bsde
Data-driven Feynman-Kac Discovery with Applications to Prediction and Data Generation
Feng, Qi, Lin, Guang, Matlia, Purav, Serdarevic, Denny
In this paper, we propose a novel data-driven framework for discovering probabilistic laws underlying the Feynman-Kac formula. Specifically, we introduce the first stochastic SINDy method formulated under the risk-neutral probability measure to recover the backward stochastic differential equation (BSDE) from a single pair of stock and option trajectories. Unlike existing approaches to identifying stochastic differential equations-which typically require ergodicity-our framework leverages the risk-neutral measure, thereby eliminating the ergodicity assumption and enabling BSDE recovery from limited financial time series data. Using this algorithm, we are able not only to make forward-looking predictions but also to generate new synthetic data paths consistent with the underlying probabilistic law.
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Robust Exploratory Stopping under Ambiguity in Reinforcement Learning
Ye, Junyan, Wong, Hoi Ying, Park, Kyunghyun
We propose and analyze a continuous-time robust reinforcement learning framework for optimal stopping problems under ambiguity. In this framework, an agent chooses a stopping rule motivated by two objectives: robust decision-making under ambiguity and learning about the unknown environment. Here, ambiguity refers to considering multiple probability measures dominated by a reference measure, reflecting the agent's awareness that the reference measure representing her learned belief about the environment would be erroneous. Using the $g$-expectation framework, we reformulate an optimal stopping problem under ambiguity as an entropy-regularized optimal control problem under ambiguity, with Bernoulli distributed controls to incorporate exploration into the stopping rules. We then derive the optimal Bernoulli distributed control characterized by backward stochastic differential equations. Moreover, we establish a policy iteration theorem and implement it as a reinforcement learning algorithm. Numerical experiments demonstrate the convergence and robustness of the proposed algorithm across different levels of ambiguity and exploration.
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A Mean-Field Theory of $Θ$-Expectations
The canonical theory of sublinear expectations, a foundation of stochastic calculus under ambiguity, is insensitive to the non-convex geometry of primitive uncertainty models. This paper develops a new stochastic calculus for a structured class of such non-convex models. We introduce a class of fully coupled Mean-Field Forward-Backward Stochastic Differential Equations where the BSDE driver is defined by a pointwise maximization over a law-dependent, non-convex set. Mathematical tractability is achieved via a uniform strong concavity assumption on the driver with respect to the control variable, which ensures the optimization admits a unique and stable solution. A central contribution is to establish the Lipschitz stability of this optimizer from primitive geometric and regularity conditions, which underpins the entire well-posedness theory. We prove local and global well-posedness theorems for the FBSDE system. The resulting valuation functional, the $Θ$-Expectation, is shown to be dynamically consistent and, most critically, to violate the axiom of sub-additivity. This, along with its failure to be translation invariant, demonstrates its fundamental departure from the convex paradigm. This work provides a rigorous foundation for stochastic calculus under a class of non-convex, endogenous ambiguity.
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A Theory of $θ$-Expectations
The canonical theory of stochastic calculus under ambiguity, founded on sub-additivity, is insensitive to non-convex uncertainty structures, leading to an identifiability impasse. This paper develops a mathematical framework for an identifiable calculus sensitive to non-convex geometry. We introduce the $θ$-BSDE, a class of backward stochastic differential equations where the driver is determined by a pointwise maximization over a primitive, possibly non-convex, uncertainty set. The system's tractability is predicated not on convexity, but on a global analytic hypothesis: the existence of a unique and globally Lipschitz maximizer map for the driver function. Under this hypothesis, which carves out a tractable class of models, we establish well-posedness via a fixed-point argument. For a distinct, geometrically regular class of models, we prove a result of independent interest: under non-degeneracy conditions from Malliavin calculus, the maximizer is unique along any solution path, ensuring the model's internal consistency. We clarify the fundamental logical gap between this pathwise property and the global regularity required by our existence proof. The resulting valuation operator defines a dynamically consistent expectation, and we establish its connection to fully nonlinear PDEs via a Feynman-Kac formula.
Neural Expectation Operators
This paper introduces \textbf{Measure Learning}, a paradigm for modeling ambiguity via non-linear expectations. We define Neural Expectation Operators as solutions to Backward Stochastic Differential Equations (BSDEs) whose drivers are parameterized by neural networks. The main mathematical contribution is a rigorous well-posedness theorem for BSDEs whose drivers satisfy a local Lipschitz condition in the state variable $y$ and quadratic growth in its martingale component $z$. This result circumvents the classical global Lipschitz assumption, is applicable to common neural network architectures (e.g., with ReLU activations), and holds for exponentially integrable terminal data, which is the sharp condition for this setting. Our primary innovation is to build a constructive bridge between the abstract, and often restrictive, assumptions of the deep theory of quadratic BSDEs and the world of machine learning, demonstrating that these conditions can be met by concrete, verifiable neural network designs. We provide constructive methods for enforcing key axiomatic properties, such as convexity, by architectural design. The theory is extended to the analysis of fully coupled Forward-Backward SDE systems and to the asymptotic analysis of large interacting particle systems, for which we establish both a Law of Large Numbers (propagation of chaos) and a Central Limit Theorem. This work provides the foundational mathematical framework for data-driven modeling under ambiguity.
Deep Operator BSDE: a Numerical Scheme to Approximate the Solution Operators
Di Nunno, Giulia, Lozano, Pere Díaz
Motivated by dynamic risk measures and conditional $g$-expectations, in this work we propose a numerical method to approximate the solution operator given by a Backward Stochastic Differential Equation (BSDE). The main ingredients for this are the Wiener chaos decomposition and the classical Euler scheme for BSDEs. We show convergence of this scheme under very mild assumptions, and provide a rate of convergence in more restrictive cases. We then implement it using neural networks, and we present several numerical examples where we can check the accuracy of the method.
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A backward differential deep learning-based algorithm for solving high-dimensional nonlinear backward stochastic differential equations
In this work, we propose a novel backward differential deep learning-based algorithm for solving high-dimensional nonlinear backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs), where the deep neural network (DNN) models are trained not only on the inputs and labels but also the differentials of the corresponding labels. This is motivated by the fact that differential deep learning can provide an efficient approximation of the labels and their derivatives with respect to inputs. The BSDEs are reformulated as differential deep learning problems by using Malliavin calculus. The Malliavin derivatives of solution to a BSDE satisfy themselves another BSDE, resulting thus in a system of BSDEs. Such formulation requires the estimation of the solution, its gradient, and the Hessian matrix, represented by the triple of processes $\left(Y, Z, \Gamma\right).$ All the integrals within this system are discretized by using the Euler-Maruyama method. Subsequently, DNNs are employed to approximate the triple of these unknown processes. The DNN parameters are backwardly optimized at each time step by minimizing a differential learning type loss function, which is defined as a weighted sum of the dynamics of the discretized BSDE system, with the first term providing the dynamics of the process $Y$ and the other the process $Z$. An error analysis is carried out to show the convergence of the proposed algorithm. Various numerical experiments up to $50$ dimensions are provided to demonstrate the high efficiency. Both theoretically and numerically, it is demonstrated that our proposed scheme is more efficient compared to other contemporary deep learning-based methodologies, especially in the computation of the process $\Gamma$.
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From continuous-time formulations to discretization schemes: tensor trains and robust regression for BSDEs and parabolic PDEs
Richter, Lorenz, Sallandt, Leon, Nüsken, Nikolas
The numerical approximation of partial differential equations (PDEs) poses formidable challenges in high dimensions since classical grid-based methods suffer from the so-called curse of dimensionality. Recent attempts rely on a combination of Monte Carlo methods and variational formulations, using neural networks for function approximation. Extending previous work (Richter et al., 2021), we argue that tensor trains provide an appealing framework for parabolic PDEs: The combination of reformulations in terms of backward stochastic differential equations and regression-type methods holds the promise of leveraging latent low-rank structures, enabling both compression and efficient computation. Emphasizing a continuous-time viewpoint, we develop iterative schemes, which differ in terms of computational efficiency and robustness. We demonstrate both theoretically and numerically that our methods can achieve a favorable trade-off between accuracy and computational efficiency. While previous methods have been either accurate or fast, we have identified a novel numerical strategy that can often combine both of these aspects.
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- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Representation & Reasoning (1.00)
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Robust SDE-Based Variational Formulations for Solving Linear PDEs via Deep Learning
Richter, Lorenz, Berner, Julius
The combination of Monte Carlo methods and deep learning has recently led to efficient algorithms for solving partial differential equations (PDEs) in high dimensions. Related learning problems are often stated as variational formulations based on associated stochastic differential equations (SDEs), which allow the minimization of corresponding losses using gradient-based optimization methods. In respective numerical implementations it is therefore crucial to rely on adequate gradient estimators that exhibit low variance in order to reach convergence accurately and swiftly. In this article, we rigorously investigate corresponding numerical aspects that appear in the context of linear Kolmogorov PDEs. In particular, we systematically compare existing deep learning approaches and provide theoretical explanations for their performances. Subsequently, we suggest novel methods that can be shown to be more robust both theoretically and numerically, leading to substantial performance improvements.
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Deep Learning algorithms for solving high dimensional nonlinear Backward Stochastic Differential Equations
We study deep learning-based schemes for solving high dimensional nonlinear backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs). First we show how to improve the performances of the proposed scheme in [W. E and J. Han and A. Jentzen, Commun. Math. Stat., 5 (2017), pp.349-380] regarding computational time and stability of numerical convergence by using the advanced neural network architecture instead of the stacked deep neural networks. Furthermore, the proposed scheme in that work can be stuck in local minima, especially for a complex solution structure and longer terminal time. To solve this problem, we investigate to reformulate the problem by including local losses and exploit the Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) networks which are a type of recurrent neural networks (RNN). Finally, in order to study numerical convergence and thus illustrate the improved performances with the proposed methods, we provide numerical results for several 100-dimensional nonlinear BSDEs including a nonlinear pricing problem in finance.