Artificial intelligence trumps political experts

A year ago today, on April 1, 2015, as part of a project on prediction at the New York Universe – Center for Data Superiority (NYU-CDS), I gathered together a political scientist, a data-driven journalist, a traditional campaign reporter for a major newspaper and an artificial intelligence application created by a major international business machine company to discuss the state of the primary contests and to collect their predictions for the eventual nominees. I promised to only reveal these predictions a year later. I also agreed to use pseudonyms for all four participants and – with some regret – allowed them to choose their own pseudonyms. What follows is a lightly edited transcript of our discussion. Me: Please let me thank you all for joining me today!