Using artificial intelligence, researchers find that global ocean warming started later

In estimations of ocean heat content – important when assessing and predicting the effects of climate change – calculations have often presented the rate of warming as a gradual rise from the mid 20th century to today. However, new research from UC Santa Barbara scientists Timothy DeVries and Aaron Bagnell could overturn that assumption, suggesting the ocean maintained a relatively steady temperature throughout most of the 20th century, before embarking on a steep rise. The newly discovered dynamics may have significant implications for what we might expect in the future. "There wasn't an onset of an imbalance until about 1990, which is later than most estimates," said DeVries, an associate professor in the Department of Geography, and a co-author on a paper that appears in the journal Nature Communications. According to the study, the period from 1950 to1990 saw temperature fluctuations in the water column but no net warming.