Algorithms with (machine-learned) predictions is a powerful framework for combining traditional worst-case algorithms with modern machine learning. However, the vast majority of work in this space assumes that the prediction itself is non-probabilistic, even if it is generated by some stochastic process (such as a machine learning system). This is a poor fit for modern ML, particularly modern neural networks, which naturally generate a distribution. We initiate the study of algorithms with distributional predictions, where the prediction itself is a distribution. We focus on one of the simplest yet fundamental settings: binary search (or searching a sorted array). This setting has one of the simplest algorithms with a point prediction, but what happens if the prediction is a distribution? We show that this is a richer setting: there are simple distributions where using the classical prediction-based algorithm with any single prediction does poorly. Motivated by this, as our main result, we give an algorithm with query complexity $O(H(p) + \log \eta)$, where $H(p)$ is the entropy of the true distribution $p$ and $\eta$ is the earth mover's distance between $p$ and the predicted distribution $\hat p$. This also yields the first distributionally-robust algorithm for the classical problem of computing an optimal binary search tree given a distribution over target keys. We complement this with a lower bound showing that this query complexity is essentially optimal (up to constants), and experiments validating the practical usefulness of our algorithm.

In this paper, we study second-order algorithms for solving nonconvex-strongly concave minimax problems, which have attracted much attention in recent years in many fields, especially in machine learning. We propose a gradient norm regularized trust region (GRTR) algorithm to solve nonconvex-strongly concave minimax problems, where the objective function of the trust region subproblem in each iteration uses a regularized version of the Hessian matrix, and the regularization coefficient and the radius of the ball constraint are proportional to the square root of the gradient norm. The iteration complexity of the proposed GRTR algorithm to obtain an $\mathcal{O}(\epsilon,\sqrt{\epsilon})$-second-order stationary point is proved to be upper bounded by $\tilde{\mathcal{O}}(\rho^{0.5}\kappa^{1.5}\epsilon^{-3/2})$, where $\rho$ and $\kappa$ are the Lipschitz constant of the Jacobian matrix and the condition number of the objective function respectively, which matches the best known iteration complexity of second-order methods for solving nonconvex-strongly concave minimax problems. We further propose a Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm with a gradient norm regularization coefficient and use the negative curvature direction to correct the iteration direction (LMNegCur), which does not need to solve the trust region subproblem at each iteration. We also prove that the LMNegCur algorithm achieves an $\mathcal{O}(\epsilon,\sqrt{\epsilon})$-second-order stationary point within $\tilde{\mathcal{O}}(\rho^{0.5}\kappa^{1.5}\epsilon^{-3/2})$ number of iterations. Numerical results show the efficiency of both proposed algorithms.

The symmetric low-rank matrix factorization serves as a building block in many learning tasks, including matrix recovery and training of neural networks. However, despite a flurry of recent research, the dynamics of its training via non-convex factorized gradient-descent-type methods is not fully understood especially in the over-parameterized regime where the fitted rank is higher than the true rank of the target matrix. To overcome this challenge, we characterize equilibrium points of the gradient flow dynamics and examine their local and global stability properties. To facilitate a precise global analysis, we introduce a nonlinear change of variables that brings the dynamics into a cascade connection of three subsystems whose structure is simpler than the structure of the original system. We demonstrate that the Schur complement to a principal eigenspace of the target matrix is governed by an autonomous system that is decoupled from the rest of the dynamics. In the over-parameterized regime, we show that this Schur complement vanishes at an $O(1/t)$ rate, thereby capturing the slow dynamics that arises from excess parameters. We utilize a Lyapunov-based approach to establish exponential convergence of the other two subsystems. By decoupling the fast and slow parts of the dynamics, we offer new insight into the shape of the trajectories associated with local search algorithms and provide a complete characterization of the equilibrium points and their global stability properties. Such an analysis via nonlinear control techniques may prove useful in several related over-parameterized problems.

We present Model Predictive Trees (MPT), a receding horizon tree search algorithm that improves its performance by reusing information efficiently. Whereas existing solvers reuse only the highest-quality trajectory from the previous iteration as a "hotstart", our method reuses the entire optimal subtree, enabling the search to be simultaneously guided away from the low-quality areas and towards the high-quality areas. We characterize the restrictions on tree reuse by analyzing the induced tracking error under time-varying dynamics, revealing a tradeoff between the search depth and the timescale of the changing dynamics. In numerical studies, our algorithm outperforms state-of-the-art sampling-based cross-entropy methods with hotstarting. We demonstrate our planner on an autonomous vehicle testbed performing a nonprehensile manipulation task: pushing a target object through an obstacle field. Code associated with this work will be made available at https://github.com/jplathrop/mpt.

Large language models demonstrate exceptional performance in simple code generation tasks but still face challenges in tackling complex problems. These challenges may stem from insufficient reasoning and problem decomposition capabilities. To address this issue, we propose a reasoning-augmented data generation process, SRA-MCTS, which guides the model to autonomously generate high-quality intermediate reasoning paths. This creates a positive feedback loop, enabling continuous improvement. Our method operates entirely through the model itself without requiring additional supervision. By synthesizing natural language reasoning paths and translating them into executable code, the approach ensures analytical accuracy and enhances the success rate in solving complex tasks. Experimental results show that, even without additional supervisory signals, our method achieves performance improvements across different model scales, demonstrating the significant potential of self-improvement in small models. Furthermore, the method remains robust when traditional Chain-of-Thought (CoT) approaches exhibit performance degradation, with notable improvements observed in diversity metrics such as pass@10. We encourage further exploration of reasoning processes within training data to enhance the ability of language models to address complex problems. Our code and data are public at https://github.com/DIRECT-BIT/SRA-MCTS.

Video recorded by a passenger at the Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky International Airport this year shows a federal agent seizing a traveler's bag. The Justice Department has now ordered the DEA to halt random searches at transit hubs. The Drug Enforcement Administration is no longer allowed to randomly search travelers at airports and other transit hubs after a scathing report from the Justice Department found "serious concerns" with the practice. DEA agents failed to properly document searches, may have illegally targeted minorities and, in at least one case, paid an airline employee tens of thousands of dollars over several years to suggest targets for searches, according to the report released Thursday by Justice Department Inspector General Michael Horowitz. The deputy attorney general ordered the DEA to suspend the random searches Nov. 12 after seeing a draft of the memo.

We explore the trade-off between privacy and statistical utility in private two-sample testing under local differential privacy (LDP) for both multinomial and continuous data. We begin by addressing the multinomial case, where we introduce private permutation tests using practical privacy mechanisms such as Laplace, discrete Laplace, and Google's RAPPOR. We then extend our multinomial approach to continuous data via binning and study its uniform separation rates under LDP over H\"older and Besov smoothness classes. The proposed tests for both discrete and continuous cases rigorously control the type I error for any finite sample size, strictly adhere to LDP constraints, and achieve minimax separation rates under LDP. The attained minimax rates reveal inherent privacy-utility trade-offs that are unavoidable in private testing. To address scenarios with unknown smoothness parameters in density testing, we propose an adaptive test based on a Bonferroni-type approach that ensures robust performance without prior knowledge of the smoothness parameters. We validate our theoretical findings with extensive numerical experiments and demonstrate the practical relevance and effectiveness of our proposed methods.

We propose a path-tracking Hybrid A* planner and a coupled hierarchical Model Predictive Control (MPC) controller in scenarios involving the path smoothing of agricultural vehicles. For agricultural vehicles following reference paths on farmlands, especially during cross-furrow operations, a minimum deviation from the reference path is desired, in addition to the curvature constraints and body scale collision avoidance. Our contribution is threefold. (1) We propose the path-tracking Hybrid A*, which satisfies nonholonomic constraints and vehicle size collision avoidance, and devise new cost and heuristic functions to minimize the deviation degree. The path-tracking Hybrid A* can not only function in offline smoothing but also the real-time adjustment when confronted with unexpected obstacles. (2) We propose the hierarchical MPC to safely track the smoothed trajectory, using the initial solution solved by linearized MPC and nonlinear local adjustments around the initial solution. (3) We carry out extensive simulations with baseline comparisons based on real-world farm datasets to evaluate the performance of our algorithm.

How can robots learn and adapt to new tasks and situations with little data? Systematic exploration and simulation are crucial tools for efficient robot learning. We present a novel black-box policy search algorithm focused on data-efficient policy improvements. The algorithm learns directly on the robot and treats simulation as an additional information source to speed up the learning process. At the core of the algorithm, a probabilistic model learns the dependence of the policy parameters and the robot learning objective not only by performing experiments on the robot, but also by leveraging data from a simulator. This substantially reduces interaction time with the robot. Using this model, we can guarantee improvements with high probability for each policy update, thereby facilitating fast, goal-oriented learning. We evaluate our algorithm on simulated fine-tuning tasks and demonstrate the data-efficiency of the proposed dual-information source optimization algorithm. In a real robot learning experiment, we show fast and successful task learning on a robot manipulator with the aid of an imperfect simulator.

This paper presents an advanced mathematical problem-solving framework, LLaMA-Berry, for enhancing the mathematical reasoning ability of Large Language Models (LLMs). The framework combines Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) with iterative Self-Refine to optimize the reasoning path and utilizes a pairwise reward model to evaluate different paths globally. By leveraging the self-critic and rewriting capabilities of LLMs, Self-Refine applied to MCTS (SR-MCTS) overcomes the inefficiencies and limitations of conventional step-wise and greedy search algorithms by fostering a more efficient exploration of solution spaces. Pairwise Preference Reward Model~(PPRM), inspired by Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedback (RLHF), is then used to model pairwise preferences between solutions, utilizing an Enhanced Borda Count (EBC) method to synthesize these preferences into a global ranking score to find better answers. This approach addresses the challenges of scoring variability and non-independent distributions in mathematical reasoning tasks. The framework has been tested on general and advanced benchmarks, showing superior performance in terms of search efficiency and problem-solving capability compared to existing methods like ToT and rStar, particularly in complex Olympiad-level benchmarks, including GPQA, AIME24 and AMC23.