Fuzzy Logic
Higher order hesitant fuzzy Choquet integral operator and its application to multiple criteria decision making
Farhadinia, B, Aickelin, Uwe, Khorshidi, HA
Generally, the criteria involved in a decision making problem are interactive or inter-dependent, and therefore aggregating them by the use of traditional operators which are based on additive measures is not logical. This verifies that we have to implement fuzzy measures for modelling the interaction phenomena among the criteria.On the other hand, based on the recent extension of hesitant fuzzy set, called higher order hesitant fuzzy set (HOHFS) which allows the membership of a given element to be defined in forms of several possible generalized types of fuzzy set, we encourage to propose the higher order hesitant fuzzy (HOHF) Choquet integral operator. This concept not only considers the importance of the higher order hesitant fuzzy arguments, but also it can reflect the correlations among those arguments. Then,a detailed discussion on the aggregation properties of the HOHF Choquet integral operator will be presented.To enhance the application of HOHF Choquet integral operator in decision making, we first assess the appropriate energy policy for the socio-economic development. Then, the efficiency of the proposed HOHF Choquet integral operator-based technique over a number of exiting techniques is further verified by employing another decision making problem associated with the technique of TODIM (an acronym in Portuguese of Interactive and Multicriteria Decision Making).
Uncertainty measures for probabilistic hesitant fuzzy sets in multiple criteria decision making
Farhadinia, Bahram, Aickelin, Uwe, Khorshidi, Hadi Akbarzadeh
This contribution reviews critically the existing entropy measures for probabilistic hesitant fuzzy sets (PHFSs), and demonstrates that these entropy measures fail to effectively distinguish a variety of different PHFSs in some cases. In the sequel, we develop a new axiomatic framework of entropy measures for probabilistic hesitant fuzzy elements (PHFEs) by considering two facets of uncertainty associated with PHFEs which are known as fuzziness and non-specificity. Respect to each kind of uncertainty, a number of formulae are derived to permit flexible selection of PHFE entropy measures. Moreover, based on the proposed PHFE entropy measures, we introduce some entropy-based distance measures which are used in the portion of comparative analysis. Eventually, the proposed PHFE entropy measures and PHFE entropy-based distance measures are applied to decision making in the strategy initiatives where their reliability and effectiveness are verified. Keywords: Probabilistic hesitant fuzzy set, Entropy measure, Multiple criteria decision making.
Measuring agreement on linguistic expressions in medical treatment scenarios
Navrro, J, Wagner, C, Aickelin, Uwe, Green, L, Ashford, R
Quality of life assessment represents a key process of deciding treatment success and viability. As such, patients' perceptions of their functional status and well-being are important inputs for impairment assessment. Given that patient completed questionnaires are often used to assess patient status and determine future treatment options, it is important to know the level of agreement of the words used by patients and different groups of medical professionals. In this paper, we propose a measure called the Agreement Ratio which provides a ratio of overall agreement when modelling words through Fuzzy Sets (FSs). The measure has been specifically designed for assessing this agreement in fuzzy sets which are generated from data such as patient responses. The measure relies on using the Jaccard Similarity Measure for comparing the different levels of agreement in the FSs generated.
Generalized Constraints as A New Mathematical Problem in Artificial Intelligence: A Review and Perspective
In this comprehensive review, we describe a new mathematical problem in artificial intelligence (AI) from a mathematical modeling perspective, following the philosophy stated by Rudolf E. Kalman that "Once you get the physics right, the rest is mathematics". The new problem is called "Generalized Constraints (GCs)", and we adopt GCs as a general term to describe any type of prior information in modelings. To understand better about GCs to be a general problem, we compare them with the conventional constraints (CCs) and list their extra challenges over CCs. In the construction of AI machines, we basically encounter more often GCs for modeling, rather than CCs with well-defined forms. Furthermore, we discuss the ultimate goals of AI and redefine transparent, interpretable, and explainable AI in terms of comprehension levels about machines. We review the studies in relation to the GC problems although most of them do not take the notion of GCs. We demonstrate that if AI machines are simplified by a coupling with both knowledge-driven submodel and data-driven submodel, GCs will play a critical role in a knowledge-driven submodel as well as in the coupling form between the two submodels. Examples are given to show that the studies in view of a generalized constraint problem will help us perceive and explore novel subjects in AI, or even in mathematics, such as generalized constraint learning (GCL).
Bridging Exploration and General Function Approximation in Reinforcement Learning: Provably Efficient Kernel and Neural Value Iterations
Yang, Zhuoran, Jin, Chi, Wang, Zhaoran, Wang, Mengdi, Jordan, Michael I.
Reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms combined with modern function approximators such as kernel functions and deep neural networks have achieved significant empirical successes in large-scale application problems with a massive number of states. From a theoretical perspective, however, RL with functional approximation poses a fundamental challenge to developing algorithms with provable computational and statistical efficiency, due to the need to take into consideration both the exploration-exploitation tradeoff that is inherent in RL and the bias-variance tradeoff that is innate in statistical estimation. To address such a challenge, focusing on the episodic setting where the action-value functions are represented by a kernel function or over-parametrized neural network, we propose the first provable RL algorithm with both polynomial runtime and sample complexity, without additional assumptions on the data-generating model. In particular, for both the kernel and neural settings, we prove that an optimistic modification of the least-squares value iteration algorithm incurs an $\tilde{\mathcal{O}}(\delta_{\mathcal{F}} H^2 \sqrt{T})$ regret, where $\delta_{\mathcal{F}}$ characterizes the intrinsic complexity of the function class $\mathcal{F}$, $H$ is the length of each episode, and $T$ is the total number of episodes. Our regret bounds are independent of the number of states and therefore even allows it to diverge, which exhibits the benefit of function approximation.
Crime Prediction Using Multiple-ANFIS Architecture and Spatiotemporal Data
Islam, Mashnoon, Karim, Redwanul, Roy, Kalyan, Mahmood, Saif, Hossain, Sadat, Rahman, M. Rashedur
Statistical values alone cannot bring the whole scenario of crime occurrences in the city of Dhaka. We need a better way to use these statistical values to predict crime occurrences and make the city a safer place to live. Proper decision-making for the future is key in reducing the rate of criminal offenses in an area or a city. If the law enforcement bodies can allocate their resources efficiently for the future, the rate of crime in Dhaka can be brought down to a minimum. In this work, we have made an initiative to provide an effective tool with which law enforcement officials and detectives can predict crime occurrences ahead of time and take better decisions easily and quickly. We have used several Fuzzy Inference Systems (FIS) and Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference Systems (ANFIS) to predict the type of crime that is highly likely to occur at a certain place and time.
LRA: an accelerated rough set framework based on local redundancy of attribute for feature selection
Xia, Shuyin, Li, Wenhua, Wang, Guoyin, Gao, Xinbo, Zhang, Changqing, Giem, Elisabeth
In this paper, we propose and prove the theorem regarding the stability of attributes in a decision system. Based on the theorem, we propose the LRA framework for accelerating rough set algorithms. It is a general-purpose framework which can be applied to almost all rough set methods significantly . Theoretical analysis guarantees high efficiency. Note that the enhancement of efficiency will not lead to any decrease of the classification accuracy. Besides, we provide a simpler prove for the positive approximation acceleration framework.
What are the Statistical Limits of Offline RL with Linear Function Approximation?
Wang, Ruosong, Foster, Dean P., Kakade, Sham M.
Offline reinforcement learning seeks to utilize offline (observational) data to guide the learning of (causal) sequential decision making strategies. The hope is that offline reinforcement learning coupled with function approximation methods (to deal with the curse of dimensionality) can provide a means to help alleviate the excessive sample complexity burden in modern sequential decision making problems. However, the extent to which this broader approach can be effective is not well understood, where the literature largely consists of sufficient conditions. This work focuses on the basic question of what are necessary representational and distributional conditions that permit provable sample-efficient offline reinforcement learning. Perhaps surprisingly, our main result shows that even if: i) we have realizability in that the true value function of \emph{every} policy is linear in a given set of features and 2) our off-policy data has good coverage over all features (under a strong spectral condition), then any algorithm still (information-theoretically) requires a number of offline samples that is exponential in the problem horizon in order to non-trivially estimate the value of \emph{any} given policy. Our results highlight that sample-efficient offline policy evaluation is simply not possible unless significantly stronger conditions hold; such conditions include either having low distribution shift (where the offline data distribution is close to the distribution of the policy to be evaluated) or significantly stronger representational conditions (beyond realizability).
Nonstationary Reinforcement Learning with Linear Function Approximation
Zhou, Huozhi, Chen, Jinglin, Varshney, Lav R., Jagmohan, Ashish
We consider reinforcement learning (RL) in episodic Markov decision processes (MDPs) with linear function approximation under drifting environment. Specifically, both the reward and state transition functions can evolve over time, as long as their respective total variations, quantified by suitable metrics, do not exceed certain \textit{variation budgets}. We first develop the $\texttt{LSVI-UCB-Restart}$ algorithm, an optimistic modification of least-squares value iteration combined with periodic restart, and establish its dynamic regret bound when variation budgets are known. We then propose a parameter-free algorithm, $\texttt{Ada-LSVI-UCB-Restart}$, that works without knowing the variation budgets, but with a slightly worse dynamic regret bound. We also derive the first minimax dynamic regret lower bound for nonstationary MDPs to show that our proposed algorithms are near-optimal. As a byproduct, we establish a minimax regret lower bound for linear MDPs, which is unsolved by \cite{jin2020provably}. In addition, we provide numerical experiments to demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed algorithms. As far as we know, this is the first dynamic regret analysis in nonstationary reinforcement learning with function approximation.
Machine learning for the diagnosis of Parkinson's disease: A systematic review
Mei, Jie, Desrosiers, Christian, Frasnelli, Johannes
Diagnosis of Parkinson's disease (PD) is commonly based on medical observations and assessment of clinical signs, including the characterization of a variety of motor symptoms. However, traditional diagnostic approaches may suffer from subjectivity as they rely on the evaluation of movements that are sometimes subtle to human eyes and therefore difficult to classify, leading to possible misclassification. In the meantime, early non-motor symptoms of PD may be mild and can be caused by many other conditions. Therefore, these symptoms are often overlooked, making diagnosis of PD at an early stage challenging. To address these difficulties and to refine the diagnosis and assessment procedures of PD, machine learning methods have been implemented for the classification of PD and healthy controls or patients with similar clinical presentations (e.g., movement disorders or other Parkinsonian syndromes). To provide a comprehensive overview of data modalities and machine learning methods that have been used in the diagnosis and differential diagnosis of PD, in this study, we conducted a systematic literature review of studies published until February 14, 2020, using the PubMed and IEEE Xplore databases. A total of 209 studies were included, extracted for relevant information and presented in this systematic review, with an investigation of their aims, sources of data, types of data, machine learning methods and associated outcomes. These studies demonstrate a high potential for adaptation of machine learning methods and novel biomarkers in clinical decision making, leading to increasingly systematic, informed diagnosis of PD.