Uncertainty
Maximum-Likelihood Continuity Mapping (MALCOM): An Alternative to HMMs
Nix, David A., Hogden, John E.
We describe Maximum-Likelihood Continuity Mapping (MALCOM), an alternative to hidden Markov models (HMMs) for processing sequence data such as speech. While HMMs have a discrete "hidden" space constrained bya fixed finite-automaton architecture, MALCOM has a continuous hidden space-a continuity map-that is constrained only by a smoothness requirement on paths through the space. MALCOM fits into the same probabilistic framework for speech recognition as HMMs, but it represents a more realistic model of the speech production process. To evaluate the extent to which MALCOM captures speech production information, we generated continuous speech continuity maps for three speakers and used the paths through them to predict measured speech articulator data. The median correlation between the MALCOM paths obtained from only the speech acoustics and articulator measurements was 0.77 on an independent test set not used to train MALCOM or the predictor.
Probabilistic Visualisation of High-Dimensional Binary Data
We present a probabilistic latent-variable framework for data visualisation, akey feature of which is its applicability to binary and categorical data types for which few established methods exist. A variational approximation to the likelihood is exploited to derive a fast algorithm for determining the model parameters. Illustrations of application to real and synthetic binary data sets are given.
Batch and On-Line Parameter Estimation of Gaussian Mixtures Based on the Joint Entropy
Singer, Yoram, Warmuth, Manfred K.
We describe a new iterative method for parameter estimation of Gaussian mixtures.The new method is based on a framework developed by Kivinen and Warmuth for supervised online learning. In contrast to gradient descentand EM, which estimate the mixture's covariance matrices, the proposed method estimates the inverses of the covariance matrices. Furthennore, the new parameter estimation procedure can be applied in both online and batch settings. We show experimentally that it is typically fasterthan EM, and usually requires about half as many iterations as EM. 1 Introduction Mixture models, in particular mixtures of Gaussians, have been a popular tool for density estimation, clustering, and unsupervised learning with a wide range of applications (see for instance [5, 2] and the references therein). Mixture models are one of the most useful tools for handling incomplete data, in particular hidden variables.
Unsupervised Classification with Non-Gaussian Mixture Models Using ICA
Lee, Te-Won, Lewicki, Michael S., Sejnowski, Terrence J.
Te-Won Lee, Michael S. Lewicki and Terrence Sejnowski Howard Hughes Medical Institute Computational Neurobiology Laboratory The Salk Institute 10010 N. Torrey Pines Road La Jolla, California 92037, USA {tewon,lewicki,terry}Osalk.edu Abstract We present an unsupervised classification algorithm based on an ICA mixture model. The ICA mixture model assumes that the observed data can be categorized into several mutually exclusive data classes in which the components in each class are generated by a linear mixture of independent sources. The algorithm finds the independent sources, the mixing matrix for each class and also computes the class membership probability for each data point. This approach extends the Gaussian mixture model so that the classes can have non-Gaussian structure. We demonstrate that this method can learn efficient codes to represent images of natural scenes and text.
Sparse Code Shrinkage: Denoising by Nonlinear Maximum Likelihood Estimation
Hyvรคrinen, Aapo, Hoyer, Patrik O., Oja, Erkki
Sparse coding is a method for finding a representation of data in which each of the components of the representation is only rarely significantly active. Such a representation is closely related to redundancy reductionand independent component analysis, and has some neurophysiological plausibility. In this paper, we show how sparse coding can be used for denoising. Using maximum likelihood estimation of nongaussian variables corrupted by gaussian noise, we show how to apply a shrinkage nonlinearity on the components of sparse coding so as to reduce noise. Furthermore, we show how to choose the optimal sparse coding basis for denoising.
Learning from Dyadic Data
Hofmann, Thomas, Puzicha, Jan, Jordan, Michael I.
Dyadzc data refers to a domain with two finite sets of objects in which observations are made for dyads, i.e., pairs with one element from either set. This type of data arises naturally in many application rangingfrom computational linguistics and information retrieval to preference analysis and computer vision. In this paper, we present a systematic, domain-independent framework of learning fromdyadic data by statistical mixture models. Our approach covers different models with fiat and hierarchical latent class structures. Wepropose an annealed version of the standard EM algorithm for model fitting which is empirically evaluated on a variety of data sets from different domains. 1 Introduction Over the past decade learning from data has become a highly active field of research distributedover many disciplines like pattern recognition, neural computation, statistics,machine learning, and data mining.
Fisher Scoring and a Mixture of Modes Approach for Approximate Inference and Learning in Nonlinear State Space Models
Briegel, Thomas, Tresp, Volker
The difficulties lie in the Monte-Carlo E-step which consists of sampling from the posterior distribution of the hidden variables given the observations. The new idea presented in this paper is to generate samples from a Gaussian approximation to the true posterior from which it is easy to obtain independent samples. The parameters of the Gaussian approximation are either derived from the extended Kalman filter or the Fisher scoring algorithm. In case the posterior density is multimodal wepropose to approximate the posterior by a sum of Gaussians (mixture of modes approach). We show that sampling from the approximate posteriordensities obtained by the above algorithms leads to better models than using point estimates for the hidden states. In our experiment, theFisher scoring algorithm obtained a better approximation of the posterior mode than the EKF. For a multimodal distribution, the mixture ofmodes approach gave superior results. 1 INTRODUCTION Nonlinear state space models (NSSM) are a general framework for representing nonlinear time series. In particular, any NARMAX model (nonlinear auto-regressive moving average model with external inputs) can be translated into an equivalent NSSM.
Approximate Learning of Dynamic Models
Inference is a key component in learning probabilistic models from partially observabledata. When learning temporal models, each of the many inference phases requires a traversal over an entire long data sequence; furthermore,the data structures manipulated are exponentially large, making this process computationally expensive. In [2], we describe an approximate inference algorithm for monitoring stochastic processes, and prove bounds on its approximation error. In this paper, we apply this algorithm as an approximate forward propagation step in an EM algorithm for learning temporal Bayesian networks. We provide a related approximation forthe backward step, and prove error bounds for the combined algorithm.