Statistical Learning
The most important topics in Machine Learning and Data Mining
For a data scientist is essential to be familiar with the most important and current fields of research in machine learning and data mining. The algorithms in machine learning and data mining advance to a higher level of accuracy and flexibility and a data scientist should be prepared to implement the best algorithms and methods. The investigation of most common topics in machine learning and data mining provides an insight about the most relevant areas of research. To achieve this goal, I used the database of ScienceDirect.com. ScienceDirect has access to about 2,500 academic journals, more than 26,000 e-books and more than 13 million articles.
EE-Grad: Exploration and Exploitation for Cost-Efficient Mini-Batch SGD
Donmez, Mehmet A., Raginsky, Maxim, Singer, Andrew C.
We present a generic framework for trading off fidelity and cost in computing stochastic gradients when the costs of acquiring stochastic gradients of different quality are not known a priori. We consider a mini-batch oracle that distributes a limited query budget over a number of stochastic gradients and aggregates them to estimate the true gradient. Since the optimal mini-batch size depends on the unknown cost-fidelity function, we propose an algorithm, {\it EE-Grad}, that sequentially explores the performance of mini-batch oracles and exploits the accumulated knowledge to estimate the one achieving the best performance in terms of cost-efficiency. We provide performance guarantees for EE-Grad with respect to the optimal mini-batch oracle, and illustrate these results in the case of strongly convex objectives. We also provide a simple numerical example that corroborates our theoretical findings.
The Kernel Mixture Network: A Nonparametric Method for Conditional Density Estimation of Continuous Random Variables
Ambrogioni, Luca, Gรผรงlรผ, Umut, van Gerven, Marcel A. J., Maris, Eric
This paper introduces the kernel mixture network, a new method for nonparametric estimation of conditional probability densities using neural networks. We model arbitrarily complex conditional densities as linear combinations of a family of kernel functions centered at a subset of training points. The weights are determined by the outer layer of a deep neural network, trained by minimizing the negative log likelihood. This generalizes the popular quantized softmax approach, which can be seen as a kernel mixture network with square and non-overlapping kernels. We test the performance of our method on two important applications, namely Bayesian filtering and generative modeling. In the Bayesian filtering example, we show that the method can be used to filter complex nonlinear and non-Gaussian signals defined on manifolds. The resulting kernel mixture network filter outperforms both the quantized softmax filter and the extended Kalman filter in terms of model likelihood. Finally, our experiments on generative models show that, given the same architecture, the kernel mixture network leads to higher test set likelihood, less overfitting and more diversified and realistic generated samples than the quantized softmax approach.
An Investigation of Newton-Sketch and Subsampled Newton Methods
Berahas, Albert S., Bollapragada, Raghu, Nocedal, Jorge
The concepts of sketching and subsampling have recently received much attention by the optimization and statistics communities. In this paper, we study Newton-Sketch and Subsampled Newton (SSN) methods for the finite-sum optimization problem. We consider practical versions of the two methods in which the Newton equations are solved approximately using the conjugate gradient (CG) method or a stochastic gradient iteration. We establish new complexity results for the SSN-CG method that exploit the spectral properties of CG. Controlled numerical experiments compare the relative strengths of Newton-Sketch and SSN methods and show that for many finite-sum problems, they are far more efficient than SVRG, a popular first-order method.
Learning Feature Nonlinearities with Non-Convex Regularized Binned Regression
Oymak, Samet, Mahdavi, Mehrdad, Chen, Jiasi
Recently, substantial progress has been made on the problem of high-dimensional sparse linear models [22]. In particular, Lasso has been shown to be remarkably successful, and is statistically well-behaved and generates interpretable solutions. However, in the presence of non-linearity (i.e., the relation between the covariates and response is nonlinear), boosted decision trees, deep learning models, and kernel methods are regarded as the most effective models that deliver substantial performance boost over linear models; however, their interpretability is limited. As a result, there is a significant gap between the statistical performance and the interpretability, and it is often desirable to have computationally efficient algorithms that learn interpretable models without sacrificing statistical guarantees. This raises a natural question that we aim to tackle: Is there any algorithm which has similar statistical performance to complex models, while still retaining much of the interpretability of Lasso? In this paper, we answer the above question affirmatively and propose a novel way of learning the feature non-linearities with provable statistical and computational guarantees.
Two-temperature logistic regression based on the Tsallis divergence
Amid, Ehsan, Warmuth, Manfred K.
We develop a variant of multiclass logistic regression that achieves three properties: i) We minimize a non-convex surrogate loss which makes the method robust to outliers, ii) our method allows transitioning between non-convex and convex losses by the choice of the parameters, iii) the surrogate loss is Bayes consistent, even in the non-convex case. The algorithm has one weight vector per class and the surrogate loss is a function of the linear activations (one per class). The surrogate loss of an example with linear activation vector $\mathbf{a}$ and class $c$ has the form $-\log_{t_1} \exp_{t_2} (a_c - G_{t_2}(\mathbf{a}))$ where the two temperatures $t_1$ and $t_2$ "temper" the $\log$ and $\exp$, respectively, and $G_{t_2}$ is a generalization of the log-partition function. We motivate this loss using the Tsallis divergence. As the temperature of the logarithm becomes smaller than the temperature of the exponential, the surrogate loss becomes "more quasi-convex". Various tunings of the temperatures recover previous methods and tuning the degree of non-convexity is crucial in the experiments. The choice $t_1<1$ and $t_2>1$ performs best experimentally. We explain this by showing that $t_1 < 1$ caps the surrogate loss and $t_2 >1$ makes the predictive distribution have a heavy tail.
Doubly Robust Data-Driven Distributionally Robust Optimization
Blanchet, Jose, Kang, Yang, Zhang, Fan, He, Fei, Hu, Zhangyi
Data-driven Distributionally Robust Optimization (DD-DRO) via optimal transport has been shown to encompass a wide range of popular machine learning algorithms. The distributional uncertainty size is often shown to correspond to the regularization parameter. The type of regularization (e.g. the norm used to regularize) corresponds to the shape of the distributional uncertainty. We propose a data-driven robust optimization methodology to inform the transportation cost underlying the definition of the distributional uncertainty. We show empirically that this additional layer of robustification, which produces a method we called doubly robust data-driven distributionally robust optimization (DD-R-DRO), allows to enhance the generalization properties of regularized estimators while reducing testing error relative to state-of-the-art classifiers in a wide range of data sets.
Data-driven Optimal Transport Cost Selection for Distributionally Robust Optimizatio
Blanchet, Jose, Kang, Yang, Zhang, Fan, Murthy, Karthyek
Recently, (Blanchet, Kang, and Murhy 2016) showed that several machine learning algorithms, such as square-root Lasso, Support Vector Machines, and regularized logistic regression, among many others, can be represented exactly as distributionally robust optimization (DRO) problems. The distributional uncertainty is defined as a neighborhood centered at the empirical distribution. We propose a methodology which learns such neighborhood in a natural data-driven way. We show rigorously that our framework encompasses adaptive regularization as a particular case. Moreover, we demonstrate empirically that our proposed methodology is able to improve upon a wide range of popular machine learning estimators.
Efficient Learning of Harmonic Priors for Pitch Detection in Polyphonic Music
Alvarado, Pablo A., Stowell, Dan
Automatic music transcription (AMT) aims to infer a latent symbolic representation of a piece of music (piano-roll), given a corresponding observed audio recording. Transcribing polyphonic music (when multiple notes are played simultaneously) is a challenging problem, due to highly structured overlapping between harmonics. We study whether the introduction of physically inspired Gaussian process (GP) priors into audio content analysis models improves the extraction of patterns required for AMT. Audio signals are described as a linear combination of sources. Each source is decomposed into the product of an amplitude-envelope, and a quasi-periodic component process. We introduce the Mat\'ern spectral mixture (MSM) kernel for describing frequency content of singles notes. We consider two different regression approaches. In the sigmoid model every pitch-activation is independently non-linear transformed. In the softmax model several activation GPs are jointly non-linearly transformed. This introduce cross-correlation between activations. We use variational Bayes for approximate inference. We empirically evaluate how these models work in practice transcribing polyphonic music. We demonstrate that rather than encourage dependency between activations, what is relevant for improving pitch detection is to learnt priors that fit the frequency content of the sound events to detect.
CDS Rate Construction Methods by Machine Learning Techniques
Brummelhuis, Raymond, Luo, Zhongmin
Regulators require financial institutions to estimate counterparty default risks from liquid CDS quotes for the valuation and risk management of OTC derivatives. However, the vast majority of counterparties do not have liquid CDS quotes and need proxy CDS rates. Existing methods cannot account for counterparty-specific default risks; we propose to construct proxy CDS rates by associating to illiquid counterparty liquid CDS Proxy based on Machine Learning Techniques. After testing 156 classifiers from 8 most popular classifier families, we found that some classifiers achieve highly satisfactory accuracy rates. Furthermore, we have rank-ordered the performances and investigated performance variations amongst and within the 8 classifier families. This paper is, to the best of our knowledge, the first systematic study of CDS Proxy construction by Machine Learning techniques, and the first systematic classifier comparison study based entirely on financial market data. Its findings both confirm and contrast existing classifier performance literature. Given the typically highly correlated nature of financial data, we investigated the impact of correlation on classifier performance. The techniques used in this paper should be of interest for financial institutions seeking a CDS Proxy method, and can serve for proxy construction for other financial variables. Some directions for future research are indicated.