Why All the ChatGPT Predictions Are Bogus - The Atlantic

This is Work in Progress, a newsletter by Derek Thompson about work, technology, and how to solve some of America's biggest problems. Sign up here to get it every week. Recently I gave myself an assignment: Come up with a framework for explaining generative AI, such as ChatGPT, in a way that illuminates the full potential of the technology and helps me make predictions about its future. By analogy, imagine that it's the year 1780 and you get a glimpse of an early English steam engine. You might say: "This is a device for pumping water out of coal mines."