Learning is posed as a problem of function estimation, for which two principles of solution are considered: empirical risk minimization and structural risk minimization. These two principles are applied to two different statements of the function estimation problem: global and local. Systematic improvements in prediction power are illustrated in application to zip-code recognition.

The notion of generalization ability can be defined precisely as the prediction risk, the expected performance of an estimator in predicting new observations. In this paper, we propose the prediction risk as a measure of the generalization ability of multi-layer perceptron networks and use it to select an optimal network architecture from a set of possible architectures. We also propose a heuristic search strategy to explore the space of possible architectures. The prediction risk is estimated from the available data; here we estimate the prediction risk by v-fold cross-validation and by asymptotic approximations of generalized cross-validation or Akaike's final prediction error. We apply the technique to the problem of predicting corporate bond ratings. This problem is very attractive as a case study, since it is characterized by the limited availability of the data and by the lack of a complete a priori model which could be used to impose a structure to the network architecture.

The localized linear discriminant network (LLDN) has been designed to address classification problems containing relatively closely spaced data from different classes (encounter zones [1], the accuracy problem [2]). Locally trained hyperplane segmentsare an effective way to define the decision boundaries for these regions [3]. The LLD uses a modified perceptron training algorithm for effective discovery of separating hyperplane/sigmoid units within narrow boundaries. The basic unit of the network is the discriminant receptive field (DRF) which combines the LLD function with Gaussians representing the dispersion of the local training data with respect to the hyperplane. The DRF implements a local distance measure [4],and obtains the benefits of networks oflocalized units [5]. A constructive algorithm for the two-class case is described which incorporates DRF's into the hidden layer to solve local discrimination problems. The output unit produces a smoothed, piecewise linear decision boundary. Preliminary results indicate the ability of the LLDN to efficiently achieve separation when boundaries are narrow and complex, in cases where both the "standard" multilayer perceptron (MLP) and k-nearest neighbor (KNN) yield high error rates on training data. 1 The LLD Training Algorithm and DRF Generation The LLD is defined by the hyperplane normal vector V and its "midpoint" M (a translated origin [1] near the center of gravity of the training data in feature space). Incremental corrections to V and M accrue for each training token feature vector Yj in the training set, as iIlustrated in figure 1 (exaggerated magnitudes).

Stochastic gradient descent is a general algorithm which includes LMS, online backpropagation, and adaptive k-means clustering as special cases.

We then regard gradient descent with momentum as a dynamic system and explore a non quadratic error surface, showing that saturation of the error accounts for a variety of effects observed in simulations and justifies some popular heuristics. 1 INTRODUCTION Gradient descent is the bread-and-butter optimization technique in neural networks. Some people build special purpose hardware to accelerate gradient descent optimization ofbackpropagation networks. Understanding the dynamics of gradient descent on such surfaces is therefore of great practical value. Here we briefly review the known results in the convergence of batch gradient descent; showthat second-order momentum does not give any speedup; simulate a real network and observe some effect not predicted by theory; and account for these effects by analyzing gradient descent with momentum on a saturating error surface.

The notion of generalization ability can be defined precisely as the prediction risk,the expected performance of an estimator in predicting new observations. In this paper, we propose the prediction risk as a measure of the generalization ability of multi-layer perceptron networks and use it to select an optimal network architecture from a set of possible architectures. Wealso propose a heuristic search strategy to explore the space of possible architectures. The prediction risk is estimated from the available data; here we estimate the prediction risk by v-fold cross-validation and by asymptotic approximations of generalized cross-validation or Akaike's final prediction error. We apply the technique to the problem of predicting corporate bond ratings. This problem is very attractive as a case study, since it is characterized by the limited availability of the data and by the lack of a complete a priori model which could be used to impose a structure to the network architecture.

Several parallel analogue algorithms, based upon mean field theory (MFT) approximations to an underlying statistical mechanics formulation, and requiring anexternally prescribed annealing schedule, now exist for finding approximate solutions to difficult combinatorial optimisation problems. They have been applied to the Travelling Salesman Problem (TSP), as well as to various issues in computational vision and cluster analysis. I show here that any given MFT algorithm can be combined in a natural way with notions from the areas of constrained optimisation and adaptive simulated annealing to yield a single homogenous and efficient parallel relaxation technique,for which an externally prescribed annealing schedule is no longer required. The results of numerical simulations on 50-city and 100-city TSP problems are presented, which show that the ensuing algorithms aretypically an order of magnitude faster than the MFT algorithms alone, and which also show, on occasion, superior solutions as well. 1 INTRODUCTION Several promising parallel analogue algorithms, which can be loosely described by the term "deterministic annealing", or "mean field theory (MFT) annealing", have *also at Theoretical Division and Center for Nonlinear Studies, MSB213, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM 87545.

Terence D. Sanger Massachusetts Institute of Technology Room E25-534 Cambridge, MA 02139 tds@ai.mit.edu Abstract We present an iterative algorithm for nonlinear regression based on construction ofsparse polynomials. Polynomials are built sequentially from lower to higher order. Selection of new terms is accomplished using a novel look-ahead approach that predicts whether a variable contributes to the remaining error. The algorithm is based on the tree-growing heuristic in LMS Trees which we have extended to approximation of arbitrary polynomials ofthe input features.

Another class of nonlinear algorithms, exemplified by CART (Breiman, Friedman, Olshen, & Stone, 1984) and MARS (Friedman, 1990), generalizes classicaltechniques by partitioning the training data into non-overlapping regions and fitting separate models in each of the regions. These two classes of algorithms extendlinear techniques in essentially independent directions, thus it seems worthwhile to investigate algorithms that incorporate aspects of both approaches to model estimation. Such algorithms would be related to CART and MARS as multilayer neural networks are related to linear statistical techniques.

Two projection based feedforward network learning methods for modelfree regressionproblems are studied and compared in this paper: one is the popular back-propagation learning (BPL); the other is the projection pursuit learning (PPL).