Uncertainty
Identifiability of Gaussian Structural Equation Models with Homogeneous and Heterogeneous Error Variances
In this work, we consider the identifiability assumption of Gaussian structural equation models (SEMs) in which each variable is determined by a linear function of its parents plus normally distributed error. It has been shown that linear Gaussian structural equation models are fully identifiable if all error variances are the same or known. Hence, this work proves the identifiability of Gaussian SEMs with both homogeneous and heterogeneous unknown error variances. Our new identifiability assumption exploits not only error variances, but edge weights; hence, it is strictly milder than prior work on the identifiability result. We further provide a structure learning algorithm that is statistically consistent and computationally feasible, based on our new assumption. The proposed algorithm assumes that all relevant variables are observed, while it does not assume causal minimality and faithfulness. We verify our theoretical findings through simulations, and compare our algorithm to state-of-the-art PC, GES and GDS algorithms.
A Full Probabilistic Model for Yes/No Type Crowdsourcing in Multi-Class Classification
Saldias-Fuentes, Belen, Protopapas, Pavlos, Pichara, Karim
Crowdsourcing has become widely used in supervised scenarios where training sets are scarce and difficult to obtain. Most crowdsourcing models in the literature assume labelers can provide answers to full questions. In classification contexts, full questions require a labeler to discern among all possible classes. Unfortunately, discernment is not always easy in realistic scenarios. Labelers may not be experts in differentiating all classes. In this work, we provide a full probabilistic model for a shorter type of queries. Our shorter queries only require "yes" or "no" responses. Our model estimates a joint posterior distribution of matrices related to labelers' confusions and the posterior probability of the class of every object. We developed an approximate inference approach, using Monte Carlo Sampling and Black Box Variational Inference, which provides the derivation of the necessary gradients. We built two realistic crowdsourcing scenarios to test our model. The first scenario queries for irregular astronomical time-series. The second scenario relies on the image classification of animals. We achieved results that are comparable with those of full query crowdsourcing. Furthermore, we show that modeling labelers' failures plays an important role in estimating true classes. Finally, we provide the community with two real datasets obtained from our crowdsourcing experiments. All our code is publicly available.
Positions for Exceptional Doctoral Students (deadline January 31, 2019)
The Helsinki Doctoral Education Network in Information and Communications Technology (HICT) is a joint initiative by Aalto University and the University of Helsinki, the two leading universities within this area in Finland. The network involves at present over 60 professors and over 200 doctoral students, and the participating units graduate altogether more than 40 new doctors each year. The quality of research and education in both HICT universities is world-class, and the education is practically free as there are no tuition fees for doctoral students in the Finnish university system. In terms of the living environment, Helsinki has been ranked as one of the world's top-10 most livable cities (Economist, 2017), and Finland is among the best countries in the world with respect to many quality of life indicators, including being the overall #1 country in human wellbeing. Helsinki is in the second place in the world's startup city comparison (Valuer, 2018) and is also the Mobile Data Capital of the World (IEEE Spectrum, 2018). The participating units of HICT have currently funding available for exceptionally qualified doctoral students. We offer the possibility to join world-class research groups, with multiple interesting research projects to choose from. If you wish to be considered as a potential new doctoral student in HICT you can apply to one or a number of doctoral student positions (listed below).
Variational Characterizations of Local Entropy and Heat Regularization in Deep Learning
Trillos, Nicolas Garcia, Kaplan, Zach, Sanz-Alonso, Daniel
The aim of this paper is to provide new theoretical and computational understanding on two loss regularizations employed in deep learning, known as local entropy and heat regularization. For both regularized losses we introduce variational characterizations that naturally suggest a two-step scheme for their optimization, based on the iterative shift of a probability density and the calculation of a best Gaussian approximation in Kullback-Leibler divergence. Under this unified light, the optimization schemes for local entropy and heat regularized loss differ only over which argument of the Kullback-Leibler divergence is used to find the best Gaussian approximation. Local entropy corresponds to minimizing over the second argument, and the solution is given by moment matching. This allows to replace traditional back-propagation calculation of gradients by sampling algorithms, opening an avenue for gradient-free, parallelizable training of neural networks.
Testing Conditional Predictive Independence in Supervised Learning Algorithms
Watson, David S., Wright, Marvin N.
We propose a general test of conditional independence. The conditional predictive impact (CPI) is a provably consistent and unbiased estimator of one or several features' association with a given outcome, conditional on a (potentially empty) reduced feature set. The measure can be calculated using any supervised learning algorithm and loss function. It relies on no parametric assumptions and applies equally well to continuous and categorical predictors and outcomes. The CPI can be efficiently computed for low- or high-dimensional data without any sparsity constraints. We illustrate PAC-Bayesian convergence rates for the CPI and develop statistical inference procedures for evaluating its magnitude, significance, and precision. These tests aid in feature and model selection, extending traditional frequentist and Bayesian techniques to general supervised learning tasks. The CPI may also be used in conjunction with causal discovery algorithms to identify underlying graph structures for multivariate systems. We test our method in conjunction with various algorithms, including linear regression, neural networks, random forests, and support vector machines. Empirical results show that the CPI compares favorably to alternative variable importance measures and other nonparametric tests of conditional independence on a diverse array of real and simulated datasets. Simulations confirm that our inference procedures successfully control Type I error and achieve nominal coverage probability. Our method has been implemented in an R package, cpi, which can be downloaded from https://github.com/dswatson/cpi.
Hierarchically Clustered Representation Learning
Shin, Su-Jin, Song, Kyungwoo, Moon, Il-Chul
The joint optimization of representation learning and clustering in the embedding space has experienced a breakthrough in recent years. In spite of the advance, clustering with representation learning has been limited to flat-level categories, which often involves cohesive clustering with a focus on instance relations. To overcome the limitations of flat clustering, we introduce hierarchically-clustered representation learning (HCRL), which simultaneously optimizes representation learning and hierarchical clustering in the embedding space. Compared with a few prior works, HCRL firstly attempts to consider a generation of deep embeddings from every component of the hierarchy, not just leaf components. In addition to obtaining hierarchically clustered embeddings, we can reconstruct data by the various abstraction levels, infer the intrinsic hierarchical structure, and learn the level-proportion features. We conducted evaluations with image and text domains, and our quantitative analyses showed competent likelihoods and the best accuracies compared with the baselines.
Ising Models with Latent Conditional Gaussian Variables
Nussbaum, Frank, Giesen, Joachim
Ising models describe the joint probability distribution of a vector of binary feature variables. Typically, not all the variables interact with each other and one is interested in learning the presumably sparse network structure of the interacting variables. However, in the presence of latent variables, the conventional method of learning a sparse model might fail. This is because the latent variables induce indirect interactions of the observed variables. In the case of only a few latent conditional Gaussian variables these spurious interactions contribute an additional low-rank component to the interaction parameters of the observed Ising model. Therefore, we propose to learn a sparse + low-rank decomposition of the parameters of an Ising model using a convex regularized likelihood problem. We show that the same problem can be obtained as the dual of a maximum-entropy problem with a new type of relaxation, where the sample means collectively need to match the expected values only up to a given tolerance. The solution to the convex optimization problem has consistency properties in the high-dimensional setting, where the number of observed binary variables and the number of latent conditional Gaussian variables are allowed to grow with the number of training samples.
Improved Accounting for Differentially Private Learning
Triastcyn, Aleksei, Faltings, Boi
We consider the problem of differential privacy accounting, i.e. estimation of privacy loss bounds, in machine learning in a broad sense. We propose two versions of a generic privacy accountant suitable for a wide range of learning algorithms. Both versions are derived in a simple and principled way using well-known tools from probability theory, such as concentration inequalities. We demonstrate that our privacy accountant is able to achieve state-of-the-art estimates of DP guarantees and can be applied to new areas like variational inference. Moreover, we show that the latter enjoys differential privacy at minor cost.
Fairness in representation: quantifying stereotyping as a representational harm
Abbasi, Mohsen, Friedler, Sorelle A., Scheidegger, Carlos, Venkatasubramanian, Suresh
While harms of allocation have been increasingly studied as part of the subfield of algorithmic fairness, harms of representation have received considerably less attention. In this paper, we formalize two notions of stereotyping and show how they manifest in later allocative harms within the machine learning pipeline. We also propose mitigation strategies and demonstrate their effectiveness on synthetic datasets.
Normalized Flat Minima: Exploring Scale Invariant Definition of Flat Minima for Neural Networks using PAC-Bayesian Analysis
Tsuzuku, Yusuke, Sato, Issei, Sugiyama, Masashi
The notion of flat minima has played a key role in the generalization studies of deep learning models. However, existing definitions of the flatness are known to be sensitive to the rescaling of parameters. The issue suggests that the previous definitions of the flatness might not be a good measure of generalization, because generalization is invariant to such rescalings. In this paper, from the PAC-Bayesian perspective, we scrutinize the discussion concerning the flat minima and introduce the notion of normalized flat minima, which is free from the known scale dependence issues. Additionally, we highlight the scale dependence of existing matrix-norm based generalization error bounds similar to the existing flat minima definitions. Our modified notion of the flatness does not suffer from the insufficiency, either, suggesting it might provide better hierarchy in the hypothesis class.