Giganti, Antonio
Back to the Future: GNN-based NO$_2$ Forecasting via Future Covariates
Giganti, Antonio, Mandelli, Sara, Bestagini, Paolo, Giuriato, Umberto, D'Ausilio, Alessandro, Marcon, Marco, Tubaro, Stefano
Due to the latest environmental concerns in keeping at bay contaminants emissions in urban areas, air pollution forecasting has been rising the forefront of all researchers around the world. When predicting pollutant concentrations, it is common to include the effects of environmental factors that influence these concentrations within an extended period, like traffic, meteorological conditions and geographical information. Most of the existing approaches exploit this information as past covariates, i.e., past exogenous variables that affected the pollutant but were not affected by it. In this paper, we present a novel forecasting methodology to predict NO$_2$ concentration via both past and future covariates. Future covariates are represented by weather forecasts and future calendar events, which are already known at prediction time. In particular, we deal with air quality observations in a city-wide network of ground monitoring stations, modeling the data structure and estimating the predictions with a Spatiotemporal Graph Neural Network (STGNN). We propose a conditioning block that embeds past and future covariates into the current observations. After extracting meaningful spatiotemporal representations, these are fused together and projected into the forecasting horizon to generate the final prediction. To the best of our knowledge, it is the first time that future covariates are included in time series predictions in a structured way. Remarkably, we find that conditioning on future weather information has a greater impact than considering past traffic conditions. We release our code implementation at https://github.com/polimi-ispl/MAGCRN.
Multi-BVOC Super-Resolution Exploiting Compounds Inter-Connection
Giganti, Antonio, Mandelli, Sara, Bestagini, Paolo, Marcon, Marco, Tubaro, Stefano
Biogenic Volatile Organic Compounds (BVOCs) emitted from the terrestrial ecosystem into the Earth's atmosphere are an important component of atmospheric chemistry. Due to the scarcity of measurement, a reliable enhancement of BVOCs emission maps can aid in providing denser data for atmospheric chemical, climate, and air quality models. In this work, we propose a strategy to super-resolve coarse BVOC emission maps by simultaneously exploiting the contributions of different compounds. To this purpose, we first accurately investigate the spatial inter-connections between several BVOC species. Then, we exploit the found similarities to build a Multi-Image Super-Resolution (MISR) system, in which a number of emission maps associated with diverse compounds are aggregated to boost Super-Resolution (SR) performance. We compare different configurations regarding the species and the number of joined BVOCs. Our experimental results show that incorporating BVOCs' relationship into the process can substantially improve the accuracy of the super-resolved maps. Interestingly, the best results are achieved when we aggregate the emission maps of strongly uncorrelated compounds. This peculiarity seems to confirm what was already guessed for other data-domains, i.e., joined uncorrelated information are more helpful than correlated ones to boost MISR performance. Nonetheless, the proposed work represents the first attempt in SR of BVOC emissions through the fusion of multiple different compounds.