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From Cognition to Precognition: A Future-Aware Framework for Social Navigation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

To navigate safely and efficiently in crowded spaces, robots should not only perceive the current state of the environment but also anticipate future human movements. In this paper, we propose a reinforcement learning architecture, namely Falcon, to tackle socially-aware navigation by explicitly predicting human trajectories and penalizing actions that block future human paths. To facilitate realistic evaluation, we introduce a novel SocialNav benchmark containing two new datasets, Social-HM3D and Social-MP3D. This benchmark offers large-scale photo-realistic indoor scenes populated with a reasonable amount of human agents based on scene area size, incorporating natural human movements and trajectory patterns. We conduct a detailed experimental analysis with the state-of-the-art learning-based method and two classic rule-based path-planning algorithms on the new benchmark. The results demonstrate the importance of future prediction and our method achieves the best task success rate of 55% while maintaining about 90% personal space compliance. We will release our code and datasets. Videos of demonstrations can be viewed at https://zeying-gong.github.io/projects/falcon/ .


Interview with Katherine Mayo: An agent-based analysis of real-time payments and fraud risk mitigation

AIHub

In their paper Fraud Risk Mitigation in Real-Time Payments: A Strategic Agent-Based Analysis, Katherine Mayo, Nicholas Grabill and Michael Wellman consider real-time payments, and employ an agent-based model to investigate potential strategies for banks in the face of fraud. We asked Katherine about this work, why it is an important topic, and how the team went about tackling the problem. Payments generally adhere to the following sequence of steps: initiation by the sender, processing by the bank, and then final funds are released to the receiver. The standard debit or credit transactions most people are familiar with often suffer delays in their processing of one or more days. However, recent advancements in technology have allowed for the introduction of a new, faster payment type boasting drastic decreases in processing times.


Disentangling Recognition and Decision Regrets in Image-Based Reinforcement Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In image-based reinforcement learning (RL), policies usually operate in two steps: first extracting lower-dimensional features from raw images (the "recognition" step), and then taking actions based on the extracted features (the "decision" step). Extracting features that are spuriously correlated with performance or irrelevant for decision-making can lead to poor generalization performance, known as observational overfitting in image-based RL. In such cases, it can be hard to quantify how much of the error can be attributed to poor feature extraction vs. poor decision-making. In order to disentangle the two sources of error, we introduce the notions of recognition regret and decision regret. Using these notions, we characterize and disambiguate the two distinct causes behind observational overfitting: over-specific representations, which include features that are not needed for optimal decision-making (leading to high decision regret), vs. under-specific representations, which only include a limited set of features that were spuriously correlated with performance during training (leading to high recognition regret). Finally, we provide illustrative examples of observational overfitting due to both over-specific and under-specific representations in maze environments as well as the Atari game Pong.


Data-Driven Cooperative Output Regulation of Continuous-Time Multi-Agent Systems with Unknown Network Topology

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper investigates data-driven cooperative output regulation for continuous-time multi-agent systems with unknown network topology. Unlike existing studies that typically assume a known network topology to directly compute controller parameters, a novel approach is proposed that allows for the computation of the parameter without prior knowledge of the topology. A lower bound on the minimum non-zero eigenvalue of the Laplacian matrix is estimated using only edge weight bounds, enabling the output regulation controller design to be independent of global network information. Additionally, the common need for state derivative measurements is eliminated, reducing the amount of data requirements. Furthermore, necessary and sufficient conditions are established to ensure that the data are informative for cooperative output regulation, leading to the design of a distributed output regulation controller. For the case with noisy data, the bound of the output error is provided, which is positively correlated with the noise bound, and a distributed controller is constructed for the approximate cooperative output regulation. Finally, the effectiveness of the proposed methods is verified through numerical simulations.


Opponent Shaping for Antibody Development

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Anti-viral therapies are typically designed or evolved towards the current strains of a virus. In learning terms, this corresponds to a myopic best response, i.e., not considering the possible adaptive moves of the opponent. However, therapy-induced selective pressures act on viral antigens to drive the emergence of mutated strains, against which initial therapies have reduced efficacy. To motivate our work, we consider antibody designs that target not only the current viral strains but also the wide range of possible future variants that the virus might evolve into under the evolutionary pressure exerted by said antibodies. Building on a computational model of binding between antibodies and viral antigens (the Absolut! framework), we design and implement a genetic simulation of the viral evolutionary escape. Crucially, this allows our antibody optimisation algorithm to consider and influence the entire escape curve of the virus, i.e. to guide (or ''shape'') the viral evolution. This is inspired by opponent shaping which, in general-sum learning, accounts for the adaptation of the co-player rather than playing a myopic best response. Hence we call the optimised antibodies shapers. Within our simulations, we demonstrate that our shapers target both current and simulated future viral variants, outperforming the antibodies chosen in a myopic way. Furthermore, we show that shapers exert specific evolutionary pressure on the virus compared to myopic antibodies. Altogether, shapers modify the evolutionary trajectories of viral strains and minimise the viral escape compared to their myopic counterparts. While this is a simple model, we hope that our proposed paradigm will enable the discovery of better long-lived vaccines and antibody therapies in the future, enabled by rapid advancements in the capabilities of simulation tools.


Frisking-Johnsen Model with Diminishing Competition

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This letter studies the Friedkin-Johnsen (FJ) model with diminishing competition, or stubbornness. The original FJ model assumes fixed competition that is manifested through a constant weight that each agent gives to its initial opinion in addition to its contribution through a consensus dynamic. This letter investigates the effect of diminishing competition on the convergence point and speed of the FJ dynamics. We show that, if the competition is uniform across agents and vanishes asymptotically, the convergence point coincides with the nominal consensus reached with no competition. However, the diminishing competition slows down convergence according to its own rate of decay. We evaluate this phenomenon analytically and provide upper and lower bounds on the convergence rate. If competition is not uniform across clients, we show that the convergence point may not coincide with the nominal consensus point. Finally, we evaluate and validate our analytical insights numerically.


On the Hardness of Decentralized Multi-Agent Policy Evaluation under Byzantine Attacks

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this paper, we study a fully-decentralized multi-agent policy evaluation problem, which is an important sub-problem in cooperative multi-agent reinforcement learning, in the presence of up to $f$ faulty agents. In particular, we focus on the so-called Byzantine faulty model with model poisoning setting. In general, policy evaluation is to evaluate the value function of any given policy. In cooperative multi-agent system, the system-wide rewards are usually modeled as the uniform average of rewards from all agents. We investigate the multi-agent policy evaluation problem in the presence of Byzantine agents, particularly in the setting of heterogeneous local rewards. Ideally, the goal of the agents is to evaluate the accumulated system-wide rewards, which are uniform average of rewards of the normal agents for a given policy. It means that all agents agree upon common values (the consensus part) and furthermore, the consensus values are the value functions (the convergence part). However, we prove that this goal is not achievable. Instead, we consider a relaxed version of the problem, where the goal of the agents is to evaluate accumulated system-wide reward, which is an appropriately weighted average reward of the normal agents. We further prove that there is no correct algorithm that can guarantee that the total number of positive weights exceeds $|\mathcal{N}|-f $, where $|\mathcal{N}|$ is the number of normal agents. Towards the end, we propose a Byzantine-tolerant decentralized temporal difference algorithm that can guarantee asymptotic consensus under scalar function approximation. We then empirically test the effective of the proposed algorithm.


Social impact of CAVs -- coexistence of machines and humans in the context of route choice

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Suppose in a stable urban traffic system populated only by human driven vehicles (HDVs), a given proportion (e.g. 10%) is replaced by a fleet of Connected and Autonomous Vehicles (CAVs), which share information and pursue a collective goal. Suppose these vehicles are centrally coordinated and differ from HDVs only by their collective capacities allowing them to make more efficient routing decisions before the travel on a given day begins. Suppose there is a choice between two routes and every day each driver makes a decision which route to take. Human drivers maximize their utility. CAVs might optimize different goals, such as the total travel time of the fleet. We show that in this plausible futuristic setting, the strategy CAVs are allowed to adopt may result in human drivers either benefitting or being systematically disadvantaged and urban networks becoming more or less optimal. Consequently, some regulatory measures might become indispensable.


Instigating Cooperation among LLM Agents Using Adaptive Information Modulation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper introduces a novel framework combining LLM agents as proxies for human strategic behavior with reinforcement learning (RL) to engage these agents in evolving strategic interactions within team environments. Our approach extends traditional agent-based simulations by using strategic LLM agents (SLA) and introducing dynamic and adaptive governance through a pro-social promoting RL agent (PPA) that modulates information access across agents in a network, optimizing social welfare and promoting pro-social behavior. Through validation in iterative games, including the prisoner's dilemma, we demonstrate that SLA agents exhibit nuanced strategic adaptations. The PPA agent effectively learns to adjust information transparency, resulting in enhanced cooperation rates. This framework offers significant insights into AI-mediated social dynamics, contributing to the deployment of AI in real-world team settings.


Decentralized Neural Networks for Robust and Scalable Eigenvalue Computation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper introduces a novel method for eigenvalue computation using a distributed cooperative neural network framework. Unlike traditional techniques that face scalability challenges in large systems, our decentralized algorithm enables multiple autonomous agents to collaboratively estimate the smallest eigenvalue of large matrices. Each agent employs a localized neural network, refining its estimates through communication with neighboring agents. Our empirical results confirm the algorithm's convergence towards the true eigenvalue, with estimates clustered closely around the true value. Even in the presence of communication delays or network disruptions, the method demonstrates strong robustness and scalability. Theoretical analysis further validates the accuracy and stability of the proposed approach, while empirical tests highlight its efficiency and precision, surpassing traditional centralized algorithms in large-scale eigenvalue computations.