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Machine-Precision Prediction of Low-Dimensional Chaotic Systems

Schötz, Christof, Boers, Niklas

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Low-dimensional chaotic systems such as the Lorenz-63 model are commonly used to benchmark system-agnostic methods for learning dynamics from data. Here we show that learning from noise-free observations in such systems can be achieved up to machine precision: using ordinary least squares regression on high-degree polynomial features with 512-bit arithmetic, our method exceeds the accuracy of standard 64-bit numerical ODE solvers of the true underlying dynamical systems. Depending on the configuration, we obtain valid prediction times of 32 to 105 Lyapunov times for the Lorenz-63 system, dramatically outperforming prior work that reaches 13 Lyapunov times at most. We further validate our results on Thomas' Cyclically Symmetric Attractor, a non-polynomial chaotic system that is considerably more complex than the Lorenz-63 model, and show that similar results extend also to higher dimensions using the spatiotemporally chaotic Lorenz-96 model. Our findings suggest that learning low-dimensional chaotic systems from noise-free data is a solved problem.


Improving Label Assignments Learning by Dynamic Sample Dropout Combined with Layer-wise Optimization in Speech Separation

Gao, Chenyang, Gu, Yue, Marsic, Ivan

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In supervised speech separation, permutation invariant training (PIT) is widely used to handle label ambiguity by selecting the best permutation to update the model. Despite its success, previous studies showed that PIT is plagued by excessive label assignment switching in adjacent epochs, impeding the model to learn better label assignments. To address this issue, we propose a novel training strategy, dynamic sample dropout (DSD), which considers previous best label assignments and evaluation metrics to exclude the samples that may negatively impact the learned label assignments during training. Additionally, we include layer-wise optimization (LO) to improve the performance by solving layer-decoupling. Our experiments showed that combining DSD and LO outperforms the baseline and solves excessive label assignment switching and layer-decoupling issues. The proposed DSD and LO approach is easy to implement, requires no extra training sets or steps, and shows generality to various speech separation tasks.


Understanding and Visualizing Droplet Distributions in Simulations of Shallow Clouds

Will, Justus C., Jenney, Andrea M., Lamb, Kara D., Pritchard, Michael S., Kaul, Colleen, Ma, Po-Lun, Pressel, Kyle, Shpund, Jacob, van Lier-Walqui, Marcus, Mandt, Stephan

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Thorough analysis of local droplet-level interactions is crucial to better understand the microphysical processes in clouds and their effect on the global climate. High-accuracy simulations of relevant droplet size distributions from Large Eddy Simulations (LES) of bin microphysics challenge current analysis techniques due to their high dimensionality involving three spatial dimensions, time, and a continuous range of droplet sizes. Utilizing the compact latent representations from Variational Autoencoders (VAEs), we produce novel and intuitive visualizations for the organization of droplet sizes and their evolution over time beyond what is possible with clustering techniques. This greatly improves interpretation and allows us to examine aerosol-cloud interactions by contrasting simulations with different aerosol concentrations. We find that the evolution of the droplet spectrum is similar across aerosol levels but occurs at different paces. This similarity suggests that precipitation initiation processes are alike despite variations in onset times.


STEERING: Stein Information Directed Exploration for Model-Based Reinforcement Learning

Chakraborty, Souradip, Bedi, Amrit Singh, Koppel, Alec, Wang, Mengdi, Huang, Furong, Manocha, Dinesh

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Directed Exploration is a crucial challenge in reinforcement learning (RL), especially when rewards are sparse. Information-directed sampling (IDS), which optimizes the information ratio, seeks to do so by augmenting regret with information gain. However, estimating information gain is computationally intractable or relies on restrictive assumptions which prohibit its use in many practical instances. In this work, we posit an alternative exploration incentive in terms of the integral probability metric (IPM) between a current estimate of the transition model and the unknown optimal, which under suitable conditions, can be computed in closed form with the kernelized Stein discrepancy (KSD). Based on KSD, we develop a novel algorithm \algo: \textbf{STE}in information dir\textbf{E}cted exploration for model-based \textbf{R}einforcement Learn\textbf{ING}. To enable its derivation, we develop fundamentally new variants of KSD for discrete conditional distributions. {We further establish that {\algo} archives sublinear Bayesian regret, improving upon prior learning rates of information-augmented MBRL.} Experimentally, we show that the proposed algorithm is computationally affordable and outperforms several prior approaches.


Unsupervised Learning of Depth and Depth-of-Field Effect from Natural Images with Aperture Rendering Generative Adversarial Networks

Kaneko, Takuhiro

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Understanding the 3D world from 2D projected natural images is a fundamental challenge in computer vision and graphics. Recently, an unsupervised learning approach has garnered considerable attention owing to its advantages in data collection. However, to mitigate training limitations, typical methods need to impose assumptions for viewpoint distribution (e.g., a dataset containing various viewpoint images) or object shape (e.g., symmetric objects). These assumptions often restrict applications; for instance, the application to non-rigid objects or images captured from similar viewpoints (e.g., flower or bird images) remains a challenge. To complement these approaches, we propose aperture rendering generative adversarial networks (AR-GANs), which equip aperture rendering on top of GANs, and adopt focus cues to learn the depth and depth-of-field (DoF) effect of unlabeled natural images. To address the ambiguities triggered by unsupervised setting (i.e., ambiguities between smooth texture and out-of-focus blurs, and between foreground and background blurs), we develop DoF mixture learning, which enables the generator to learn real image distribution while generating diverse DoF images. In addition, we devise a center focus prior to guiding the learning direction. In the experiments, we demonstrate the effectiveness of AR-GANs in various datasets, such as flower, bird, and face images, demonstrate their portability by incorporating them into other 3D representation learning GANs, and validate their applicability in shallow DoF rendering.


Diffusion State Distances: Multitemporal Analysis, Fast Algorithms, and Applications to Biological Networks

Cowen, Lenore, Devkota, Kapil, Hu, Xiaozhe, Murphy, James M., Wu, Kaiyi

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Data-dependent metrics are powerful tools for learning the underlying structure of high-dimensional data. This article develops and analyzes a data-dependent metric known as diffusion state distance (DSD), which compares points using a data-driven diffusion process. Unlike related diffusion methods, DSDs incorporate information across time scales, which allows for the intrinsic data structure to be inferred in a parameter-free manner. This article develops a theory for DSD based on the multitemporal emergence of mesoscopic equilibria in the underlying diffusion process. New algorithms for denoising and dimension reduction with DSD are also proposed and analyzed. These approaches are based on a weighted spectral decomposition of the underlying diffusion process, and experiments on synthetic datasets and real biological networks illustrate the efficacy of the proposed algorithms in terms of both speed and accuracy. Throughout, comparisons with related methods are made, in order to illustrate the distinct advantages of DSD for datasets exhibiting multiscale structure.