Probabilistic graphs model uncertainty by means of probabilistic edges whose value quantifies the likelihood of the edge existence or the strength of the link it represents. One of the main issues in probabilistic graphs is how to compute the connectivity of the network. The network reliability problem [4] is a generalization of the pairwise reachability, in which the goal is to determine the probability that all pairs of nodes are reachable from one another. Unlike a deterministic graph in which the reachability function is a binary value function indicating whether or not there is a path connecting two nodes, in the case of probabilistic graphs the function assumes probabilistic values. The concept of reachability in probabilistic graphs is used, along with its specialization, as a tool to compute how two nodes in the graph are likely to be connected. Reachability plays an important role in wide range of applications, such as in peer-to-peer networks [3, 18], for probabilistic-routing problem [2, 10], in road network [11], and in trust analysis in social networks [22].As adopted in these works, reachability is quite similar to the general concept of link prediction [9], whose task may be formalized as follows. Given a networked structure (V,E) made up of a set of data instances V and set of observed links E among some nodes in V, the task corresponds to predict how likely should exist an unobserved link between two nodes in the network. The extension to probabilistic graphs adds an important ingredient that should be adequately exploited.

We present a new algorithm for exactly solving decision making problems represented as influence diagrams. We do not require the usual assumptions of no forgetting and regularity; this allows us to solve problems with simultaneous decisions and limited information. The algorithm is empirically shown to outperform a state-of-the-art algorithm on randomly generated problems of up to 150 variables and 10^64 solutions. We show that these problems are NP-hard even if the underlying graph structure of the problem has low treewidth and the variables take on a bounded number of states, and that they admit no provably good approximation if variables can take on an arbitrary number of states.

We develop the Latent Multi-group Membership Graph (LMMG) model, a model of networks with rich node feature structure. In the LMMG model, each node belongs to multiple groups and each latent group models the occurrence of links as well as the node feature structure. The LMMG can be used to summarize the network structure, to predict links between the nodes, and to predict missing features of a node. We derive efficient inference and learning algorithms and evaluate the predictive performance of the LMMG on several social and document network datasets.

Large Markov decision processes (MDPs) are common in reinforcement learning and operations research and are often solved by approximate dynamic programming (ADP). Many ADP algorithms have been developed and studied, often with impressive empirical performance. However, because many ADP methods must be carefully tuned to work well and offer insufficient theoretical guarantees, it is important to develop new methods that have both good theoretical guarantees and empirical performance. Approximate linear programming (ALP)--an ADP method--has been developed with the goal of achieving convergence and good theoretical guarantees (de Farias & van Roy, 2003). Approximate bilinear programming (ABP) improves on the theoretical properties of ALP at the cost of additional computational complexity (Petrik & Zilberstein, 2009, 2011).

We consider the high-dimensional heteroscedastic regression model, where the mean and the log variance are modeled as a linear combination of input variables. Existing literature on high-dimensional linear regres- sion models has largely ignored non-constant error variances, even though they commonly occur in a variety of applications ranging from biostatis- tics to finance. In this paper we study a class of non-convex penalized pseudolikelihood estimators for both the mean and variance parameters. We show that the Heteroscedastic Iterative Penalized Pseudolikelihood Optimizer (HIPPO) achieves the oracle property, that is, we prove that the rates of convergence are the same as if the true model was known. We demonstrate numerical properties of the procedure on a simulation study and real world data.

We provide a unifying framework linking two classes of statistics used in two-sample and independence testing: on the one hand, the energy distances and distance covariances from the statistics literature; on the other, distances between embeddings of distributions to reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (RKHS), as established in machine learning. The equivalence holds when energy distances are computed with semimetrics of negative type, in which case a kernel may be defined such that the RKHS distance between distributions corresponds exactly to the energy distance. We determine the class of probability distributions for which kernels induced by semimetrics are characteristic (that is, for which embeddings of the distributions to an RKHS are injective). Finally, we investigate the performance of this family of kernels in two-sample and independence tests: we show in particular that the energy distance most commonly employed in statistics is just one member of a parametric family of kernels, and that other choices from this family can yield more powerful tests.

This paper introduces and studies a declarative framework for updating views over indefinite databases. An indefinite database is a database with null values that are represented, following the standard database approach, by a single null constant. The paper formalizes views over such databases as indefinite deductive databases, and defines for them several classes of database repairs that realize view-update requests. Most notable is the class of constrained repairs. Constrained repairs change the database "minimally" and avoid making arbitrary commitments. They narrow down the space of alternative ways to fulfill the view-update request to those that are grounded, in a certain strong sense, in the database, the view and the view-update request.

Social influence has no small effect on the preferences and behavior of agents in a social space. Contrary to rationality, we sometimes compromise our own needs for those of others. Thus, social influence has important implications in agent cognitive modeling for multi-objective decision-making problems. Namely, where these activities occur within a social context, the intentional preferences or utility of an agent may be subsumed, to a greater or lesser degree, by the influences of other agents. In this paper, a socially-aware model predictive controller is proposed using a social influence network theory and applied to a HVAC control problem. It transforms individual agent utility to socially-influenced utility reflecting interagent influences due to their existing relationships.

In this article, a multipopulation Cultural Algorithm (MP-CA) is proposed to solve Job Shop Scheduling Problems (JSSP). The idea of using multiple populations in a Cultural Algorithm is implemented for the first time in JSSP. The proposed method divides the whole population into a number of sub-populations. On each sub-population, a local CA is applied which includes its own population space as well as belief space. The local CAs use Evolutionary Programming (EP) to evolve their populations, and moreover they incorporate a local search approach to speed up their convergence rates. The local CAs communicate with each other using knowledge migration which is a novel concept in CA. The proposed method extracts two types of knowledge including normative and topographic knowledge and uses the extracted knowledge to guide the evolutionary process to generate better solutions. The MP-CA is evaluated using a well-known benchmark. The results show that the MP-CA outperforms some of the existing methods by offering better solutions as well as better convergence rates, and produces competitive solutions when compared to the state-of-the-art methods used to deal with JSSPs.

In this paper we describe an improvement to the popular IDA* search algorithm that emphasizes a different space-for-time trade-off than previously suggested. In particular, our algorithm, called Iterative-Expansion A* (IEA*), focuses on reducing redundant node expansions within individual depth-first search DFS iterations of IDA* by employing a relatively small amount of available memory--bounded by the error in the heuristic--to store selected nodes. The additional memory required is exponential not in the solution depth, but only in the difference between the solution depth and the estimated solution depth. A constant-time hash set lookup can then be used to prune entire subtrees as DFS proceeds. Overall, we show 2- to 26-fold time speedups vs. an optimized version of IDA* across several domains, and compare IEA* with several other competing approaches. We also sketch proofs of optimality and completeness for IEA*, and note that IEA* is particularly efficient for solving implicitly-defined general graph search problems.