Importance Sampling (IS) is a widely used variance reduction technique for enhancing the efficiency of Monte Carlo methods, particularly in rare-event simulation and related applications. Despite its power, the performance of IS is often highly sensitive to the choice of the proposal distribution and frequently requires stochastic calibration techniques. While the design and analysis of IS have been extensively studied in estimation settings, applying IS within stochastic optimization introduces a unique challenge: the decision and the IS distribution are mutually dependent, creating a circular optimization structure. This interdependence complicates both the analysis of convergence for decision iterates and the efficiency of the IS scheme. In this paper, we propose an iterative gradient-based algorithm that jointly updates the decision variable and the IS distribution without requiring time-scale separation between the two. Our method achieves the lowest possible asymptotic variance and guarantees global convergence under convexity of the objective and mild assumptions on the IS distribution family. Furthermore, we show that these properties are preserved under linear constraints by incorporating a recent variant of Nesterov's dual averaging method.

In data-driven optimization, sample average approximation (SAA) is known to suffer from the so-called optimizer's curse that causes an over-optimistic evaluation of the solution performance. We argue that a special type of distributionallly robust optimization (DRO) formulation offers theoretical advantages in correcting for this optimizer's curse compared to simple ``margin'' adjustments to SAA and other DRO approaches: It attains a statistical bound on the out-of-sample performance, for a wide class of objective functions and distributions, that is nearly tightest in terms of exponential decay rate. This DRO uses an ambiguity set based on a Kullback Leibler (KL) divergence smoothed by the Wasserstein or L\'evy-Prokhorov (LP) distance via a suitable distance optimization. Computationally, we also show that such a DRO, and its generalized versions using smoothed $f$-divergence, are not harder than DRO problems based on $f$-divergence or Wasserstein distances, rendering our DRO formulations both statistically optimal and computationally viable.

Classical Kullback-Leibler or entropic distances are known to enjoy certain desirable statistical properties in the context of decision-making with noiseless data. However, in most practical situations the data available to a decision maker is subject to a certain amount of measurement noise. We hence study here data-driven prescription problems in which the data is corrupted by a known noise source. We derive efficient data-driven formulations in this noisy regime and indicate that they enjoy an entropic optimal transport interpretation. Finally, we show that these efficient robust formulations are tractable in several interesting settings by exploiting a classical representation result by Strassen.

We study structured multi-armed bandits, which is the problem of online decision-making under uncertainty in the presence of structural information. In this problem, the decision-maker needs to discover the best course of action despite observing only uncertain rewards over time. The decision-maker is aware of certain structural information regarding the reward distributions and would like to minimize his regret by exploiting this information, where the regret is its performance difference against a benchmark policy which knows the best action ahead of time. In the absence of structural information, the classical UCB and Thomson sampling algorithms are well known to suffer only minimal regret. As recently pointed out, neither algorithms is, however, capable of exploiting structural information which is commonly available in practice. We propose a novel learning algorithm which we call "DUSA" whose worst-case regret matches the information-theoretic regret lower bound up to a constant factor and can handle a wide range of structural information. Our algorithm DUSA solves a dual counterpart of regret lower bound at the empirical reward distribution and follows the suggestion made by the dual problem. Our proposed algorithm is the first computationally viable learning policy for structured bandit problems that suffers asymptotic minimal regret.