Social Information Improves Location Prediction in the Wild

Li, Jai (University of Illinois at Chicago) | Brugere, Ivan (University of Illinois at Chicago) | Ziebart, Brian (University of Illinois at Chicago) | Berger-Wolf, Tanya (University of Illinois at Chicago) | Crofoot, Margaret (University of California-Davis) | Farine, Damien (University of California-Davis)

AAAI Conferences 

How can knowing the location of my friends be used to more accurately predict my location? This paper explores socially-aware location prediction under a particularly challenging setting where the underlying interactions and social network are unknown and must be inferred over continuous spatiotemporal data. Our method samples inferred network topology using a linear regression model to predict future individual locations. We present an in-depth empirical study comparing different network models and network sampling regimes under a bootstrapped sampling baseline. Furthermore, our qualitative analysis demonstrates the value of social information in population mobility modeling under our application’s challenges.

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