The rapid evolution of automated vehicles (AVs) has the potential to provide safer, more efficient, and comfortable travel options. However, these systems face challenges regarding reliability in complex driving scenarios. Recent explainable AV architectures neglect crucial information related to inherent uncertainties while providing explanations for actions. To overcome such challenges, our study builds upon the "object-induced" model approach that prioritizes the role of objects in scenes for decision-making and integrates uncertainty assessment into the decision-making process using an evidential deep learning paradigm with a Beta prior. Additionally, we explore several advanced training strategies guided by uncertainty, including uncertainty-guided data reweighting and augmentation. Leveraging the BDD-OIA dataset, our findings underscore that the model, through these enhancements, not only offers a clearer comprehension of AV decisions and their underlying reasoning but also surpasses existing baselines across a broad range of scenarios.

When dealing with data from distinct locations, machine learning algorithms tend to demonstrate an implicit preference of some locations over the others, which constitutes biases that sabotage the spatial fairness of the algorithm. This unfairness can easily introduce biases in subsequent decision-making given broad adoptions of learning-based solutions in practice. However, locational biases in AI are largely understudied. To mitigate biases over locations, we propose a locational meta-referee (Meta-Ref) to oversee the few-shot meta-training and meta-testing of a deep neural network. Meta-Ref dynamically adjusts the learning rates for training samples of given locations to advocate a fair performance across locations, through an explicit consideration of locational biases and the characteristics of input data. We present a three-phase training framework to learn both a meta-learning-based predictor and an integrated Meta-Ref that governs the fairness of the model. Once trained with a distribution of spatial tasks, Meta-Ref is applied to samples from new spatial tasks (i.e., regions outside the training area) to promote fairness during the fine-tune step. We carried out experiments with two case studies on crop monitoring and transportation safety, which show Meta-Ref can improve locational fairness while keeping the overall prediction quality at a similar level.

Predicting dissolved oxygen (DO) concentrations in north temperate lakes requires a comprehensive study of phenological patterns across various ecosystems, which highlights the significance of selecting phenological features and feature interactions. Process-based models are limited by partial process knowledge or oversimplified feature representations, while machine learning models face challenges in efficiently selecting relevant feature interactions for different lake types and tasks, especially under the infrequent nature of DO data collection. In this paper, we propose a Nature-Guided Cognitive Evolution (NGCE) strategy, which represents a multi-level fusion of adaptive learning with natural processes. Specifically, we utilize metabolic process-based models to generate simulated DO labels. Using these simulated labels, we implement a multi-population cognitive evolutionary search, where models, mirroring natural organisms, adaptively evolve to select relevant feature interactions within populations for different lake types and tasks. These models are not only capable of undergoing crossover and mutation mechanisms within intra-populations but also, albeit infrequently, engage in inter-population crossover. The second stage involves refining these models by retraining them with real observed labels. We have tested the performance of our NGCE strategy in predicting daily DO concentrations across a wide range of lakes in the Midwest, USA. These lakes, varying in size, depth, and trophic status, represent a broad spectrum of north temperate lakes. Our findings demonstrate that NGCE not only produces accurate predictions with few observed labels but also, through gene maps of models, reveals sophisticated phenological patterns of different lakes.

Practically, satellite remote sensing is the only approach to measuring these variables at the spatial As the use of artificial intelligence (AI) expands to more and and temporal resolution needed for most applications (Liang more traditional domains, the bias in predictions made by 2001). Due to the large volume of satellite data, machine AI has also raised broad concerns in recent years. To facilitate learning methods have become increasingly popular choices the responsible use of AI, fairness-aware learning has in predicting temperature-related variables (Deo and Şahin emerged as an essential component in AI's deployment in 2017; Wang et al. 2021). However, fairness has yet to be societal applications. In this study, we focus on learningbased considered. Due to the social impact, it is important to ensure mapping applications, where it is important to evaluate fairness among different places in the prediction map.

Simulating turbulence is critical for many societally important applications in aerospace engineering, environmental science, the energy industry, and biomedicine. Large eddy simulation (LES) has been widely used as an alternative to direct numerical simulation (DNS) for simulating turbulent flows due to its reduced computational cost. However, LES is unable to capture all of the scales of turbulent transport accurately. Reconstructing DNS from low-resolution LES is critical for many scientific and engineering disciplines, but it poses many challenges to existing super-resolution methods due to the spatio-temporal complexity of turbulent flows. In this work, we propose a new physics-guided neural network for reconstructing the sequential DNS from low-resolution LES data. The proposed method leverages the partial differential equation that underlies the flow dynamics in the design of spatio-temporal model architecture. A degradation-based refinement method is also developed to enforce physical constraints and further reduce the accumulated reconstruction errors over long periods. The results on two different types of turbulent flow data confirm the superiority of the proposed method in reconstructing the high-resolution DNS data and preserving the physical characteristics of flow transport.

Modeling environmental ecosystems is critical for the sustainability of our planet, but is extremely challenging due to the complex underlying processes driven by interactions amongst a large number of physical variables. As many variables are difficult to measure at large scales, existing works often utilize a combination of observable features and locally available measurements or modeled values as input to build models for a specific study region and time period. This raises a fundamental question in advancing the modeling of environmental ecosystems: how to build a general framework for modeling the complex relationships amongst various environmental data over space and time? In this paper, we introduce a new framework, FREE, which maps available environmental data into a text space and then converts the traditional predictive modeling task in environmental science to the semantic recognition problem. The proposed FREE framework leverages recent advances in Large Language Models (LLMs) to supplement the original input features with natural language descriptions. This facilitates capturing the data semantics and also allows harnessing the irregularities of input features. When used for long-term prediction, FREE has the flexibility to incorporate newly collected observations to enhance future prediction. The efficacy of FREE is evaluated in the context of two societally important real-world applications, predicting stream water temperature in the Delaware River Basin and predicting annual corn yield in Illinois and Iowa. Beyond the superior predictive performance over multiple baseline methods, FREE is shown to be more data- and computation-efficient as it can be pre-trained on simulated data generated by physics-based models.

Reliable molecular property prediction is essential for various scientific endeavors and industrial applications, such as drug discovery. However, the scarcity of data, combined with the highly non-linear causal relationships between physicochemical and biological properties and conventional molecular featurization schemes, complicates the development of robust molecular machine learning models. Self-supervised learning (SSL) has emerged as a popular solution, utilizing large-scale, unannotated molecular data to learn a foundational representation of chemical space that might be advantageous for downstream tasks. Yet, existing molecular SSL methods largely overlook domain-specific knowledge, such as molecular similarity and scaffold importance, as well as the context of the target application when operating over the large chemical space. This paper introduces a novel learning framework that leverages the knowledge of structural hierarchies within molecular structures, embeds them through separate pre-training tasks over distinct channels, and employs a task-specific channel selection to compose a context-dependent representation. Our approach demonstrates competitive performance across various molecular property benchmarks and establishes some state-of-the-art results. It further offers unprecedented advantages in particularly challenging yet ubiquitous scenarios like activity cliffs with enhanced robustness and generalizability compared to other baselines.

Causal DAGs(Directed Acyclic Graphs) are usually considered in a 2D plane. Edges indicate causal effects' directions and imply their corresponding time-passings. Due to the natural restriction of statistical models, effect estimation is usually approximated by averaging the individuals' correlations, i.e., observational changes over a specific time. However, in the context of Machine Learning on large-scale questions with complex DAGs, such slight biases can snowball to distort global models - More importantly, it has practically impeded the development of AI, for instance, the weak generalizability of causal models. In this paper, we redefine causal DAG as \emph{do-DAG}, in which variables' values are no longer time-stamp-dependent, and timelines can be seen as axes. By geometric explanation of multi-dimensional do-DAG, we identify the \emph{Causal Representation Bias} and its necessary factors, differentiated from common confounding biases. Accordingly, a DL(Deep Learning)-based framework will be proposed as the general solution, along with a realization method and experiments to verify its feasibility.

Accurate long-term predictions are the foundations for many machine learning applications and decision-making processes. However, building accurate long-term prediction models remains challenging due to the limitations of existing temporal models like recurrent neural networks (RNNs), as they capture only the statistical connections in the training data and may fail to learn the underlying dynamics of the target system. To tackle this challenge, we propose a novel machine learning model based on Koopman operator theory, which we call Koopman Invertible Autoencoders (KIA), that captures the inherent characteristic of the system by modeling both forward and backward dynamics in the infinite-dimensional Hilbert space. This enables us to efficiently learn low-dimensional representations, resulting in more accurate predictions of long-term system behavior. Moreover, our method's invertibility design guarantees reversibility and consistency in both forward and inverse operations. We illustrate the utility of KIA on pendulum and climate datasets, demonstrating 300% improvements in long-term prediction capability for pendulum while maintaining robustness against noise. Additionally, our method excels in long-term climate prediction, further validating our method's effectiveness.

Prediction of dynamic environmental variables in unmonitored sites remains a long-standing challenge for water resources science. The majority of the world's freshwater resources have inadequate monitoring of critical environmental variables needed for management. Yet, the need to have widespread predictions of hydrological variables such as river flow and water quality has become increasingly urgent due to climate and land use change over the past decades, and their associated impacts on water resources. Modern machine learning methods increasingly outperform their process-based and empirical model counterparts for hydrologic time series prediction with their ability to extract information from large, diverse data sets. We review relevant state-of-the art applications of machine learning for streamflow, water quality, and other water resources prediction and discuss opportunities to improve the use of machine learning with emerging methods for incorporating watershed characteristics into deep learning models, transfer learning, and incorporating process knowledge into machine learning models. The analysis here suggests most prior efforts have been focused on deep learning learning frameworks built on many sites for predictions at daily time scales in the United States, but that comparisons between different classes of machine learning methods are few and inadequate. We identify several open questions for time series predictions in unmonitored sites that include incorporating dynamic inputs and site characteristics, mechanistic understanding and spatial context, and explainable AI techniques in modern machine learning frameworks.