Designing institutions for social-ecological systems requires models that capture heterogeneity, uncertainty, and strategic interaction. Multiple modeling approaches have emerged to meet this challenge, including empirical game-theoretic analysis (EGTA), which merges ABM's scale and diversity with game-theoretic models' formal equilibrium analysis. The newly popular class of LLM-driven simulations provides yet another approach, and it is not clear how these approaches can be integrated with one another, nor whether the resulting simulations produce a plausible range of behaviours for real-world social-ecological governance. To address this gap, we compare four LLM-augmented frameworks: procedural ABMs, generative ABMs, LLM-EGTA, and expert guided LLM-EGTA, and evaluate them on a real-world case study of irrigation and fishing in the Amu Darya basin under centralized and decentralized governance. Our results show: first, procedural ABMs, generative ABMs, and LLM-augmented EGTA models produce strikingly different patterns of collective behaviour, highlighting the value of methodological diversity. Second, inducing behaviour through system prompts in LLMs is less effective than shaping behaviour through parameterized payoffs in an expert-guided EGTA-based model.

These magnificent rays are at risk of disappearing due to targeted fishing, being caught as bycatch, and climate change. Scientists at the research collaboration Mobula Conservation are teaming up with artisanal and industrial fishermen to protect them. Also known as "Devil Rays," mobulas are elasmobranchs: a subclass of fish--including sharks, skates, and sawfish--that are distinguished by having skeletons primarily made from cartilage. More than a third of the species in this group are threatened with extinction. Of the nine species of mobulas, seven are endangered and two are vulnerable according to the International Union for Conservation of Nature.

Pruning offers a promising solution to mitigate the associated costs and environmental impact of deploying large deep neural networks (DNNs). Traditional approaches rely on computationally expensive trained models or time-consuming iterative prune-retrain cycles, undermining their utility in resource-constrained settings. To address this issue, we build upon the established principles of saliency (LeCun et al., 1989) and connection sensitivity (Lee et al., 2018) to tackle the challenging problem of one-shot pruning neural networks (NNs) before training (PBT) at initialization. We introduce Fisher-Taylor Sensitivity (FTS), a computationally cheap and efficient pruning criterion based on the empirical Fisher Information Matrix (FIM) diagonal, offering a viable alternative for integrating first- and second-order information to identify a model's structurally important parameters. Although the FIM-Hessian equivalency only holds for convergent models that maximize the likelihood, recent studies (Karakida et al., 2019) suggest that, even at initialization, the FIM captures essential geometric information of parameters in overparameterized NNs, providing the basis for our method. Finally, we demonstrate empirically that layer collapse, a critical limitation of data-dependent pruning methodologies, is easily overcome by pruning within a single training epoch after initialization. We perform experiments on ResNet18 and VGG19 with CIFAR-10 and CIFAR-100, widely used benchmarks in pruning research. Our method achieves competitive performance against state-of-the-art techniques for one-shot PBT, even under extreme sparsity conditions. Our code is made available to the public.

There is an increasing need for effective active learning algorithms that are compatible with deep neural networks. This paper motivates and revisits a classic, Fisher-based active selection objective, and proposes BAIT, a practical, tractable, and high-performing algorithm that makes it viable for use with neural models. BAIT draws inspiration from the theoretical analysis of maximum likelihood estimators (MLE) for parametric models. It selects batches of samples by optimizing a bound on the MLE error in terms of the Fisher information, which we show can be implemented efficiently at scale by exploiting linear-algebraic structure especially amenable to execution on modern hardware. Our experiments demonstrate that BAIT outperforms the previous state of the art on both classification and regression problems, and is flexible enough to be used with a variety of model architectures.

Recent works have extended notions of feature importance to \emph{semantic concepts} that are inherently interpretable to the users interacting with a black-box predictive model. Yet, precise statistical guarantees, such as false positive rate control, are needed to communicate findings transparently and to avoid unintended consequences in real-world scenarios. In this paper, we formalize the global (i.e., over a population) and local (i.e., for a sample) statistical importance of semantic concepts for the predictions of opaque models, by means of conditional independence, which allows for rigorous testing. We use recent ideas of sequential kernelized testing (SKIT) to induce a rank of importance across concepts, and showcase the effectiveness and flexibility of our framework on synthetic datasets as well as on image classification tasks using vision-language models such as CLIP.

Fox News Flash top headlines are here. Check out what's clicking on Foxnews.com. Bad weather Tuesday was hampering the search for two men who went over a waterfall while fishing in the Boundary Waters Canoe Area Wilderness of northern Minnesota over the weekend. Nate Skelton told the Star Tribune of Minneapolis that the cloud cover was too low for aerial surveillance and up to 2 inches of rain was anticipated, so the next two days were not promising. Skelton said a search crew was camping on site, waiting for conditions to improve in the remote area, about 100 miles north of Duluth.

Humans are racing to harness the ocean's vast potential to power global economic growth. Worldwide, ocean-based industries such as fishing, shipping and energy production generate at least US 1.5 trillion in economic activity each year and support 31 million jobs. This value has been increasing exponentially over the past 50 years and is expected to double by 2030. Transparency in monitoring this "blue acceleration" is crucial to prevent environmental degradation, overexploitation of fisheries and marine resources, and lawless behavior such as illegal fishing and human trafficking. Open information also will make countries better able to manage vital ocean resources effectively. But the sheer size of the ocean has made tracking industrial activities at a broad scale impractical – until now.

Fox News Flash top headlines are here. Check out what's clicking on Foxnews.com. U.S. Ambassador to Japan Rahm Emanuel accused China on Friday of using "economic coercion" against Japan by banning imports of Japanese seafood in response to the release of treated wastewater from the damaged Fukushima nuclear plant into the ocean, while Chinese boats continue to fish off Japan's coasts. "Economic coercion is the most persistent and pernicious tool in their economic toolbox," Emanuel said in a speech Friday in Tokyo, calling China's ban on Japanese seafood the latest example. China is the biggest market for Japanese seafood, and the ban has badly hurt Japan's fishing industry.

Originally published on Towards AI the World's Leading AI and Technology News and Media Company. If you are building an AI-related product or service, we invite you to consider becoming an AI sponsor. At Towards AI, we help scale AI and technology startups. Let us help you unleash your technology to the masses. In past posts, I have shown several ways to apply Bayesian analysis for mostly normally distributed data.