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Causal Discovery in Semi-Stationary Time Series

Neural Information Processing Systems

Discovering causal relations from observational time series without making the stationary assumption is a significant challenge. In practice, this challenge is common in many areas, such as retail sales, transportation systems, and medical science. Here, we consider this problem for a class of non-stationary time series. The structural causal model (SCM) of this type of time series, called the semistationary time series, exhibits that a finite number of different causal mechanisms occur sequentially and periodically across time. This model holds considerable practical utility because it can represent periodicity, including common occurrences such as seasonality and diurnal variation. We propose a constraint-based, nonparametric algorithm for discovering causal relations in this setting.


KALM: Knowledgeable Agent by Offline Reinforcement Learning from Large Language Model Rollouts

Neural Information Processing Systems

Reinforcement learning (RL) traditionally trains agents using interaction data, which limits their capabilities to the scope of the training data. To create more knowledgeable agents, leveraging knowledge from large language models (LLMs) has shown a promising way. Despite various attempts to combine LLMs with RL, there is commonly a semantic gap between action signals and LLM tokens, which hinders their integration. This paper introduces a novel approach, KALM (Knowledgeable Agents from Language Model Rollouts), to learn knowledgeable agents by bridging this gap. KALM extracts knowledge from LLMs in the form of imaginary rollouts, which agents can learn through offline RL. To overcome the limitation that LLMs are inherently text-based and may be incompatible with numerical environmental data, KALM fine-tunes the LLM to perform bidirectional translation between textual goals and rollouts. This process enables the LLM to understand the environment better, facilitating the generation of meaningful rollouts. Experiments on robotic manipulation tasks demonstrate that KALM allows agents to rephrase complex goals and tackle novel tasks requiring new optimal behaviors. KALM achieves a 46% success rate in completing 1400 various novel goals, significantly outperforming the 26% success rate of baseline methods.


Supplementary Material for Unsupervised Adaptation from Repeated Traversals for Autonomous Driving S1 Implementation Details

Neural Information Processing Systems

The parameters that we used in this work were ฮฒ = 0.333, and N We include an ablation table for different values of ฮฒ in Table S1. For the focal loss, we set ฮฑ = 0.25 and ฮณ = 2.0 which are the default values. We selected the best hyperparameters based on the performance on KITTI Lyft and used the same hyperparameters for the rest of the settings. We show results experiementing with different ฮฒ parameters. We include additional evaluations on the Lyft dataset.


Unsupervised Adaptation from Repeated Traversals for Autonomous Driving Yurong You 1 Katie Z Luo 1 Travis Zhang

Neural Information Processing Systems

For a self-driving car to operate reliably, its perceptual system must generalize to the end-user's environment -- ideally without additional annotation efforts. One potential solution is to leverage unlabeled data (e.g., unlabeled LiDAR point clouds) collected from the end-users' environments (i.e.


Coherence-free Entrywise Estimation of Eigenvectors in Low-rank Signal-plus-noise Matrix Models

Neural Information Processing Systems

Spectral methods are widely used to estimate eigenvectors of a low-rank signal matrix subject to noise. These methods use the leading eigenspace of an observed matrix to estimate this low-rank signal. Typically, the entrywise estimation error of these methods depends on the coherence of the low-rank signal matrix with respect to the standard basis. In this work, we present a novel method for eigenvector estimation that avoids this dependence on coherence. Assuming a rank-one signal matrix, under mild technical conditions, the entrywise estimation error of our method provably has no dependence on the coherence under Gaussian noise (i.e., in the spiked Wigner model), and achieves the optimal estimation rate up to logarithmic factors. Simulations demonstrate that our method performs well under non-Gaussian noise and that an extension of our method to the case of a rank-r signal matrix has little to no dependence on the coherence.



Gorilla: Large Language Model Connected with Massive APIs Xin Wang 2 Joseph E. Gonzalez

Neural Information Processing Systems

Large Language Models (LLMs) have seen an impressive wave of advances, with models now excelling in a variety of tasks, such as mathematical reasoning and program synthesis. However, their potential to effectively use tools via API calls remains unfulfilled. This is a challenging task even for today's state-of-the-art LLMs such as GPT-4 largely due to their unawareness of what APIs are available and how to use them in a frequently updated tool set. We develop Gorilla, a finetuned LLaMA model that surpasses the performance of GPT-4 on writing API calls. Trained with the novel Retriever Aware Training (RAT), when combined with a document retriever, Gorilla demonstrates a strong capability to adapt to test-time document changes, allowing flexible user updates or version changes. It also substantially mitigates the issue of hallucination, commonly encountered when prompting LLMs directly. To evaluate the model's ability, we introduce APIBench, a comprehensive dataset consisting of HuggingFace, TorchHub, and TensorHub APIs. The successful integration of the retrieval system with Gorilla demonstrates the potential for LLMs to use tools more accurately, keep up with frequently updated documentation, and consequently increase the reliability and applicability of their outputs. Gorilla's code, model, data, and demo are available at: https://gorilla.cs.berkeley.edu


Self-playing Adversarial Language Game Enhances LLM Reasoning

Neural Information Processing Systems

We explore the potential of self-play training for large language models (LLMs) in a two-player adversarial language game called Adversarial Taboo. In this game, an attacker and a defender communicate around a target word only visible to the attacker. The attacker aims to induce the defender to speak the target word unconsciously, while the defender tries to infer the target word from the attacker's utterances. To win the game, both players must have sufficient knowledge about the target word and high-level reasoning ability to infer and express in this informationreserved conversation. Hence, we are curious about whether LLMs' reasoning ability can be further enhanced by Self-Playing this Adversarial language Game (SPAG). With this goal, we select several open-source LLMs and let each act as the attacker and play with a copy of itself as the defender on an extensive range of target words. Through reinforcement learning on the game outcomes, we observe that the LLMs' performances uniformly improve on a broad range of reasoning benchmarks. Furthermore, iteratively adopting this self-play process can continuously promote LLMs' reasoning abilities. The code is available at https://github.com/Linear95/SPAG.


Acknowledgements

Neural Information Processing Systems

We thank Pavel Izmailov, Polina Kirichenko, and Wesley Maddox for helpful discussions. This research is supported by NSF CAREER IIS-2145492, NSF I-DISRE 193471, NIH R01DA048764-01A1, NSF IIS-1910266, NSF 1922658 NRT-HDR: FUTURE Foundations, Translation, and Responsibility for Data Science, Meta Core Data Science, Google AI Research, BigHat Biosciences, Capital One, and an Amazon Research Award. An image is worth 16x16 words: Transformers for image recognition at scale. The pascal visual object classes (voc) challenge. Bayesian neural network priors revisited.