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 Mathematical & Statistical Methods


A useful criterion on studying consistent estimation in community detection

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In network analysis, developing a unified theoretical framework that can compare methods under different models is an interesting problem. This paper proposes a partial solution to this problem. We summarize the idea of using separation condition for a standard network and sharp threshold of Erd\"os-R\'enyi random graph to study consistent estimation, compare theoretical error rates and requirements on network sparsity of spectral methods under models that can degenerate to stochastic block model as a four-step criterion SCSTC. Using SCSTC, we find some inconsistent phenomena on separation condition and sharp threshold in community detection. Especially, we find original theoretical results of the SPACL algorithm introduced to estimate network memberships under the mixed membership stochastic blockmodel were sub-optimal. To find the formation mechanism of inconsistencies, we re-establish theoretical convergence rates of this algorithm by applying recent techniques on row-wise eigenvector deviation. The results are further extended to the degree corrected mixed membership model. By comparison, our results enjoy smaller error rates, lesser dependence on the number of communities, weaker requirements on network sparsity, and so forth. Furthermore, separation condition and sharp threshold obtained from our theoretical results match classical results, which shows the usefulness of this criterion on studying consistent estimation.


Green Simulation Assisted Policy Gradient to Accelerate Stochastic Process Control

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This study is motivated by the critical challenges in the biopharmaceutical manufacturing, including high complexity, high uncertainty, and very limited process data. Each experiment run is often very expensive. To support the optimal and robust process control, we propose a general green simulation assisted policy gradient (GS-PG) framework for both online and offline learning settings. Basically, to address the key limitations of state-of-art reinforcement learning (RL), such as sample inefficiency and low reliability, we create a mixture likelihood ratio based policy gradient estimation that can leverage on the information from historical experiments conducted under different inputs, including process model coefficients and decision policy parameters. Then, to accelerate the learning of optimal and robust policy, we further propose a variance reduction based sample selection method that allows GS-PG to intelligently select and reuse most relevant historical trajectories. The selection rule automatically updates the samples to be reused during the learning of process mechanisms and the search for optimal policy. Our theoretical and empirical studies demonstrate that the proposed framework can perform better than the state-of-art policy gradient approach and accelerate the optimal robust process control for complex stochastic systems under high uncertainty.


Binomial Distribution Explained with Examples - Data Analytics

#artificialintelligence

The binomial distribution is a probability distribution that applies to binomial experiments. The binomial distribution may be imagined as the probability distribution of a number of heads that appear on a coin flip in a specific experiment comprising of a fixed number of coin flips. In this blog post, we will learn binomial distribution with the help of examples. If you are an aspiring data scientist looking forward to learning/understand the binomial distribution in a better manner, this post might be very helpful. The binomial distribution is a discrete probability distribution that represents the probabilities of binomial random variables in a binomial experiment.


Mode and Ridge Estimation in Euclidean and Directional Product Spaces: A Mean Shift Approach

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The set of local modes and the ridge lines estimated from a dataset are important summary characteristics of the data-generating distribution. In this work, we consider estimating the local modes and ridges from point cloud data in a product space with two or more Euclidean/directional metric spaces. Specifically, we generalize the well-known (subspace constrained) mean shift algorithm to the product space setting and illuminate some pitfalls in such generalization. We derive the algorithmic convergence of the proposed method, provide practical guidelines on the implementation, and demonstrate its effectiveness on both simulated and real datasets.


Linear Algebra Part-2

#artificialintelligence

Unfortunately, no one can be told what the matrix is. You have to see yourself. In this blog, lets continue the topic from previous blog where we left off. Blog covers 3-D Linear transformations, determinants, Inverse Matrices, Column Space, Null Space, Non Square matrices as transformations between dimensions. Example: Consider a linear transformation with 3-Dimentional vectors as inputs and 3-Dimentional vectors as output.


An Ample Approach to Data and Modeling

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In the present work, we describe a framework for modeling how models can be built that integrates concepts and methods from a wide range of fields. The information schism between the real-world and that which can be gathered and considered by any individual information processing agent is characterized and discussed, followed by the presentation of a series of the adopted requisites while developing the modeling approach. The issue of mapping from datasets into models is subsequently addressed, as well as some of the respectively implied difficulties and limitations. Based on these considerations, an approach to meta modeling how models are built is then progressively developed. First, the reference M* meta model framework is presented, which relies critically in associating whole datasets and respective models in terms of a strict equivalence relation. Among the interesting features of this model are its ability to bridge the gap between data and modeling, as well as paving the way to an algebra of both data and models which can be employed to combine models into hierarchical manner. After illustrating the M* model in terms of patterns derived from regular lattices, the reported modeling approach continues by discussing how sampling issues, error and overlooked data can be addressed, leading to the $M^{<\epsilon>}$ variant, illustrated respectively to number theory. The situation in which the data needs to be represented in terms of respective probability densities is treated next, yielding the $M^{<\sigma>}$ meta model, which is then illustrated respectively to a real-world dataset (iris flowers data). Several considerations about how the developed framework can provide insights about data clustering, complexity, collaborative research, deep learning, and creativity are then presented, followed by overall conclusions.


Exact Matching of Random Graphs with Constant Correlation

arXiv.org Machine Learning

This paper deals with the problem of graph matching or network alignment for Erd\H{o}s--R\'enyi graphs, which can be viewed as a noisy average-case version of the graph isomorphism problem. Let $G$ and $G'$ be $G(n, p)$ Erd\H{o}s--R\'enyi graphs marginally, identified with their adjacency matrices. Assume that $G$ and $G'$ are correlated such that $\mathbb{E}[G_{ij} G'_{ij}] = p(1-\alpha)$. For a permutation $\pi$ representing a latent matching between the vertices of $G$ and $G'$, denote by $G^\pi$ the graph obtained from permuting the vertices of $G$ by $\pi$. Observing $G^\pi$ and $G'$, we aim to recover the matching $\pi$. In this work, we show that for every $\varepsilon \in (0,1]$, there is $n_0>0$ depending on $\varepsilon$ and absolute constants $\alpha_0, R > 0$ with the following property. Let $n \ge n_0$, $(1+\varepsilon) \log n \le np \le n^{\frac{1}{R \log \log n}}$, and $0 < \alpha < \min(\alpha_0,\varepsilon/4)$. There is a polynomial-time algorithm $F$ such that $\mathbb{P}\{F(G^\pi,G')=\pi\}=1-o(1)$. This is the first polynomial-time algorithm that recovers the exact matching between vertices of correlated Erd\H{o}s--R\'enyi graphs with constant correlation with high probability. The algorithm is based on comparison of partition trees associated with the graph vertices.


Delayed rejection Hamiltonian Monte Carlo for sampling multiscale distributions

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The efficiency of Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) can suffer when sampling a distribution with a wide range of length scales, because the small step sizes needed for stability in high-curvature regions are inefficient elsewhere. To address this we present a delayed rejection variant: if an initial HMC trajectory is rejected, we make one or more subsequent proposals each using a step size geometrically smaller than the last. We extend the standard delayed rejection framework by allowing the probability of a retry to depend on the probability of accepting the previous proposal. We test the scheme in several sampling tasks, including multiscale model distributions such as Neal's funnel, and statistical applications. Delayed rejection enables up to five-fold performance gains over optimally-tuned HMC, as measured by effective sample size per gradient evaluation. Even for simpler distributions, delayed rejection provides increased robustness to step size misspecification. Along the way, we provide an accessible but rigorous review of detailed balance for HMC. Keywords: delayed rejection, Hamiltonian Monte Carlo, detailed balance, multiscale.


Emergence and algorithmic information dynamics of systems and observers

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Previous work has shown that perturbation analysis in software space can produce candidate computable generative models and uncover possible causal properties from the finite description of an object or system quantifying the algorithmic contribution of each of its elements relative to the whole. One of the challenges for defining emergence is that one observer's prior knowledge may cause a phenomenon to present itself to such observer as emergent while for another as reducible. By formalising the act of observing as mutual perturbations between dynamical systems, we demonstrate that emergence of algorithmic information do depend on the observer's formal knowledge, while robust to other subjective factors, particularly: the choice of the programming language and the measurement method; errors or distortions during the information acquisition; and the informational cost of processing. This is called observer-dependent emergence (ODE). In addition, we demonstrate that the unbounded and fast increase of emergent algorithmic information implies asymptotically observer-independent emergence (AOIE). Unlike ODE, AOIE is a type of emergence for which emergent phenomena will remain considered to be emergent for every formal theory that any observer might devise. We demonstrate the existence of an evolutionary model that displays the diachronic variant of AOIE and a network model that displays the holistic variant of AOIE. Our results show that, restricted to the context of finite discrete deterministic dynamical systems, computable systems, and irreducible information content measures, AOIE is the strongest form of emergence that formal theories can attain.


Extracting stochastic dynamical systems with $\alpha$-stable L\'evy noise from data

arXiv.org Machine Learning

From this point of view, dynamical modeling requires a deep understanding of the process to be analyzed. The essence of model abstraction is an approximation to the observed reality, which is usually represented by a system composed of ordinary or partial differential equations, deterministic or stochastic differential equations, and control equations. Although mathematical models are accurate for many processes, it is particularly difficult to develop such models for some of the most challenging systems, including climate dynamics, brain dynamics, biological systems and financial markets. Fortunately, more and more data are observed or measured in recent years with the development of scientific tools and simulation capabilities. Therefore, a large number of data-driven methods has been proposed to discover governing laws of systems from data. For instance, several researchers designed the Sparse Identification of Nonlinear Dynamics approach to extract deterministic ordinary [5] or partial [15, 29, 31] differential equations from available path data.