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GeMA: Learning Latent Manifold Frontiers for Benchmarking Complex Systems

Li, Jia Ming, Anupriya, null, Graham, Daniel J.

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Benchmarking the performance of complex systems such as rail networks, renewable generation assets and national economies is central to transport planning, regulation and macroeconomic analysis. Classical frontier methods, notably Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) and Stochastic Frontier Analysis (SFA), estimate an efficient frontier in the observed input-output space and define efficiency as distance to this frontier, but rely on restrictive assumptions on the production set and only indirectly address heterogeneity and scale effects. We propose Geometric Manifold Analysis (GeMA), a latent manifold frontier framework implemented via a productivity-manifold variational autoencoder (ProMan-VAE). Instead of specifying a frontier function in the observed space, GeMA represents the production set as the boundary of a low-dimensional manifold embedded in the joint input-output space. A split-head encoder learns latent variables that capture technological structure and operational inefficiency. Efficiency is evaluated with respect to the learned manifold, endogenous peer groups arise as clusters in latent technology space, a quotient construction supports scale-invariant benchmarking, and a local certification radius, derived from the decoder Jacobian and a Lipschitz bound, quantifies the geometric robustness of efficiency scores. We validate GeMA on synthetic data with non-convex frontiers, heterogeneous technologies and scale bias, and on four real-world case studies: global urban rail systems (COMET), British rail operators (ORR), national economies (Penn World Table) and a high-frequency wind-farm dataset. Across these domains GeMA behaves comparably to established methods when classical assumptions hold, and provides additional insight in settings with pronounced heterogeneity, non-convexity or size-related bias.



Metal detectorist finds medieval pendant with a Roman 'secret'

Popular Science

Science Archaeology Metal detectorist finds medieval pendant with a Roman'secret' The discovery is an artifact within an artifact. Breakthroughs, discoveries, and DIY tips sent six days a week. A discovery on a farm in Essex, England, is a bit of an archaeological version of the 2010 film . In September 2024, a metal detectorist scouring a farm about 45 miles northeast of London found a silver, oval pendant measuring about one-inch-long. The piece included an inscribed frame of mirrored Latin text that allowed for wax impressions.


Peer-to-Peer Energy Trading in Dairy Farms using Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning

Shah, Mian Ibad Ali, Victorio, Marcos Eduardo Cruz, Duffy, Maeve, Barrett, Enda, Mason, Karl

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The integration of renewable energy resources in rural areas, such as dairy farming communities, enables decentralized energy management through Peer-to-Peer (P2P) energy trading. This research highlights the role of P2P trading in efficient energy distribution and its synergy with advanced optimization techniques. While traditional rule-based methods perform well under stable conditions, they struggle in dynamic environments. To address this, Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning (MARL), specifically Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO) and Deep Q-Networks (DQN), is combined with community/distributed P2P trading mechanisms. By incorporating auction-based market clearing, a price advisor agent, and load and battery management, the approach achieves significant improvements. Results show that, compared to baseline models, DQN reduces electricity costs by 14.2% in Ireland and 5.16% in Finland, while increasing electricity revenue by 7.24% and 12.73%, respectively. PPO achieves the lowest peak hour demand, reducing it by 55.5% in Ireland, while DQN reduces peak hour demand by 50.0% in Ireland and 27.02% in Finland. These improvements are attributed to both MARL algorithms and P2P energy trading, which together results in electricity cost and peak hour demand reduction, and increase electricity selling revenue. This study highlights the complementary strengths of DQN, PPO, and P2P trading in achieving efficient, adaptable, and sustainable energy management in rural communities.


Prediction of Herd Life in Dairy Cows Using Multi-Head Attention Transformers

Saki, Mahdi, Lipman, Justin

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Dairy farmers should decide to keep or cull a cow based on an objective assessment of her likely performance in the herd. For this purpose, farmers need to identify more resilient cows, which can cope better with farm conditions and complete more lactations. This decision-making process is inherently complex, with significant environmental and economic implications. In this study, we develop an AI-driven model to predict cow longevity using historical multivariate time-series data recorded from birth. Leveraging advanced AI techniques, specifically Multi-Head Attention Transformers, we analysed approximately 780,000 records from 19,000 unique cows across 7 farms in Australia. The results demonstrate that our model achieves an overall determination coefficient of 83% in predicting herd life across the studied farms, highlighting its potential for practical application in dairy herd management.


Poultry Farm Intelligence: An Integrated Multi-Sensor AI Platform for Enhanced Welfare and Productivity

Panagi, Pieris, Karatsiolis, Savvas, Mosphilis, Kyriacos, Hadjisavvas, Nicholas, Kamilaris, Andreas, Nicolaou, Nicolas, Stavrakis, Efstathios, Vassiliades, Vassilis

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Poultry farming faces increasing pressure to meet productivity targets while ensuring animal welfare and environmental compliance. Yet many small and medium-sized farms lack affordable, integrated tools for continuous monitoring and decision-making, relying instead on manual, reactive inspections. This paper presents Poultry Farm Intelligence (PoultryFI) - a modular, cost-effective platform that integrates six AI-powered modules: Camera Placement Optimizer, Audio-Visual Monitoring, Analytics & Alerting, Real-Time Egg Counting, Production & Profitability Forecasting, and a Recommendation Module. Camera layouts are first optimized offline using evolutionary algorithms for full poultry house coverage with minimal hardware. The Audio-Visual Monitoring module extracts welfare indicators from synchronized video, audio, and feeding data. Analytics & Alerting produces daily summaries and real-time notifications, while Real-Time Egg Counting uses an edge vision model to automate production tracking. Forecasting models predict egg yield and feed consumption up to 10 days in advance, and the Recommendation Module integrates forecasts with weather data to guide environmental and operational adjustments. This is among the first systems to combine low-cost sensing, edge analytics, and prescriptive AI to continuously monitor flocks, predict production, and optimize performance. Field trials demonstrate 100% egg-count accuracy on Raspberry Pi 5, robust anomaly detection, and reliable short-term forecasting. PoultryFI bridges the gap between isolated pilot tools and scalable, farm-wide intelligence, empowering producers to proactively safeguard welfare and profitability.


Hierarchical Federated Learning for Crop Yield Prediction in Smart Agricultural Production Systems

Abouaomar, Anas, hanjri, Mohammed El, Kobbane, Abdellatif, Laouiti, Anis, Nafil, Khalid

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this paper, we presents a novel hierarchical federated learning architecture specifically designed for smart agricultural production systems and crop yield prediction. Our approach introduces a seasonal subscription mechanism where farms join crop-specific clusters at the beginning of each agricultural season. The proposed three-layer architecture consists of individual smart farms at the client level, crop-specific aggregators at the middle layer, and a global model aggregator at the top level. Within each crop cluster, clients collaboratively train specialized models tailored to specific crop types, which are then aggregated to produce a higher-level global model that integrates knowledge across multiple crops. This hierarchical design enables both local specialization for individual crop types and global generalization across diverse agricultural contexts while preserving data privacy and reducing communication overhead. Experiments demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed system, showing that local and crop-layer models closely follow actual yield patterns with consistent alignment, significantly outperforming standard machine learning models. The results validate the advantages of hierarchical federated learning in the agricultural context, particularly for scenarios involving heterogeneous farming environments and privacy-sensitive agricultural data.


Inside the making of a world-class corn maze

Popular Science

In Indiana, Exploration Acres found a way to keep the family farm alive. Exploration Acres has operated its award-winning corn maze for almost 20 years. Breakthroughs, discoveries, and DIY tips sent every weekday. The adage refers to a farmer's goal for their crops if they hope to make the October harvest. And while most Midwesterners are familiar with the axiom, Tim Fitzgerald knows the folksy refrain lost its relevancy decades ago.



U.S. veteran says he faces retribution from Trump officials for protesting his wrongful arrest

Los Angeles Times

Things to Do in L.A. Tap to enable a layout that focuses on the article. U.S. veteran says he faces retribution from Trump officials for protesting his wrongful arrest George Retes Jr. is seen in 2020 in Baghdad. The U.S. veteran wrote about what he says was his unlawful arrest during the Glass House ICE raid in July. He says the Department of Homeland Security is now spreading falsehoods against him for speaking out. This is read by an automated voice.