Maximum Conditional Likelihood via Bound Maximization and the CEM Algorithm

We present the CEM (Conditional Expectation Maximi::ation) algorithm as an extension of the EM (Expectation M aximi::ation) algorithm to conditional density estimation under missing data. A bounding and maximization process is given to specifically optimize conditional likelihood instead of the usual joint likelihood. We apply the method to conditioned mixture models and use bounding techniques to derive the model's update rules. Monotonic convergence, computational efficiency and regression results superior to EM are demonstrated.