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Evidential Physics-Informed Neural Networks for Scientific Discovery

Tan, Hai Siong, Wang, Kuancheng, McBeth, Rafe

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We present the fundamental theory and implementation guidelines underlying Evidential Physics-Informed Neural Network (E-PINN) -- a novel class of uncertainty-aware PINN. It leverages the marginal distribution loss function of evidential deep learning for estimating uncertainty of outputs, and infers unknown parameters of the PDE via a learned posterior distribution. Validating our model on two illustrative case studies -- the 1D Poisson equation with a Gaussian source and the 2D Fisher-KPP equation, we found that E-PINN generated empirical coverage probabilities that were calibrated significantly better than Bayesian PINN and Deep Ensemble methods. To demonstrate real-world applicability, we also present a brief case study on applying E-PINN to analyze clinical glucose-insulin datasets that have featured in medical research on diabetes pathophysiology.


Evidential Physics-Informed Neural Networks

Tan, Hai Siong, Wang, Kuancheng, McBeth, Rafe

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We present a novel class of Physics-Informed Neural Networks that is formulated based on the principles of Evidential Deep Learning, where the model incorporates uncertainty quantification by learning parameters of a higher-order distribution. The dependent and trainable variables of the PDE residual loss and data-fitting loss terms are recast as functions of the hyperparameters of an evidential prior distribution. Our model is equipped with an information-theoretic regularizer that contains the Kullback-Leibler divergence between two inverse-gamma distributions characterizing predictive uncertainty. Relative to Bayesian-Physics-Informed-Neural-Networks, our framework appeared to exhibit higher sensitivity to data noise, preserve boundary conditions more faithfully and yield empirical coverage probabilities closer to nominal ones. Toward examining its relevance for data mining in scientific discoveries, we demonstrate how to apply our model to inverse problems involving 1D and 2D nonlinear differential equations.


PINNs-Based Uncertainty Quantification for Transient Stability Analysis

Wang, Ren, Zhong, Ming, Xu, Kaidi, Sánchez-Cortés, Lola Giráldez, Guerra, Ignacio de Cominges

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper addresses the challenge of transient stability in power systems with missing parameters and uncertainty propagation in swing equations. We introduce a novel application of Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs), specifically an Ensemble of PINNs (E-PINNs), to estimate critical parameters like rotor angle and inertia coefficient with enhanced accuracy and reduced computational load. E-PINNs capitalize on the underlying physical principles of swing equations to provide a robust solution. Our approach not only facilitates efficient parameter estimation but also quantifies uncertainties, delivering probabilistic insights into the system behavior. The efficacy of E-PINNs is demonstrated through the analysis of $1$-bus and $2$-bus systems, highlighting the model's ability to handle parameter variability and data scarcity. The study advances the application of machine learning in power system stability, paving the way for reliable and computationally efficient transient stability analysis.