AI may beat humans at everything in 45 years, experts predict

Every decade since artificial intelligence was first formed as its own discipline in 1956, there's been a prediction that artificial general intelligence (AGI) is just a few years away -- and so far we can safely say that most of them have been shy of the mark. A new survey, conducted by the University of Oxford and Yale University, draws on the expertise of 352 leading AI researchers. It suggests that there's a 50-percent chance that machines will be bettering us at every task by the year 2062. However, plenty more milestones will be hit before then. These include machines that are better than us at translating foreign languages by 2024, better at writing high school essays than us by 2026, better at driving trucks by 2027, better at working retail jobs by 2031, capable of penning a best-selling book by 2049, and better at carrying out surgery by 2053.