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 Statistical Learning




Reinforcement Learning Based on On-Line EM Algorithm

Neural Information Processing Systems

On the other hand, applications to continuous state/action problems (Werbos, 1990; Doya, 1996; Sofge & White, 1992) are much more difficult than the finite state/action cases. Good function approximation methods and fast learning algorithms are crucial for successful applications. In this article, we propose a new RL method that has the above-mentioned two features. This method is based on an actor-critic architecture (Barto et al., 1983), although the detailed implementations of the actor and the critic are quite differ- Reinforcement Learning Based on On-Line EM Algorithm 1053 ent from those in the original actor-critic model. The actor and the critic in our method estimate a policy and a Q-function, respectively, and are approximated by Normalized Gaussian Networks (NGnet) (l'doody & Darken, 1989).



Learning Nonlinear Dynamical Systems Using an EM Algorithm

Neural Information Processing Systems

The Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm is an iterative procedure for maximum likelihood parameter estimation from data sets with missing or hidden variables [2]. It has been applied to system identification in linear stochastic state-space models, where the state variables are hidden from the observer and both the state and the parameters of the model have to be estimated simultaneously [9]. We present a generalization of the EM algorithm for parameter estimation in nonlinear dynamical systems. The "expectation" step makes use of Extended Kalman Smoothing to estimate the state, while the "maximization" step re-estimates the parameters using these uncertain state estimates. In general, the nonlinear maximization step is difficult because it requires integrating out the uncertainty in the states.


Gradient Descent for General Reinforcement Learning

Neural Information Processing Systems

A simple learning rule is derived, the VAPS algorithm, which can be instantiated to generate a wide range of new reinforcementlearning algorithms. These algorithms solve a number of open problems, define several new approaches to reinforcement learning, and unify different approaches to reinforcement learning under a single theory. These algorithms all have guaranteed convergence, and include modifications of several existing algorithms that were known to fail to converge on simple MOPs. These include Q learning, SARSA, and advantage learning. In addition to these value-based algorithms it also generates pure policy-search reinforcement-learning algorithms, which learn optimal policies without learning a value function. In addition, it allows policysearch and value-based algorithms to be combined, thus unifying two very different approaches to reinforcement learning into a single Value and Policy Search (V APS) algorithm.


Fisher Scoring and a Mixture of Modes Approach for Approximate Inference and Learning in Nonlinear State Space Models

Neural Information Processing Systems

The difficulties lie in the Monte-Carlo E-step which consists of sampling from the posterior distribution of the hidden variables given the observations. The new idea presented in this paper is to generate samples from a Gaussian approximation to the true posterior from which it is easy to obtain independent samples. The parameters of the Gaussian approximation are either derived from the extended Kalman filter or the Fisher scoring algorithm. In case the posterior density is multimodal we propose to approximate the posterior by a sum of Gaussians (mixture of modes approach). We show that sampling from the approximate posterior densities obtained by the above algorithms leads to better models than using point estimates for the hidden states. In our experiment, the Fisher scoring algorithm obtained a better approximation of the posterior mode than the EKF. For a multimodal distribution, the mixture of modes approach gave superior results. 1 INTRODUCTION Nonlinear state space models (NSSM) are a general framework for representing nonlinear time series. In particular, any NARMAX model (nonlinear auto-regressive moving average model with external inputs) can be translated into an equivalent NSSM.


A High Performance k-NN Classifier Using a Binary Correlation Matrix Memory

Neural Information Processing Systems

This paper presents a novel and fast k-NN classifier that is based on a binary CMM (Correlation Matrix Memory) neural network. A robust encoding method is developed to meet CMM input requirements. A hardware implementation of the CMM is described, which gives over 200 times the speed of a current mid-range workstation, and is scaleable to very large problems. When tested on several benchmarks and compared with a simple k-NN method, the CMM classifier gave less than I % lower accuracy and over 4 and 12 times speedup in software and hardware respectively.


Robot Docking Using Mixtures of Gaussians

Neural Information Processing Systems

This paper applies the Mixture of Gaussians probabilistic model, combined with Expectation Maximization optimization to the task of summarizing three dimensional range data for a mobile robot. This provides a flexible way of dealing with uncertainties in sensor information, and allows the introduction of prior knowledge into low-level perception modules. Problems with the basic approach were solved in several ways: the mixture of Gaussians was reparameterized to reflect the types of objects expected in the scene, and priors on model parameters were included in the optimization process. Both approaches force the optimization to find'interesting' objects, given the sensor and object characteristics. A higher level classifier was used to interpret the results provided by the model, and to reject spurious solutions.


Exploratory Data Analysis Using Radial Basis Function Latent Variable Models

Neural Information Processing Systems

Two developments of nonlinear latent variable models based on radial basis functions are discussed: in the first, the use of priors or constraints on allowable models is considered as a means of preserving data structure in low-dimensional representations for visualisation purposes. Also, a resampling approach is introduced which makes more effective use of the latent samples in evaluating the likelihood.