Goto

Collaborating Authors

 Uncertainty


Batch Value-function Approximation with Only Realizability

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We make progress in a long-standing problem of batch reinforcement learning (RL): learning $Q^\star$ from an exploratory and polynomial-sized dataset, using a realizable and otherwise arbitrary function class. In fact, all existing algorithms demand function-approximation assumptions stronger than realizability, and the mounting negative evidence has led to a conjecture that sample-efficient learning is impossible in this setting (Chen and Jiang, 2019). Our algorithm, BVFT, breaks the hardness conjecture (albeit under a stronger notion of exploratory data) via a tournament procedure that reduces the learning problem to pairwise comparison, and solves the latter with the help of a state-action partition constructed from the compared functions. We also discuss how BVFT can be applied to model selection among other extensions and open problems.


Fast and Accurate Sequence Labeling with Approximate Inference Network

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The linear-chain Conditional Random Field (CRF) model is one of the most widely-used neural sequence labeling approaches. Exact probabilistic inference algorithms such as the forward-backward and Viterbi algorithms are typically applied in training and prediction stages of the CRF model. However, these algorithms require sequential computation that makes parallelization impossible. In this paper, we propose to employ a parallelizable approximate variational inference algorithm for the CRF model. Based on this algorithm, we design an approximate inference network that can be connected with the encoder of the neural CRF model to form an end-to-end network, which is amenable to parallelization for faster training and prediction. The empirical results show that our proposed approaches achieve a 12.7-fold improvement in decoding speed with long sentences and a competitive accuracy compared with the traditional CRF approach.


Type-augmented Relation Prediction in Knowledge Graphs

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Knowledge graphs (KGs) are of great importance to many real world applications, but they generally suffer from incomplete information in the form of missing relations between entities. Knowledge graph completion (also known as relation prediction) is the task of inferring missing facts given existing ones. Most of the existing work is proposed by maximizing the likelihood of observed instance-level triples. Not much attention, however, is paid to the ontological information, such as type information of entities and relations. In this work, we propose a type-augmented relation prediction (TaRP) method, where we apply both the type information and instance-level information for relation prediction. In particular, type information and instance-level information are encoded as prior probabilities and likelihoods of relations respectively, and are combined by following Bayes' rule. Our proposed TaRP method achieves significantly better performance than state-of-the-art methods on three benchmark datasets: FB15K, YAGO26K-906, and DB111K-174. In addition, we show that TaRP achieves significantly improved data efficiency. More importantly, the type information extracted from a specific dataset can generalize well to other datasets through the proposed TaRP model.


Dealing with Incompatibilities among Procedural Goals under Uncertainty

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

By considering rational agents, we focus on the problem of selecting goals out of a set of incompatible ones. We consider three forms of incompatibility introduced by Castelfranchi and Paglieri, namely the terminal, the instrumental (or based on resources), and the superfluity. We represent the agent's plans by means of structured arguments whose premises are pervaded with uncertainty. We measure the strength of these arguments in order to determine the set of compatible goals. We propose two novel ways for calculating the strength of these arguments, depending on the kind of incompatibility that exists between them. The first one is the logical strength value, it is denoted by a three-dimensional vector, which is calculated from a probabilistic interval associated with each argument. The vector represents the precision of the interval, the location of it, and the combination of precision and location. This type of representation and treatment of the strength of a structured argument has not been defined before by the state of the art. The second way for calculating the strength of the argument is based on the cost of the plans (regarding the necessary resources) and the preference of the goals associated with the plans. Considering our novel approach for measuring the strength of structured arguments, we propose a semantics for the selection of plans and goals that is based on Dung's abstract argumentation theory. Finally, we make a theoretical evaluation of our proposal.


Group-wise Contrastive Learning for Neural Dialogue Generation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Neural dialogue response generation has gained much popularity in recent years. Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) objective is widely adopted in existing dialogue model learning. However, models trained with MLE objective function are plagued by the low-diversity issue when it comes to the open-domain conversational setting. Inspired by the observation that humans not only learn from the positive signals but also benefit from correcting behaviors of undesirable actions, in this work, we introduce contrastive learning into dialogue generation, where the model explicitly perceives the difference between the well-chosen positive and negative utterances. Specifically, we employ a pretrained baseline model as a reference. During contrastive learning, the target dialogue model is trained to give higher conditional probabilities for the positive samples, and lower conditional probabilities for those negative samples, compared to the reference model. To manage the multi-mapping relations prevailed in human conversation, we augment contrastive dialogue learning with group-wise dual sampling. Extensive experimental results show that the proposed group-wise contrastive learning framework is suited for training a wide range of neural dialogue generation models with very favorable performance over the baseline training approaches.


A Generalization of Spatial Monte Carlo Integration

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Spatial Monte Carlo integration (SMCI) is an extension of standard Monte Carlo integration and can approximate expectations on Markov random fields with high accuracy. SMCI was applied to pairwise Boltzmann machine (PBM) learning, with superior results to those from some existing methods. The approximation level of SMCI can be changed, and it was proved that a higher-order approximation of SMCI is statistically more accurate than a lower-order approximation. However, SMCI as proposed in the previous studies suffers from a limitation that prevents the application of a higher-order method to dense systems. This study makes two different contributions as follows. A generalization of SMCI (called generalized SMCI (GSMCI)) is proposed, which allows relaxation of the above-mentioned limitation; moreover, a statistical accuracy bound of GSMCI is proved. This is the first contribution of this study. A new PBM learning method based on SMCI is proposed, which is obtained by combining SMCI and the persistent contrastive divergence. The proposed learning method greatly improves the accuracy of learning. This is the second contribution of this study.


A Survey of Knowledge-based Sequential Decision Making under Uncertainty

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Reasoning with declarative knowledge (RDK) and sequential decision-making (SDM) are two key research areas in artificial intelligence. RDK methods reason with declarative domain knowledge, including commonsense knowledge, that is either provided a priori or acquired over time, while SDM methods (probabilistic planning and reinforcement learning) seek to compute action policies that maximize the expected cumulative utility over a time horizon; both classes of methods reason in the presence of uncertainty. Despite the rich literature in these two areas, researchers have not fully explored their complementary strengths. In this paper, we survey algorithms that leverage RDK methods while making sequential decisions under uncertainty. We discuss significant developments, open problems, and directions for future work.


Discond-VAE: Disentangling Continuous Factors from the Discrete

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We propose a variant of VAE capable of disentangling both variations within each class and variations shared across all classes. To represent these generative factors of data, we introduce two sets of continuous latent variables, private variable and public variable. Our proposed framework models the private variable as a Mixture of Gaussian and the public variable as a Gaussian, respectively. Each mode of the private variable is responsible for a class of the discrete variable. Most of the previous attempts to integrate the discrete generative factors to disentanglement assume statistical independence between the continuous and discrete variables. However, this assumption does not hold in general. Our proposed model, which we call Discond-VAE, DISentangles the class-dependent CONtinuous factors from the Discrete factors by introducing the private variables. The experiments show that Discond-VAE can discover the private and public factors from data qualitatively and quantitatively.


Comparison Lift: Bandit-based Experimentation System for Online Advertising

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Comparison Lift is an experimentation-as-a-service (EaaS) application for testing online advertising audiences and creatives at JD.com. Unlike many other EaaS tools that focus primarily on fixed sample A/B testing, Comparison Lift deploys a custom bandit-based experimentation algorithm. The advantages of the bandit-based approach are two-fold. First, it aligns the randomization induced in the test with the advertiser's goals from testing. Second, by adapting experimental design to information acquired during the test, it reduces substantially the cost of experimentation to the advertiser. Since launch in May 2019, Comparison Lift has been utilized in over 1,500 experiments. We estimate that utilization of the product has helped increase click-through rates of participating advertising campaigns by 46% on average. We estimate that the adaptive design in the product has generated 27% more clicks on average during testing compared to a fixed sample A/B design. Both suggest significant value generation and cost savings to advertisers from the product.


Efficient Variational Bayesian Structure Learning of Dynamic Graphical Models

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Estimating time-varying graphical models are of paramount importance in various social, financial, biological, and engineering systems, since the evolution of such networks can be utilized for example to spot trends, detect anomalies, predict vulnerability, and evaluate the impact of interventions. Existing methods require extensive tuning of parameters that control the graph sparsity and temporal smoothness. Furthermore, these methods are computationally burdensome with time complexity O(NP^3) for P variables and N time points. As a remedy, we propose a low-complexity tuning-free Bayesian approach, named BADGE. Specifically, we impose temporally-dependent spike-and-slab priors on the graphs such that they are sparse and varying smoothly across time. A variational inference algorithm is then derived to learn the graph structures from the data automatically. Owning to the pseudo-likelihood and the mean-field approximation, the time complexity of BADGE is only O(NP^2). Additionally, by identifying the frequency-domain resemblance to the time-varying graphical models, we show that BADGE can be extended to learning frequency-varying inverse spectral density matrices, and yields graphical models for multivariate stationary time series. Numerical results on both synthetic and real data show that that BADGE can better recover the underlying true graphs, while being more efficient than the existing methods, especially for high-dimensional cases.