A Semiparametric Bayesian Extreme Value Model Using a Dirichlet Process Mixture of Gamma Densities

In recent years extreme value mixture models have been proposed as a combination of a distribution with a "bulk part" below threshold and a generalized Pareto distribution (GPD) in the tail. Different distributions have been proposed for modelling the "bulk part" where the threshold is a parameter to be estimated. The first approach which allow us a transition between the bulk and tail parts is provided by Frigessi, Haug & Harvard (2003). Frigessi et al. (2003) uses a Weibull distribution in the bulk part, a GPD for the tail and the location-scale Cauchy cdf in the transition function and the authors use maximum likelihood estimation. However in the Frigessi et al. (2003) approach maximum likelihood estimation in the bulk part could produce multiple modes and hence some identifiability problems. Behrens, Lopez & Gammerman (2004) and Carreu & Bengio (2009) consider Gamma and Normal distributions respectively in the bulk part.