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 Fuzzy Logic


Analysis, Characterization, Prediction and Attribution of Extreme Atmospheric Events with Machine Learning: a Review

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Atmospheric Extreme Events (EEs) cause severe damages to human societies and ecosystems. The frequency and intensity of EEs and other associated events are increasing in the current climate change and global warming risk. The accurate prediction, characterization, and attribution of atmospheric EEs is therefore a key research field, in which many groups are currently working by applying different methodologies and computational tools. Machine Learning (ML) methods have arisen in the last years as powerful techniques to tackle many of the problems related to atmospheric EEs. This paper reviews the ML algorithms applied to the analysis, characterization, prediction, and attribution of the most important atmospheric EEs. A summary of the most used ML techniques in this area, and a comprehensive critical review of literature related to ML in EEs, are provided. A number of examples is discussed and perspectives and outlooks on the field are drawn.


Provably Efficient Lifelong Reinforcement Learning with Linear Function Approximation

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We study lifelong reinforcement learning (RL) in a regret minimization setting of linear contextual Markov decision process (MDP), where the agent needs to learn a multi-task policy while solving a streaming sequence of tasks. We propose an algorithm, called UCB Lifelong Value Distillation (UCBlvd), that provably achieves sublinear regret for any sequence of tasks, which may be adaptively chosen based on the agent's past behaviors. Remarkably, our algorithm uses only sublinear number of planning calls, which means that the agent eventually learns a policy that is near optimal for multiple tasks (seen or unseen) without the need of deliberate planning. A key to this property is a new structural assumption that enables computation sharing across tasks during exploration. Specifically, for $K$ task episodes of horizon $H$, our algorithm has a regret bound $\tilde{\mathcal{O}}(\sqrt{(d^3+d^\prime d)H^4K})$ based on $\mathcal{O}(dH\log(K))$ number of planning calls, where $d$ and $d^\prime$ are the feature dimensions of the dynamics and rewards, respectively. This theoretical guarantee implies that our algorithm can enable a lifelong learning agent to accumulate experiences and learn to rapidly solve new tasks.


On the Prediction of Evaporation in Arid Climate Using Machine Learning Model

#artificialintelligence

Evaporation calculations are important for the proper management of hydrological resources, such as reservoirs, lakes, and rivers. Data-driven approaches, such as adaptive neuro fuzzy inference, are getting popular in many hydrological fields. This paper investigates the effective implementation of artificial intelligence on the prediction of evaporation for agricultural area. In particular, it presents the adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) and hybridization of ANFIS with three optimizers, which include the genetic algorithm (GA), firefly algorithm (FFA), and particle swarm optimizer (PSO). Six different measured weather variables are taken for the proposed modelling approach, including the maximum, minimum, and average air temperature, sunshine hours, wind speed, and relative humidity of a given location. Models are separately calibrated with a total of 86 data points over an eight-year period, from 2010 to 2017, at the specified station, located in Arizona, United States of America. Farming lands and humid climates are the reason for choosing this location. Ten statistical indices are calculated to find the best fit model. Comparisons shows that ANFIS and ANFIS–PSO are slightly better than ANFIS–FFA and ANFIS–GA. Though the hybrid ANFIS–PSO (R2= 0.99, VAF = 98.85, RMSE = 9.73, SI = 0.05) is very close to the ANFIS (R2 = 0.99, VAF = 99.04, RMSE = 8.92, SI = 0.05) model, preference can be given to ANFIS, due to its simplicity and easy operation.


PRM path smoothening by circular arc fillet method for mobile robot navigation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Motion planning and navigation, especially for mobile robots operating in complex navigational environments, has been a central problem since robotics started. A heuristic way to address it is the construction of a graph-based representation (a path) capturing the connectivity of the configuration space. Probabilistic Roadmap is a commonly used method by the robotics community to build a path for navigational mobile robot path planning. In this study, path smoothening by arc fillets is proposed for mobile robot path planning after obtaining the path from PRM in the presence of the obstacle. The proposed method runs in two steps; the first one is generating the shortest path between the initial state to one of the goal states in the obstacle presence environment, wherein the PRM is used to construct a straight-lined path by connecting the intermediate nodes. The second step is smoothening every corner caused by node presence. Smoothening the corners with arc fillets ensures smooth turns for the mobile robots. The suggested method has been simulated and tested with different PRM features. Experiment results show that the constructed path is not just providing smooth turning; it is also shorter and quicker to finish for a robot while avoiding obstacles.


Cyber-Forensic Review of Human Footprint and Gait for Personal Identification

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The human footprint is having a unique set of ridges unmatched by any other human being, and therefore it can be used in different identity documents for example birth certificate, Indian biometric identification system AADHAR card, driving license, PAN card, and passport. There are many instances of the crime scene where an accused must walk around and left the footwear impressions as well as barefoot prints and therefore, it is very crucial to recovering the footprints from identifying the criminals. Footprint-based biometric is a considerably newer technique for personal identification. Fingerprints, retina, iris and face recognition are the methods most useful for attendance record of the person. This time the world is facing the problem of global terrorism. It is challenging to identify the terrorist because they are living as regular as the citizens do. Their soft target includes the industries of special interests such as defence, silicon and nanotechnology chip manufacturing units, pharmacy sectors. They pretend themselves as religious persons, so temples and other holy places, even in markets is in their targets. These are the places where one can obtain their footprints quickly. The gait itself is sufficient to predict the behaviour of the suspects. The present research is driven to identify the usefulness of footprint and gait as an alternative to personal identification.


Automated Design of Salient Object Detection Algorithms with Brain Programming

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Despite recent improvements in computer vision, artificial visual systems' design is still daunting since an explanation of visual computing algorithms remains elusive. Salient object detection is one problem that is still open due to the difficulty of understanding the brain's inner workings. Progress on this research area follows the traditional path of hand-made designs using neuroscience knowledge. In recent years two different approaches based on genetic programming appear to enhance their technique. One follows the idea of combining previous hand-made methods through genetic programming and fuzzy logic. The other approach consists of improving the inner computational structures of basic hand-made models through artificial evolution. This research work proposes expanding the artificial dorsal stream using a recent proposal to solve salient object detection problems. This approach uses the benefits of the two main aspects of this research area: fixation prediction and detection of salient objects. We decided to apply the fusion of visual saliency and image segmentation algorithms as a template. The proposed methodology discovers several critical structures in the template through artificial evolution. We present results on a benchmark designed by experts with outstanding results in comparison with the state-of-the-art.


A novel evolutionary-based neuro-fuzzy task scheduling approach to jointly optimize the main design challenges of heterogeneous MPSoCs

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this paper, an online task scheduling and mapping method based on a fuzzy neural network (FNN) learned by an evolutionary multi-objective algorithm (NSGA-II) to jointly optimize the main design challenges of heterogeneous MPSoCs is proposed. In this approach, first, the FNN parameters are trained using an NSGA-II-based optimization engine by considering the main design challenges of MPSoCs including temperature, power consumption, failure rate, and execution time on a training dataset consisting of different application graphs of various sizes. Next, the trained FNN is employed as an online task scheduler to jointly optimize the main design challenges in heterogeneous MPSoCs. Due to the uncertainty in sensor measurements and the difference between computational models and reality, applying the fuzzy neural network is advantageous in online scheduling procedures. The performance of the method is compared with some previous heuristic, meta-heuristic, and rule-based approaches in several experiments. Based on these experiments our proposed method outperforms the related studies in optimizing all design criteria. Its improvement over related heuristic and meta-heuristic approaches are estimated 10.58% in temperature, 9.22% in power consumption, 39.14% in failure rate, and 12.06% in execution time, averagely. Moreover, considering the interpretable nature of the FNN, the frequently fired extracted fuzzy rules of the proposed approach are demonstrated.


Provably Efficient Convergence of Primal-Dual Actor-Critic with Nonlinear Function Approximation

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We study the convergence of the actor-critic algorithm with nonlinear function approximation under a nonconvex-nonconcave primal-dual formulation. Stochastic gradient descent ascent is applied with an adaptive proximal term for robust learning rates. We show the first efficient convergence result with primal-dual actor-critic with a convergence rate of $\mathcal{O}\left(\sqrt{\frac{\ln \left(N d G^2 \right)}{N}}\right)$ under Markovian sampling, where $G$ is the element-wise maximum of the gradient, $N$ is the number of iterations, and $d$ is the dimension of the gradient. Our result is presented with only the Polyak-\L{}ojasiewicz condition for the dual variables, which is easy to verify and applicable to a wide range of reinforcement learning (RL) scenarios. The algorithm and analysis are general enough to be applied to other RL settings, like multi-agent RL. Empirical results on OpenAI Gym continuous control tasks corroborate our theoretical findings.


Choquet-Based Fuzzy Rough Sets

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Fuzzy rough set theory can be used as a tool for dealing with inconsistent data when there is a gradual notion of indiscernibility between objects. It does this by providing lower and upper approximations of concepts. In classical fuzzy rough sets, the lower and upper approximations are determined using the minimum and maximum operators, respectively. This is undesirable for machine learning applications, since it makes these approximations sensitive to outlying samples. To mitigate this problem, ordered weighted average (OWA) based fuzzy rough sets were introduced. In this paper, we show how the OWA-based approach can be interpreted intuitively in terms of vague quantification, and then generalize it to Choquet-based fuzzy rough sets (CFRS). This generalization maintains desirable theoretical properties, such as duality and monotonicity. Furthermore, it provides more flexibility for machine learning applications. In particular, we show that it enables the seamless integration of outlier detection algorithms, to enhance the robustness of machine learning algorithms based on fuzzy rough sets.


Reasoning with fuzzy and uncertain evidence using epistemic random fuzzy sets: general framework and practical models

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We introduce a general theory of epistemic random fuzzy sets for reasoning with fuzzy or crisp evidence. This framework generalizes both the Dempster-Shafer theory of belief functions, and possibility theory. Independent epistemic random fuzzy sets are combined by the generalized product-intersection rule, which extends both Dempster's rule for combining belief functions, and the product conjunctive combination of possibility distributions. We introduce Gaussian random fuzzy numbers and their multi-dimensional extensions, Gaussian random fuzzy vectors, as practical models for quantifying uncertainty about scalar or vector quantities. Closed-form expressions for the combination, projection and vacuous extension of Gaussian random fuzzy numbers and vectors are derived.