edcr
Probabilistic Foundations for Metacognition via Hybrid-AI
Shakarian, Paulo, Simari, Gerardo I., Bastian, Nathaniel D.
Metacognition is the concept of reasoning about an agent's own internal processes, and it has recently received renewed attention with respect to artificial intelligence (AI) and, more specifically, machine learning systems. This paper reviews a hybrid-AI approach known as "error detecting and correcting rules" (EDCR) that allows for the learning of rules to correct perceptual (e.g., neural) models. Additionally, we introduce a probabilistic framework that adds rigor to prior empirical studies, and we use this framework to prove results on necessary and sufficient conditions for metacognitive improvement, as well as limits to the approach. A set of future
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- Government > Regional Government > North America Government > United States Government (1.00)
- Government > Military (1.00)
Metal Price Spike Prediction via a Neurosymbolic Ensemble Approach
Lee, Nathaniel, Ngu, Noel, Sahdev, Harshdeep Singh, Motaganahall, Pramod, Chowdhury, Al Mehdi Saadat, Xi, Bowen, Shakarian, Paulo
Predicting price spikes in critical metals such as Cobalt, Copper, Magnesium, and Nickel is crucial for mitigating economic risks associated with global trends like the energy transition and reshoring of manufacturing. While traditional models have focused on regression-based approaches, our work introduces a neurosymbolic ensemble framework that integrates multiple neural models with symbolic error detection and correction rules. This framework is designed to enhance predictive accuracy by correcting individual model errors and offering interpretability through rule-based explanations. We show that our method provides up to 6.42% improvement in precision, 29.41% increase in recall at 13.24% increase in F1 over the best performing neural models. Further, our method, as it is based on logical rules, has the benefit of affording an explanation as to which combination of neural models directly contribute to a given prediction.
- Materials > Metals & Mining (1.00)
- Banking & Finance (1.00)
Rule-Based Error Detection and Correction to Operationalize Movement Trajectory Classification
Xi, Bowen, Scaria, Kevin, Shakarian, Paulo
Classification of movement trajectories has many applications in transportation. Supervised neural models represent the current state-of-the-art. Recent security applications require this task to be rapidly employed in environments that may differ from the data used to train such models for which there is little training data. We provide a neuro-symbolic rule-based framework to conduct error correction and detection of these models to support eventual deployment in security applications. We provide a suite of experiments on several recent and state-of-the-art models and show an accuracy improvement of 1.7% over the SOTA model in the case where all classes are present in training and when 40% of classes are omitted from training, we obtain a 5.2% improvement (zero-shot) and 23.9% (few-shot) improvement over the SOTA model without resorting to retraining of the base model.
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- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Representation & Reasoning > Rule-Based Reasoning (1.00)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Machine Learning > Neural Networks > Deep Learning (1.00)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Machine Learning > Performance Analysis > Accuracy (0.94)