospheric models. Our results suggest that explicitly incorporating physical knowledge into data-driven models of Earth system processes can improve their consistency, data efficiency, and generalizability across climate regimes.
- North America > United States > California > Los Angeles County > Los Angeles (0.28)
- Europe > United Kingdom > England > Cambridgeshire > Cambridge (0.14)
- Europe > Switzerland (0.14)
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