Uncertainty
Bayesian grey-box identification of nonlinear convection effects in heat transfer dynamics
Kouw, Wouter M., Gruijthuijsen, Caspar, Blanken, Lennart, Evers, Enzo, Rogers, Timothy
We propose a computational procedure for identifying convection in heat transfer dynamics. The procedure is based on a Gaussian process latent force model, consisting of a white-box component (i.e., known physics) for the conduction and linear convection effects and a Gaussian process that acts as a black-box component for the nonlinear convection effects. States are inferred through Bayesian smoothing and we obtain approximate posterior distributions for the kernel covariance function's hyperparameters using Laplace's method. The nonlinear convection function is recovered from the Gaussian process states using a Bayesian regression model. We validate the procedure by simulation error using the identified nonlinear convection function, on both data from a simulated system and measurements from a physical assembly.
Top-K Pairwise Ranking: Bridging the Gap Among Ranking-Based Measures for Multi-Label Classification
Wang, Zitai, Xu, Qianqian, Yang, Zhiyong, Wen, Peisong, He, Yuan, Cao, Xiaochun, Huang, Qingming
Multi-label ranking, which returns multiple top-ranked labels for each instance, has a wide range of applications for visual tasks. Due to its complicated setting, prior arts have proposed various measures to evaluate model performances. However, both theoretical analysis and empirical observations show that a model might perform inconsistently on different measures. To bridge this gap, this paper proposes a novel measure named Top-K Pairwise Ranking (TKPR), and a series of analyses show that TKPR is compatible with existing ranking-based measures. In light of this, we further establish an empirical surrogate risk minimization framework for TKPR. On one hand, the proposed framework enjoys convex surrogate losses with the theoretical support of Fisher consistency. On the other hand, we establish a sharp generalization bound for the proposed framework based on a novel technique named data-dependent contraction. Finally, empirical results on benchmark datasets validate the effectiveness of the proposed framework.
Learning From Crowdsourced Noisy Labels: A Signal Processing Perspective
Ibrahim, Shahana, Traganitis, Panagiotis A., Fu, Xiao, Giannakis, Georgios B.
One of the primary catalysts fueling advances in artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) is the availability of massive, curated datasets. A commonly used technique to curate such massive datasets is crowdsourcing, where data are dispatched to multiple annotators. The annotator-produced labels are then fused to serve downstream learning and inference tasks. This annotation process often creates noisy labels due to various reasons, such as the limited expertise, or unreliability of annotators, among others. Therefore, a core objective in crowdsourcing is to develop methods that effectively mitigate the negative impact of such label noise on learning tasks. This feature article introduces advances in learning from noisy crowdsourced labels. The focus is on key crowdsourcing models and their methodological treatments, from classical statistical models to recent deep learning-based approaches, emphasizing analytical insights and algorithmic developments. In particular, this article reviews the connections between signal processing (SP) theory and methods, such as identifiability of tensor and nonnegative matrix factorization, and novel, principled solutions of longstanding challenges in crowdsourcing -- showing how SP perspectives drive the advancements of this field. Furthermore, this article touches upon emerging topics that are critical for developing cutting-edge AI/ML systems, such as crowdsourcing in reinforcement learning with human feedback (RLHF) and direct preference optimization (DPO) that are key techniques for fine-tuning large language models (LLMs).
A new validity measure for fuzzy c-means clustering
ABSTRACT: A new cluster validity index is proposed for fuzzy clusters obtained from fuzzy c-means algorithm. The proposed validity index exploits inter-cluster proximity between fuzzy clusters. Inter-cluster proximity is used to measure the degree of overlap between clusters. A low proximity value refers to well-partitioned clusters. The best fuzzy c-partition is obtained by minimizing inter-cluster proximity with respect to c. Well-known data sets are tested to show the effectiveness and reliability of the proposed index.
Simple and Interpretable Probabilistic Classifiers for Knowledge Graphs
Riefolo, Christian, Fanizzi, Nicola, d'Amato, Claudia
Tackling the problem of learning probabilistic classifiers from incomplete data in the context of Knowledge Graphs expressed in Description Logics, we describe an inductive approach based on learning simple belief networks. Specifically, we consider a basic probabilistic model, a Naive Bayes classifier, based on multivariate Bernoullis and its extension to a two-tier network in which this classification model is connected to a lower layer consisting of a mixture of Bernoullis. We show how such models can be converted into (probabilistic) axioms (or rules) thus ensuring more interpretability. Moreover they may be also initialized exploiting expert knowledge. We present and discuss the outcomes of an empirical evaluation which aimed at testing the effectiveness of the models on a number of random classification problems with different ontologies.
Learning to Complement and to Defer to Multiple Users
Zhang, Zheng, Ai, Wenjie, Wells, Kevin, Rosewarne, David, Do, Thanh-Toan, Carneiro, Gustavo
With the development of Human-AI Collaboration in Classification (HAI-CC), integrating users and AI predictions becomes challenging due to the complex decision-making process. This process has three options: 1) AI autonomously classifies, 2) learning to complement, where AI collaborates with users, and 3) learning to defer, where AI defers to users. Despite their interconnected nature, these options have been studied in isolation rather than as components of a unified system. In this paper, we address this weakness with the novel HAI-CC methodology, called Learning to Complement and to Defer to Multiple Users (LECODU). LECODU not only combines learning to complement and learning to defer strategies, but it also incorporates an estimation of the optimal number of users to engage in the decision process. The training of LECODU maximises classification accuracy and minimises collaboration costs associated with user involvement. Comprehensive evaluations across real-world and synthesized datasets demonstrate LECODU's superior performance compared to state-of-the-art HAI-CC methods. Remarkably, even when relying on unreliable users with high rates of label noise, LECODU exhibits significant improvement over both human decision-makers alone and AI alone.
Variational Learning ISTA
Massoli, Fabio Valerio, Louizos, Christos, Behboodi, Arash
Compressed sensing combines the power of convex optimization techniques with a sparsity-inducing prior on the signal space to solve an underdetermined system of equations. For many problems, the sparsifying dictionary is not directly given, nor its existence can be assumed. Besides, the sensing matrix can change across different scenarios. Addressing these issues requires solving a sparse representation learning problem, namely dictionary learning, taking into account the epistemic uncertainty of the learned dictionaries and, finally, jointly learning sparse representations and reconstructions under varying sensing matrix conditions. We address both concerns by proposing a variant of the LISTA architecture. First, we introduce Augmented Dictionary Learning ISTA (A-DLISTA), which incorporates an augmentation module to adapt parameters to the current measurement setup. Then, we propose to learn a distribution over dictionaries via a variational approach, dubbed Variational Learning ISTA (VLISTA). VLISTA exploits A-DLISTA as the likelihood model and approximates a posterior distribution over the dictionaries as part of an unfolded LISTA-based recovery algorithm. As a result, VLISTA provides a probabilistic way to jointly learn the dictionary distribution and the reconstruction algorithm with varying sensing matrices. We provide theoretical and experimental support for our architecture and show that our model learns calibrated uncertainties.
Causal Discovery in Semi-Stationary Time Series
Gao, Shanyun, Addanki, Raghavendra, Yu, Tong, Rossi, Ryan A., Kocaoglu, Murat
Discovering causal relations from observational time series without making the stationary assumption is a significant challenge. In practice, this challenge is common in many areas, such as retail sales, transportation systems, and medical science. Here, we consider this problem for a class of non-stationary time series. The structural causal model (SCM) of this type of time series, called the semi-stationary time series, exhibits that a finite number of different causal mechanisms occur sequentially and periodically across time. This model holds considerable practical utility because it can represent periodicity, including common occurrences such as seasonality and diurnal variation. We propose a constraint-based, non-parametric algorithm for discovering causal relations in this setting. The resulting algorithm, PCMCI$_{\Omega}$, can capture the alternating and recurring changes in the causal mechanisms and then identify the underlying causal graph with conditional independence (CI) tests. We show that this algorithm is sound in identifying causal relations on discrete time series. We validate the algorithm with extensive experiments on continuous and discrete simulated data. We also apply our algorithm to a real-world climate dataset.
Exploiting Heterogeneity in Timescales for Sparse Recurrent Spiking Neural Networks for Energy-Efficient Edge Computing
Chakraborty, Biswadeep, Mukhopadhyay, Saibal
Spiking Neural Networks (SNNs) represent the forefront of neuromorphic computing, promising energy-efficient and biologically plausible models for complex tasks. This paper weaves together three groundbreaking studies that revolutionize SNN performance through the introduction of heterogeneity in neuron and synapse dynamics. We explore the transformative impact of Heterogeneous Recurrent Spiking Neural Networks (HRSNNs), supported by rigorous analytical frameworks and novel pruning methods like Lyapunov Noise Pruning (LNP). Our findings reveal how heterogeneity not only enhances classification performance but also reduces spiking activity, leading to more efficient and robust networks. By bridging theoretical insights with practical applications, this comprehensive summary highlights the potential of SNNs to outperform traditional neural networks while maintaining lower computational costs. Join us on a journey through the cutting-edge advancements that pave the way for the future of intelligent, energy-efficient neural computing.
CrowdTransfer: Enabling Crowd Knowledge Transfer in AIoT Community
Liu, Yan, Guo, Bin, Li, Nuo, Ding, Yasan, Zhang, Zhouyangzi, Yu, Zhiwen
Artificial Intelligence of Things (AIoT) is an emerging frontier based on the deep fusion of Internet of Things (IoT) and Artificial Intelligence (AI) technologies. Although advanced deep learning techniques enhance the efficient data processing and intelligent analysis of complex IoT data, they still suffer from notable challenges when deployed to practical AIoT applications, such as constrained resources, and diverse task requirements. Knowledge transfer is an effective method to enhance learning performance by avoiding the exorbitant costs associated with data recollection and model retraining. Notably, although there are already some valuable and impressive surveys on transfer learning, these surveys introduce approaches in a relatively isolated way and lack the recent advances of various knowledge transfer techniques for AIoT field. This survey endeavors to introduce a new concept of knowledge transfer, referred to as Crowd Knowledge Transfer (CrowdTransfer), which aims to transfer prior knowledge learned from a crowd of agents to reduce the training cost and as well as improve the performance of the model in real-world complicated scenarios. Particularly, we present four transfer modes from the perspective of crowd intelligence, including derivation, sharing, evolution and fusion modes. Building upon conventional transfer learning methods, we further delve into advanced crowd knowledge transfer models from three perspectives for various AIoT applications. Furthermore, we explore some applications of AIoT areas, such as human activity recognition, urban computing, multi-robot system, and smart factory. Finally, we discuss the open issues and outline future research directions of knowledge transfer in AIoT community.