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 Explanation & Argumentation


Experiential Explanations for Reinforcement Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Reinforcement Learning (RL) systems can be complex and non-interpretable, making it challenging for non-AI experts to understand or intervene in their decisions. This is due in part to the sequential nature of RL in which actions are chosen because of future rewards. However, RL agents discard the qualitative features of their training, making it difficult to recover user-understandable information for "why" an action is chosen. We propose a technique, Experiential Explanations, to generate counterfactual explanations by training influence predictors along with the RL policy. Influence predictors are models that learn how sources of reward affect the agent in different states, thus restoring information about how the policy reflects the environment. A human evaluation study revealed that participants presented with experiential explanations were better able to correctly guess what an agent would do than those presented with other standard types of explanation. Participants also found that experiential explanations are more understandable, satisfying, complete, useful, and accurate. The qualitative analysis provides insights into the factors of experiential explanations that are most useful.


Clash of the Explainers: Argumentation for Context-Appropriate Explanations

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Understanding when and why to apply any given eXplainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) technique is not a straightforward task. There is no single approach that is best suited for a given context. This paper aims to address the challenge of selecting the most appropriate explainer given the context in which an explanation is required. For AI explainability to be effective, explanations and how they are presented needs to be oriented towards the stakeholder receiving the explanation. If -- in general -- no single explanation technique surpasses the rest, then reasoning over the available methods is required in order to select one that is context-appropriate. Due to the transparency they afford, we propose employing argumentation techniques to reach an agreement over the most suitable explainers from a given set of possible explainers. In this paper, we propose a modular reasoning system consisting of a given mental model of the relevant stakeholder, a reasoner component that solves the argumentation problem generated by a multi-explainer component, and an AI model that is to be explained suitably to the stakeholder of interest. By formalising supporting premises -- and inferences -- we can map stakeholder characteristics to those of explanation techniques. This allows us to reason over the techniques and prioritise the best one for the given context, while also offering transparency into the selection decision.


LaCour!: Enabling Research on Argumentation in Hearings of the European Court of Human Rights

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

What can we learn about law and legal argumentation from court judgments alone? Contemporary research addresses empirical legal questions (e.g., which arguments are used) or legal NLP questions (e.g., predicting case outcomes) by relying on the availability of the final'products' of each case, the court decisions (Habernal et al, 2023; Medvedeva et al, 2020). The European Court of Human Rights (ECHR) is a prominent data source, as its decisions are freely available in a large amount, along with the metadata of the violated articles and other attributes. This makes ECHR a popular choice among NLP researchers (Aletras et al, 2016; Chalkidis et al, 2020). However, whether or not the legal arguments in ECHR's cases are created as a part of legal deliberation or are created post-hoc after reaching a decision remains an open (and partly controversial) question. In order to better understand the legal argument mechanics, that is which arguments of the parties were presented, discussed, or questioned, and thus might have influenced the case outcome, we must take the oral hearings into account. We witness that the availability of oral hearing transcripts of the U.S. Supreme Court enables further legal research (Ashley et al, 2007). However, empirical research into the interplay of arguments at the court hearings and the final judgments has been so far impossible for the ECHR, as there are no hearing transcripts available.


How much informative is your XAI? A decision-making assessment task to objectively measure the goodness of explanations

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

There is an increasing consensus about the effectiveness of user-centred approaches in the explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) field. Indeed, the number and complexity of personalised and user-centred approaches to XAI have rapidly grown in recent years. Often, these works have a two-fold objective: (1) proposing novel XAI techniques able to consider the users and (2) assessing the \textit{goodness} of such techniques with respect to others. From these new works, it emerged that user-centred approaches to XAI positively affect the interaction between users and systems. However, so far, the goodness of XAI systems has been measured through indirect measures, such as performance. In this paper, we propose an assessment task to objectively and quantitatively measure the goodness of XAI systems in terms of their \textit{information power}, which we intended as the amount of information the system provides to the users during the interaction. Moreover, we plan to use our task to objectively compare two XAI techniques in a human-robot decision-making task to understand deeper whether user-centred approaches are more informative than classical ones.


Towards Clinical Prediction with Transparency: An Explainable AI Approach to Survival Modelling in Residential Aged Care

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Background: Accurate survival time estimates aid end-of-life medical decision-making. Objectives: Develop an interpretable survival model for elderly residential aged care residents using advanced machine learning. Setting: A major Australasian residential aged care provider. Participants: Residents aged 65+ admitted for long-term care from July 2017 to August 2023. Sample size: 11,944 residents across 40 facilities. Predictors: Factors include age, gender, health status, co-morbidities, cognitive function, mood, nutrition, mobility, smoking, sleep, skin integrity, and continence. Outcome: Probability of survival post-admission, specifically calibrated for 6-month survival estimates. Statistical Analysis: Tested CoxPH, EN, RR, Lasso, GB, XGB, and RF models in 20 experiments with a 90/10 train/test split. Evaluated accuracy using C-index, Harrell's C-index, dynamic AUROC, IBS, and calibrated ROC. Chose XGB for its performance and calibrated it for 1, 3, 6, and 12-month predictions using Platt scaling. Employed SHAP values to analyze predictor impacts. Results: GB, XGB, and RF models showed the highest C-Index values (0.714, 0.712, 0.712). The optimal XGB model demonstrated a 6-month survival prediction AUROC of 0.746 (95% CI 0.744-0.749). Key mortality predictors include age, male gender, mobility, health status, pressure ulcer risk, and appetite. Conclusions: The study successfully applies machine learning to create a survival model for aged care, aligning with clinical insights on mortality risk factors and enhancing model interpretability and clinical utility through explainable AI.


LIPEx-Locally Interpretable Probabilistic Explanations-To Look Beyond The True Class

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this work, we instantiate a novel perturbation-based multi-class explanation framework, LIPEx (Locally Interpretable Probabilistic Explanation). We demonstrate that LIPEx not only locally replicates the probability distributions output by the widely used complex classification models but also provides insight into how every feature deemed to be important affects the prediction probability for each of the possible classes. We achieve this by defining the explanation as a matrix obtained via regression with respect to the Hellinger distance in the space of probability distributions. Ablation tests on text and image data, show that LIPEx-guided removal of important features from the data causes more change in predictions for the underlying model than similar tests based on other saliency-based or feature importance-based Explainable AI (XAI) methods. It is also shown that compared to LIME, LIPEx is more data efficient in terms of using a lesser number of perturbations of the data to obtain a reliable explanation. This data-efficiency is seen to manifest as LIPEx being able to compute its explanation matrix around 53% faster than all-class LIME, for classification experiments with text data.


Precision of Individual Shapley Value Explanations

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Shapley values are extensively used in explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) as a framework to explain predictions made by complex machine learning (ML) models. In this work, we focus on conditional Shapley values for predictive models fitted to tabular data and explain the prediction $f(\boldsymbol{x}^{*})$ for a single observation $\boldsymbol{x}^{*}$ at the time. Numerous Shapley value estimation methods have been proposed and empirically compared on an average basis in the XAI literature. However, less focus has been devoted to analyzing the precision of the Shapley value explanations on an individual basis. We extend our work in Olsen et al. (2023) by demonstrating and discussing that the explanations are systematically less precise for observations on the outer region of the training data distribution for all used estimation methods. This is expected from a statistical point of view, but to the best of our knowledge, it has not been systematically addressed in the Shapley value literature. This is crucial knowledge for Shapley values practitioners, who should be more careful in applying these observations' corresponding Shapley value explanations.


Hi-ArG: Exploring the Integration of Hierarchical Argumentation Graphs in Language Pretraining

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The knowledge graph is a structure to store and represent knowledge, and recent studies have discussed its capability to assist language models for various applications. Some variations of knowledge graphs aim to record arguments and their relations for computational argumentation tasks. However, many must simplify semantic types to fit specific schemas, thus losing flexibility and expression ability. In this paper, we propose the Hierarchical Argumentation Graph (Hi-ArG), a new structure to organize arguments. We also introduce two approaches to exploit Hi-ArG, including a text-graph multi-modal model GreaseArG and a new pre-training framework augmented with graph information. Experiments on two argumentation tasks have shown that after further pre-training and fine-tuning, GreaseArG supersedes same-scale language models on these tasks, while incorporating graph information during further pre-training can also improve the performance of vanilla language models. Code for this paper is available at https://github.com/ljcleo/Hi-ArG .


Understanding Your Agent: Leveraging Large Language Models for Behavior Explanation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Intelligent agents such as robots are increasingly deployed in real-world, safety-critical settings. It is vital that these agents are able to explain the reasoning behind their decisions to human counterparts; however, their behavior is often produced by uninterpretable models such as deep neural networks. We propose an approach to generate natural language explanations for an agent's behavior based only on observations of states and actions, thus making our method independent from the underlying model's representation. For such models, we first learn a behavior representation and subsequently use it to produce plausible explanations with minimal hallucination while affording user interaction with a pre-trained large language model. We evaluate our method in a multi-agent search-and-rescue environment and demonstrate the effectiveness of our explanations for agents executing various behaviors. Through user studies and empirical experiments, we show that our approach generates explanations as helpful as those produced by a human domain expert while enabling beneficial interactions such as clarification and counterfactual queries.


Elucidating Discrepancy in Explanations of Predictive Models Developed using EMR

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The lack of transparency and explainability hinders the clinical adoption of Machine learning (ML) algorithms. While explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) methods have been proposed, little research has focused on the agreement between these methods and expert clinical knowledge. This study applies current state-of-the-art explainability methods to clinical decision support algorithms developed for Electronic Medical Records (EMR) data to analyse the concordance between these factors and discusses causes for identified discrepancies from a clinical and technical perspective. Important factors for achieving trustworthy XAI solutions for clinical decision support are also discussed.