In plant breeding the presence of a genotype by environment (GxE) interaction has a strong impact on cultivation decision making and the introduction of new crop cultivars. The combination of linear and bilinear terms has been shown to be very useful in modelling this type of data. A widely-used approach to identify GxE is the Additive Main Effects and Multiplicative Interaction Effects (AMMI) model. However, as data frequently can be high-dimensional, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) approaches can be computationally infeasible. In this article, we consider a variational inference approach for such a model. We derive variational approximations for estimating the parameters and we compare the approximations to MCMC using both simulated and real data. The new inferential framework we propose is on average two times faster whilst maintaining the same predictive performance as MCMC.

When observations are truncated, we are limited to an incomplete picture of our dataset. Recent methods deal with truncated density estimation problems by turning to score matching, where the access to the intractable normalising constant is not required. We present a novel extension to truncated score matching for a Riemannian manifold. Applications are presented for the von Mises-Fisher and Kent distributions on a two dimensional sphere in $\R^3$, as well as a real-world application of extreme storm observations in the USA. In simulated data experiments, our score matching estimator is able to approximate the true parameter values with a low estimation error and shows improvements over a maximum likelihood estimator.

More robust approaches are studied to this effect Data smoothing is heavily utilized in many learning [41]-[43], where a prominent example is the moving median problems to detect certain patters in the data or mitigate filter. Although the moving median is a nonlinear smoother noisy/anomalous values [1]. The notion of smoothing stems and the smoothed signal is acquired by the weighted median from the inference that the data points close to each other in of close groups of samples, it is efficiently computable by their features should have close mappings (functional evaluations), use of indexable skiplist [44]. We point out that specifically i.e., behave similarly. The most prominent example is for the moving median, the smoothed signal is statistically a time-series dataset where data points closer in time should optimal in the maximum likelihood sense, when the signal have similar values, e.g, unnaturally high or low values should contamination results from a Laplace distribution [45]. The be suppressed to match the nominal data pattern. Smoothing moving median filter has many applications including mass is mainly done on the datasets for easier extraction of their spectrometry [46], edge detection [47]. The application is information and consequently ease their analyses [2]. This especially rich in the field of image processing because of approach is applied in many fields including signal processing the edge-preserving capabilities [48].

In Bayesian structure learning, we are interested in inferring a distribution over the directed acyclic graph (DAG) structure of Bayesian networks, from data. Defining such a distribution is very challenging, due to the combinatorially large sample space, and approximations based on MCMC are often required. Recently, a novel class of probabilistic models, called Generative Flow Networks (GFlowNets), have been introduced as a general framework for generative modeling of discrete and composite objects, such as graphs. In this work, we propose to use a GFlowNet as an alternative to MCMC for approximating the posterior distribution over the structure of Bayesian networks, given a dataset of observations. Generating a sample DAG from this approximate distribution is viewed as a sequential decision problem, where the graph is constructed one edge at a time, based on learned transition probabilities. Through evaluation on both simulated and real data, we show that our approach, called DAG-GFlowNet, provides an accurate approximation of the posterior over DAGs, and it compares favorably against other methods based on MCMC or variational inference.

Real-world applications of reinforcement learning for recommendation and experimentation faces a practical challenge: the relative reward of different bandit arms can evolve over the lifetime of the learning agent. To deal with these non-stationary cases, the agent must forget some historical knowledge, as it may no longer be relevant to minimise regret. We present a solution to handling non-stationarity that is suitable for deployment at scale, to provide business operators with automated adaptive optimisation. Our solution aims to provide interpretable learning that can be trusted by humans, whilst responding to non-stationarity to minimise regret. To this end, we develop an adaptive Bayesian learning agent that employs a novel form of dynamic memory. It enables interpretability through statistical hypothesis testing, by targeting a set point of statistical power when comparing rewards and adjusting its memory dynamically to achieve this power. By design, the agent is agnostic to different kinds of non-stationarity. Using numerical simulations, we compare its performance against an existing proposal and show that, under multiple non-stationary scenarios, our agent correctly adapts to real changes in the true rewards. In all bandit solutions, there is an explicit trade-off between learning and achieving maximal performance. Our solution sits on a different point on this trade-off when compared to another similarly robust approach: we prioritise interpretability, which relies on more learning, at the cost of some regret. We describe the architecture of a large-scale deployment of automatic optimisation-as-a-service where our agent achieves interpretability whilst adapting to changing circumstances.

Inferring causal relationships from observational data is rarely straightforward, but the problem is especially difficult in high dimensions. For these applications, causal discovery algorithms typically require parametric restrictions or extreme sparsity constraints. We relax these assumptions and focus on an important but more specialized problem, namely recovering the causal order among a subgraph of variables known to descend from some (possibly large) set of confounding covariates, i.e. a $\textit{confounder blanket}$. This is useful in many settings, for example when studying a dynamic biomolecular subsystem with genetic data providing background information. Under a structural assumption called the $\textit{confounder blanket principle}$, which we argue is essential for tractable causal discovery in high dimensions, our method accommodates graphs of low or high sparsity while maintaining polynomial time complexity. We present a structure learning algorithm that is provably sound and complete with respect to a so-called $\textit{lazy oracle}$. We design inference procedures with finite sample error control for linear and nonlinear systems, and demonstrate our approach on a range of simulated and real-world datasets. An accompanying $\texttt{R}$ package, $\texttt{cbl}$, is available from $\texttt{CRAN}$.

So far, I've written about three types of generative models, GAN, VAE, and Flow-based models. They have shown great success in generating high-quality samples, but each has some limitations of its own. GAN models are known for potentially unstable training and less diversity in generation due to their adversarial training nature. VAE relies on a surrogate loss. Flow models have to use specialized architectures to construct reversible transform.

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A central problem in online learning and decision making -- from bandits to reinforcement learning -- is to understand what modeling assumptions lead to sample-efficient learning guarantees. We consider a general adversarial decision making framework that encompasses (structured) bandit problems with adversarial rewards and reinforcement learning problems with adversarial dynamics. Our main result is to show -- via new upper and lower bounds -- that the Decision-Estimation Coefficient, a complexity measure introduced by Foster et al. in the stochastic counterpart to our setting, is necessary and sufficient to obtain low regret for adversarial decision making. However, compared to the stochastic setting, one must apply the Decision-Estimation Coefficient to the convex hull of the class of models (or, hypotheses) under consideration. This establishes that the price of accommodating adversarial rewards or dynamics is governed by the behavior of the model class under convexification, and recovers a number of existing results -- both positive and negative. En route to obtaining these guarantees, we provide new structural results that connect the Decision-Estimation Coefficient to variants of other well-known complexity measures, including the Information Ratio of Russo and Van Roy and the Exploration-by-Optimization objective of Lattimore and Gy\"{o}rgy.

Score-based generative models have excellent performance in terms of generation quality and likelihood. They model the data distribution by matching a parameterized score network with first-order data score functions. The score network can be used to define an ODE ("score-based diffusion ODE") for exact likelihood evaluation. However, the relationship between the likelihood of the ODE and the score matching objective is unclear. In this work, we prove that matching the first-order score is not sufficient to maximize the likelihood of the ODE, by showing a gap between the maximum likelihood and score matching objectives. To fill up this gap, we show that the negative likelihood of the ODE can be bounded by controlling the first, second, and third-order score matching errors; and we further present a novel high-order denoising score matching method to enable maximum likelihood training of score-based diffusion ODEs. Our algorithm guarantees that the higher-order matching error is bounded by the training error and the lower-order errors. We empirically observe that by high-order score matching, score-based diffusion ODEs achieve better likelihood on both synthetic data and CIFAR-10, while retaining the high generation quality.