Denoising diffusion probabilistic models (DDPMs) are a class of powerful generative models. The past few years have witnessed the great success of DDPMs in generating high-fidelity samples. A significant limitation of the DDPMs is the slow sampling procedure. DDPMs generally need hundreds or thousands of sequential function evaluations (steps) of neural networks to generate a sample. This paper aims to develop a fast sampling method for DDPMs requiring much fewer steps while retaining high sample quality. The inference process of DDPMs approximates solving the corresponding diffusion ordinary differential equations (diffusion ODEs) in the continuous limit. This work analyzes how the backward error affects the diffusion ODEs and the sample quality in DDPMs. We propose fast sampling through the \textbf{Restricting Backward Error schedule (RBE schedule)} based on dynamically moderating the long-time backward error. Our method accelerates DDPMs without any further training. Our experiments show that sampling with an RBE schedule generates high-quality samples within only 8 to 20 function evaluations on various benchmark datasets. We achieved 12.01 FID in 8 function evaluations on the ImageNet $128\times128$, and a $20\times$ speedup compared with previous baseline samplers.

We introduce GEDI, a Bayesian framework that combines existing self-supervised learning objectives with likelihood-based generative models. This framework leverages the benefits of both GEnerative and DIscriminative approaches, resulting in improved symbolic representations over standalone solutions. Additionally, GEDI can be easily integrated and trained jointly with existing neuro-symbolic frameworks without the need for additional supervision or costly pre-training steps. We demonstrate through experiments on real-world data, including SVHN, CIFAR10, and CIFAR100, that GEDI outperforms existing self-supervised learning strategies in terms of clustering performance by a significant margin. The symbolic component further allows it to leverage knowledge in the form of logical constraints to improve performance in the small data regime.

Traffic congestion caused by non-recurring incidents such as vehicle crashes and debris is a key issue for Traffic Management Centers (TMCs). Clearing incidents in a timely manner is essential for improving safety and reducing delays and emissions for the traveling public. However, TMCs and other responders face a challenge in predicting the duration of incidents (until the roadway is clear), making decisions of what resources to deploy difficult. To address this problem, this research developed an analytical framework and end-to-end machine-learning solution for predicting incident duration based on information available as soon as an incident report is received. Quality predictions of incident duration can help TMCs and other responders take a proactive approach in deploying responder services such as tow trucks, maintenance crews or activating alternative routes. The predictions use a combination of classification and regression machine learning modules. The performance of the developed solution has been evaluated based on the Mean Absolute Error (MAE), or deviation from the actual incident duration as well as Area Under the Curve (AUC) and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). The results showed that the framework significantly improved incident duration prediction compared to methods from previous research.

Along with Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods, variational inference (VI) has emerged as a central computational approach to large-scale Bayesian inference. Rather than sampling from the true posterior $\pi$, VI aims at producing a simple but effective approximation $\hat \pi$ to $\pi$ for which summary statistics are easy to compute. However, unlike the well-studied MCMC methodology, algorithmic guarantees for VI are still relatively less well-understood. In this work, we propose principled methods for VI, in which $\hat \pi$ is taken to be a Gaussian or a mixture of Gaussians, which rest upon the theory of gradient flows on the Bures--Wasserstein space of Gaussian measures. Akin to MCMC, it comes with strong theoretical guarantees when $\pi$ is log-concave.

Conservative inference is a major concern in simulation-based inference. It has been shown that commonly used algorithms can produce overconfident posterior approximations. Balancing has empirically proven to be an effective way to mitigate this issue. However, its application remains limited to neural ratio estimation. In this work, we extend balancing to any algorithm that provides a posterior density. In particular, we introduce a balanced version of both neural posterior estimation and contrastive neural ratio estimation. We show empirically that the balanced versions tend to produce conservative posterior approximations on a wide variety of benchmarks. In addition, we provide an alternative interpretation of the balancing condition in terms of the $\chi^2$ divergence.

This paper introduces a stochastic plug-and-play (PnP) sampling algorithm that leverages variable splitting to efficiently sample from a posterior distribution. The algorithm based on split Gibbs sampling (SGS) draws inspiration from the alternating direction method of multipliers (ADMM). It divides the challenging task of posterior sampling into two simpler sampling problems. The first problem depends on the likelihood function, while the second is interpreted as a Bayesian denoising problem that can be readily carried out by a deep generative model. Specifically, for an illustrative purpose, the proposed method is implemented in this paper using state-of-the-art diffusion-based generative models. Akin to its deterministic PnP-based counterparts, the proposed method exhibits the great advantage of not requiring an explicit choice of the prior distribution, which is rather encoded into a pre-trained generative model. However, unlike optimization methods (e.g., PnP-ADMM) which generally provide only point estimates, the proposed approach allows conventional Bayesian estimators to be accompanied by confidence intervals at a reasonable additional computational cost. Experiments on commonly studied image processing problems illustrate the efficiency of the proposed sampling strategy. Its performance is compared to recent state-of-the-art optimization and sampling methods.

Bayesian models are a powerful tool for studying complex data, allowing the analyst to encode rich hierarchical dependencies and leverage prior information. Most importantly, they facilitate a complete characterization of uncertainty through the posterior distribution. Practical posterior computation is commonly performed via MCMC, which can be computationally infeasible for high dimensional models with many observations. In this article we discuss the potential to improve posterior computation using ideas from machine learning. Concrete future directions are explored in vignettes on normalizing flows, Bayesian coresets, distributed Bayesian inference, and variational inference.

In this work, we propose the Informed Batch Belief Trees (IBBT) algorithm for motion planning under motion and sensing uncertainties. The original stochastic motion planning problem is divided into a deterministic motion planning problem and a graph search problem. We solve the deterministic planning problem using sampling-based methods such as PRM or RRG to construct a graph of nominal trajectories. Then, an informed cost-to-go heuristic for the original problem is computed based on the nominal trajectory graph. Finally, we grow a belief tree by searching over the graph using the proposed heuristic. IBBT interleaves between batch state sampling, nominal trajectory graph construction, heuristic computing, and search over the graph to find belief space motion plans. IBBT is an anytime, incremental algorithm. With an increasing number of batches of samples added to the graph, the algorithm finds motion plans that converge to the optimal one. IBBT is efficient by reusing results between sequential iterations. The belief tree searching is an ordered search guided by an informed heuristic. We test IBBT in different planning environments. Our numerical investigation confirms that IBBT finds non-trivial motion plans and is faster compared with previous similar methods.

We propose lookahead diffusion probabilistic models (LA-DPMs) to exploit the correlation in the outputs of the deep neural networks (DNNs) over subsequent timesteps in diffusion probabilistic models (DPMs) to refine the mean estimation of the conditional Gaussian distributions in the backward process. A typical DPM first obtains an estimate of the original data sample $\boldsymbol{x}$ by feeding the most recent state $\boldsymbol{z}_i$ and index $i$ into the DNN model and then computes the mean vector of the conditional Gaussian distribution for $\boldsymbol{z}_{i-1}$. We propose to calculate a more accurate estimate for $\boldsymbol{x}$ by performing extrapolation on the two estimates of $\boldsymbol{x}$ that are obtained by feeding $(\boldsymbol{z}_{i+1},i+1)$ and $(\boldsymbol{z}_{i},i)$ into the DNN model. The extrapolation can be easily integrated into the backward process of existing DPMs by introducing an additional connection over two consecutive timesteps, and fine-tuning is not required. Extensive experiments showed that plugging in the additional connection into DDPM, DDIM, DEIS, S-PNDM, and high-order DPM-Solvers leads to a significant performance gain in terms of FID score.

We study Individual Fairness (IF) for Bayesian neural networks (BNNs). Specifically, we consider the $\epsilon$-$\delta$-individual fairness notion, which requires that, for any pair of input points that are $\epsilon$-similar according to a given similarity metrics, the output of the BNN is within a given tolerance $\delta>0.$ We leverage bounds on statistical sampling over the input space and the relationship between adversarial robustness and individual fairness to derive a framework for the systematic estimation of $\epsilon$-$\delta$-IF, designing Fair-FGSM and Fair-PGD as global,fairness-aware extensions to gradient-based attacks for BNNs. We empirically study IF of a variety of approximately inferred BNNs with different architectures on fairness benchmarks, and compare against deterministic models learnt using frequentist techniques. Interestingly, we find that BNNs trained by means of approximate Bayesian inference consistently tend to be markedly more individually fair than their deterministic counterparts.