Uncertainty
Coping with low data availability for social media crisis message categorisation
During crisis situations, social media allows people to quickly share information, including messages requesting help. This can be valuable to emergency responders, who need to categorise and prioritise these messages based on the type of assistance being requested. However, the high volume of messages makes it difficult to filter and prioritise them without the use of computational techniques. Fully supervised filtering techniques for crisis message categorisation typically require a large amount of annotated training data, but this can be difficult to obtain during an ongoing crisis and is expensive in terms of time and labour to create. This thesis focuses on addressing the challenge of low data availability when categorising crisis messages for emergency response. It first presents domain adaptation as a solution for this problem, which involves learning a categorisation model from annotated data from past crisis events (source domain) and adapting it to categorise messages from an ongoing crisis event (target domain). In many-to-many adaptation, where the model is trained on multiple past events and adapted to multiple ongoing events, a multi-task learning approach is proposed using pre-trained language models. This approach outperforms baselines and an ensemble approach further improves performance...
A Mechanism for Sample-Efficient In-Context Learning for Sparse Retrieval Tasks
Abernethy, Jacob, Agarwal, Alekh, Marinov, Teodor V., Warmuth, Manfred K.
We study the phenomenon of \textit{in-context learning} (ICL) exhibited by large language models, where they can adapt to a new learning task, given a handful of labeled examples, without any explicit parameter optimization. Our goal is to explain how a pre-trained transformer model is able to perform ICL under reasonable assumptions on the pre-training process and the downstream tasks. We posit a mechanism whereby a transformer can achieve the following: (a) receive an i.i.d. sequence of examples which have been converted into a prompt using potentially-ambiguous delimiters, (b) correctly segment the prompt into examples and labels, (c) infer from the data a \textit{sparse linear regressor} hypothesis, and finally (d) apply this hypothesis on the given test example and return a predicted label. We establish that this entire procedure is implementable using the transformer mechanism, and we give sample complexity guarantees for this learning framework. Our empirical findings validate the challenge of segmentation, and we show a correspondence between our posited mechanisms and observed attention maps for step (c).
MixCE: Training Autoregressive Language Models by Mixing Forward and Reverse Cross-Entropies
Zhang, Shiyue, Wu, Shijie, Irsoy, Ozan, Lu, Steven, Bansal, Mohit, Dredze, Mark, Rosenberg, David
Autoregressive language models are trained by minimizing the cross-entropy of the model distribution Q relative to the data distribution P -- that is, minimizing the forward cross-entropy, which is equivalent to maximum likelihood estimation (MLE). We have observed that models trained in this way may "over-generalize", in the sense that they produce non-human-like text. Moreover, we believe that reverse cross-entropy, i.e., the cross-entropy of P relative to Q, is a better reflection of how a human would evaluate text generated by a model. Hence, we propose learning with MixCE, an objective that mixes the forward and reverse cross-entropies. We evaluate models trained with this objective on synthetic data settings (where P is known) and real data, and show that the resulting models yield better generated text without complex decoding strategies. Our code and models are publicly available at https://github.com/bloomberg/mixce-acl2023
Acting as Inverse Inverse Planning
Chandra, Kartik, Li, Tzu-Mao, Tenenbaum, Josh, Ragan-Kelley, Jonathan
Great storytellers know how to take us on a journey. They direct characters to act -- not necessarily in the most rational way -- but rather in a way that leads to interesting situations, and ultimately creates an impactful experience for audience members looking on. If audience experience is what matters most, then can we help artists and animators *directly* craft such experiences, independent of the concrete character actions needed to evoke those experiences? In this paper, we offer a novel computational framework for such tools. Our key idea is to optimize animations with respect to *simulated* audience members' experiences. To simulate the audience, we borrow an established principle from cognitive science: that human social intuition can be modeled as "inverse planning," the task of inferring an agent's (hidden) goals from its (observed) actions. Building on this model, we treat storytelling as "*inverse* inverse planning," the task of choosing actions to manipulate an inverse planner's inferences. Our framework is grounded in literary theory, naturally capturing many storytelling elements from first principles. We give a series of examples to demonstrate this, with supporting evidence from human subject studies.
Riemannian Flow Matching on General Geometries
Chen, Ricky T. Q., Lipman, Yaron
We propose Riemannian Flow Matching (RFM), a simple yet powerful framework for training continuous normalizing flows on manifolds. Existing methods for generative modeling on manifolds either require expensive simulation, are inherently unable to scale to high dimensions, or use approximations for limiting quantities that result in biased training objectives. Riemannian Flow Matching bypasses these limitations and offers several advantages over previous approaches: it is simulation-free on simple geometries, does not require divergence computation, and computes its target vector field in closed-form. The key ingredient behind RFM is the construction of a relatively simple premetric for defining target vector fields, which encompasses the existing Euclidean case. To extend to general geometries, we rely on the use of spectral decompositions to efficiently compute premetrics on the fly. Our method achieves state-of-the-art performance on real-world non-Euclidean datasets, and we demonstrate tractable training on general geometries, including triangular meshes with highly non-trivial curvature and boundaries.
Bayesian Reinforcement Learning for Automatic Voltage Control under Cyber-Induced Uncertainty
Sahu, Abhijeet, Davis, Katherine
Voltage control is crucial to large-scale power system reliable operation, as timely reactive power support can help prevent widespread outages. However, there is currently no built in mechanism for power systems to ensure that the voltage control objective to maintain reliable operation will survive or sustain the uncertainty caused under adversary presence. Hence, this work introduces a Bayesian Reinforcement Learning (BRL) approach for power system control problems, with focus on sustained voltage control under uncertainty in a cyber-adversarial environment. This work proposes a data-driven BRL-based approach for automatic voltage control by formulating and solving a Partially-Observable Markov Decision Problem (POMDP), where the states are partially observable due to cyber intrusions. The techniques are evaluated on the WSCC and IEEE 14 bus systems. Additionally, BRL techniques assist in automatically finding a threshold for exploration and exploitation in various RL techniques.
UDPM: Upsampling Diffusion Probabilistic Models
Abu-Hussein, Shady, Giryes, Raja
In recent years, Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Models (DDPM) have caught significant attention. By composing a Markovian process that starts in the data domain and then gradually adds noise until reaching pure white noise, they achieve superior performance in learning data distributions. Yet, these models require a large number of diffusion steps to produce aesthetically pleasing samples, which is inefficient. In addition, unlike common generative adversarial networks, the latent space of diffusion models is not interpretable. In this work, we propose to generalize the denoising diffusion process into an Upsampling Diffusion Probabilistic Model (UDPM), in which we reduce the latent variable dimension in addition to the traditional noise level addition. As a result, we are able to sample images of size $256\times 256$ with only 7 diffusion steps, which is less than two orders of magnitude compared to standard DDPMs. We formally develop the Markovian diffusion processes of the UDPM, and demonstrate its generation capabilities on the popular FFHQ, LSUN horses, ImageNet, and AFHQv2 datasets. Another favorable property of UDPM is that it is very easy to interpolate its latent space, which is not the case with standard diffusion models. Our code is available online \url{https://github.com/shadyabh/UDPM}
Data Assimilation Networks
Boudier, Pierre, Fillion, Anthony, Gratton, Serge, Gรผrol, Selime, Zhang, Sixin
Data assimilation (DA) aims at forecasting the state of a dynamical system by combining a mathematical representation of the system with noisy observations taking into account their uncertainties. State of the art methods are based on the Gaussian error statistics and the linearization of the non-linear dynamics which may lead to sub-optimal methods. In this respect, there are still open questions how to improve these methods. In this paper, we propose a fully data driven deep learning architecture generalizing recurrent Elman networks and data assimilation algorithms which approximate a sequence of prior and posterior densities conditioned on noisy observations. By construction our approach can be used for general nonlinear dynamics and non-Gaussian densities. On numerical experiments based on the well-known Lorenz-95 system and with Gaussian error statistics, our architecture achieves comparable performance to EnKF on both the analysis and the propagation of probability density functions of the system state at a given time without using any explicit regularization technique.
PRIMP: PRobabilistically-Informed Motion Primitives for Efficient Affordance Learning from Demonstration
Ruan, Sipu, Liu, Weixiao, Wang, Xiaoli, Meng, Xin, Chirikjian, Gregory S.
This paper proposes a learning-from-demonstration method using probability densities on the workspaces of robot manipulators. The method, named "PRobabilistically-Informed Motion Primitives (PRIMP)", learns the probability distribution of the end effector trajectories in the 6D workspace that includes both positions and orientations. It is able to adapt to new situations such as novel via poses with uncertainty and a change of viewing frame. The method itself is robot-agnostic, in which the learned distribution can be transferred to another robot with the adaptation to its workspace density. The learned trajectory distribution is then used to guide an optimization-based motion planning algorithm to further help the robot avoid novel obstacles that are unseen during the demonstration process. The proposed methods are evaluated by several sets of benchmark experiments. PRIMP runs more than 5 times faster while generalizing trajectories more than twice as close to both the demonstrations and novel desired poses. It is then combined with our robot imagination method that learns object affordances, illustrating the applicability of PRIMP to learn tool use through physical experiments.
Federated Variational Inference: Towards Improved Personalization and Generalization
Vedadi, Elahe, Dillon, Joshua V., Mansfield, Philip Andrew, Singhal, Karan, Afkanpour, Arash, Morningstar, Warren Richard
Conventional federated learning algorithms train a single global model by leveraging all participating clients' data. However, due to heterogeneity in client generative distributions and predictive models, these approaches may not appropriately approximate the predictive process, converge to an optimal state, or generalize to new clients. We study personalization and generalization in stateless cross-device federated learning setups assuming heterogeneity in client data distributions and predictive models. We first propose a hierarchical generative model and formalize it using Bayesian Inference. We then approximate this process using Variational Inference to train our model efficiently. We call this algorithm Federated Variational Inference (FedVI). We use PAC-Bayes analysis to provide generalization bounds for FedVI. We evaluate our model on FEMNIST and CIFAR-100 image classification and show that FedVI beats the state-of-the-art on both tasks.