What Was Nate Silver's Data Revolution?

Political journalism suffers from a central contradiction: elections are finicky things, but the best way for a commentator to make a name for himself is to project as much confidence as he can. The collection of confidence can take many forms: journalists can position themselves as monarchs of gossip; they can embed with campaigns and provide a look from the inside; they can simply plug their ears and yell louder than the next guy. The key to staying in the game is to never allow the actual outcome of an election to change the way you go about your business. After the 2012 Presidential election, political media had a moment when it seemed like that confidence game might finally come to an end. If you worked in the news business in any capacity after Nate Silver correctly called all fifty states in 2012, you likely remember feeling desperate to catch up to the new paradigm.