r/artificial - Predictions of AGI Takeoff Speed vs. Years Worked in Commercial Software

This page features a rough depiction of different views on the question of whether artificial general intelligence (AGI) will take off in a "hard" way (fast, no time for response or competition) or a "slow" way (more gradual, more time to integrate with society, possibility of competing projects). I plot these views against a very crude estimate of how long each forecaster has worked on commercial software (not counting academic computer science).