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Bayesian online learning provides a coherent framework for sequential inference. However, its theoretical understanding remains limited, particularly in the one-pass setting. Existing theoretical guarantees typically require the mini-batch sample size to diverge, a condition that fails in the one-pass regime. In this paper, we propose a new Bayesian online learning algorithm tailored to the one-pass setting, which incorporates a warm-start phase to ensure stable sequential updates. For this algorithm, we show that the sequentially updated posterior attains the optimal convergence rate. Building on this, we establish an online analogue of the Bernstein-von Mises theorem, which guarantees valid uncertainty quantification without diverging mini-batch sample sizes. Our analysis is based on a novel theoretical framework that differs fundamentally from existing approaches in the online learning literature. Numerical experiments on generalized linear models show that the proposed method matches the performance of the batch estimator while outperforming existing online procedures.

The framework of feedback graphs is a generalization of sequential decisionmaking with bandit or full information feedback. In this work, we study an extension where the directed feedback graph is stochastic, following a distribution similar to the classical Erdős-Rényi model. Specifically, in each round every edge in the graph is either realized or not with a distinct probability for each edge.

We consider the problem of online learning in the presence of distribution shifts that occur at an unknown rate and of unknown intensity. We derive a new Bayesian online inference approach to simultaneously infer these distribution shifts and adapt the model to the detected changes by integrating ideas from change point detection, switching dynamical systems, and Bayesian online learning. Using a binary'change variable,' we construct an informative prior such that-if a change is detected-the model partially erases the information of past model updates by tempering to facilitate adaptation to the new data distribution. Furthermore, the approach uses beam search to track multiple change-point hypotheses and selects the most probable one in hindsight. Our proposed method is model-agnostic, applicable in both supervised and unsupervised learning settings, suitable for an environment of concept drifts or covariate drifts, and yields improvements over state-of-the-art Bayesian online learning approaches.

We study the design of computationally efficient online learning algorithms under smoothed analysis. In this setting, at every step an adversary generates a sample from an adaptively chosen distribution whose density is upper bounded by 1/ times the uniform density. Given access to an offline optimization (ERM) oracle, we give the first computationally efficient online algorithms whose sublinear regret depends only on the pseudo/VC dimension dof the class and the smoothness parameter .

A burgeoning paradigm in algorithm design is the field of algorithms with predictions, in which algorithms can take advantage of a possibly-imperfect prediction of some aspect of the problem. While much work has focused on using predictions to improve competitive ratios, running times, or other performance measures, less effort has been devoted to the question of how to obtain the predictions themselves, especially in the critical online setting. We introduce a general design approach for algorithms that learn predictors: (1) identify a functional dependence of the performance measure on the prediction quality and (2) apply techniques from online learning to learn predictors, tune robustness-consistency trade-offs, and bound the sample complexity. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach by applying it to bipartite matching, ski-rental, page migration, and job scheduling. In several settings we improve upon multiple existing results while utilizing a much simpler analysis, while in the others we provide the first learning-theoretic guarantees.

We study the problem of completing a binary matrix in an online learning setting. On each trial we predict a matrix entry and then receive the true entry. We propose a Matrix Exponentiated Gradient algorithm [1] to solve this problem. We provide a mistake bound for the algorithm, which scales with the margin complexity [2, 3] of the underlying matrix. The bound suggests an interpretation where each row of the matrix is a prediction task over a finite set of objects, the columns. Using this we show that the algorithm makes a number of mistakes which is comparable up to a logarithmic factor to the number of mistakes made by the Kernel Perceptron with an optimal kernel in hindsight. We discuss applications of the algorithm to predicting as well as the best biclustering and to the problem of predicting the labeling of a graph without knowing the graph in advance.

We propose a new partial-observability model for online learning problems where the learner, besides its own loss, also observes some noisy feedback about the other actions, depending on the underlying structure of the problem. We represent this structure by a weighted directed graph, where the edge weights are related to the quality of the feedback shared by the connected nodes. Our main contribution is an efficient algorithm that guarantees a regret of $\widetilde{O}(\sqrt{α^* T})$ after $T$ rounds, where $α^*$ is a novel graph property that we call the effective independence number. Our algorithm is completely parameter-free and does not require knowledge (or even estimation) of $α^*$. For the special case of binary edge weights, our setting reduces to the partial-observability models of Mannor and Shamir (2011) and Alon et al. (2013) and our algorithm recovers the near-optimal regret bounds.

We develop parameter-free algorithms for unconstrained online learning with regret guarantees that scale with the gradient variation $V_T(u) = \sum_{t=2}^T \|\nabla f_t(u)-\nabla f_{t-1}(u)\|^2$. For $L$-smooth convex loss, we provide fully-adaptive algorithms achieving regret of order $\widetilde{O}(\|u\|\sqrt{V_T(u)} + L\|u\|^2+G^4)$ without requiring prior knowledge of comparator norm $\|u\|$, Lipschitz constant $G$, or smoothness $L$. The update in each round can be computed efficiently via a closed-form expression. Our results extend to dynamic regret and find immediate implications to the stochastically-extended adversarial (SEA) model, which significantly improves upon the previous best-known result [Wang et al., 2025].

Importantly, this matches the optimal bound $G\|w_\star\|\sqrt{T}$ available with such knowledge (up to logarithmic factors), unless either $\|w_\star\|$ or $G$ is so large that even $G\|w_\star\|\sqrt{T}$ is roughly linear in $T$. Thus, at a high level it matches the optimal bound in all cases in which one can achieve sublinear regret.