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 Statistical Learning


Compositional ADAM: An Adaptive Compositional Solver

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In this paper, we present C-ADAM, the first adaptive solver for compositional problems involving a non-linear functional nesting of expected values. We proof that C-ADAM converges to a stationary point in $\mathcal{O}(\delta^{-2.25})$ with $\delta$ being a precision parameter. Moreover, we demonstrate the importance of our results by bridging, for the first time, model-agnostic meta-learning (MAML) and compositional optimisation showing fastest known rates for deep network adaptation to-date. Finally, we validate our findings in a set of experiments from portfolio optimisation and meta-learning. Our results manifest significant sample complexity reductions compared to both standard and compositional solvers.


Towards Mixture Proportion Estimation without Irreducibility

arXiv.org Machine Learning

\textit{Mixture proportion estimation} (MPE) is a fundamental problem of practical significance, where we are given data from only a \textit{mixture} and one of its two \textit{components} to identify the proportion of each component. All existing MPE methods that are distribution-independent explicitly or implicitly rely on the \textit{irreducible} assumption---the unobserved component is not a mixture containing the observable component. If this is not satisfied, those methods will lead to a critical estimation bias. In this paper, we propose \textit{Regrouping-MPE} that works without irreducible assumption: it builds a new irreducible MPE problem and solves the new problem. It is worthwhile to change the problem: we prove that if the assumption holds, our method will not affect anything; if the assumption does not hold, the bias from problem changing is less than the bias from violation of the irreducible assumption in the original problem. Experiments show that our method outperforms all state-of-the-art MPE methods on various real-world datasets.


Sparse and Smooth: improved guarantees for Spectral Clustering in the Dynamic Stochastic Block Model

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In this paper, we analyse classical variants of the Spectral Clustering (SC) algorithm in the Dynamic Stochastic Block Model (DSBM). Existing results show that, in the relatively sparse case where the expected degree grows logarithmically with the number of nodes, guarantees in the static case can be extended to the dynamic case and yield improved error bounds when the DSBM is sufficiently smooth in time, that is, the communities do not change too much between two time steps. We improve over these results by drawing a new link between the sparsity and the smoothness of the DSBM: the more regular the DSBM is, the more sparse it can be, while still guaranteeing consistent recovery. In particular, a mild condition on the smoothness allows to treat the sparse case with bounded degree. We also extend these guarantees to the normalized Laplacian, and as a by-product of our analysis, we obtain to our knowledge the best spectral concentration bound available for the normalized Laplacian of matrices with independent Bernoulli entries.


Infinity Learning: Learning Markov Chains from Aggregate Steady-State Observations

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We consider the task of learning a parametric Continuous Time Markov Chain (CTMC) sequence model without examples of sequences, where the training data consists entirely of aggregate steady-state statistics. Making the problem harder, we assume that the states we wish to predict are unobserved in the training data. Specifically, given a parametric model over the transition rates of a CTMC and some known transition rates, we wish to extrapolate its steady state distribution to states that are unobserved. A technical roadblock to learn a CTMC from its steady state has been that the chain rule to compute gradients will not work over the arbitrarily long sequences necessary to reach steady state ---from where the aggregate statistics are sampled. To overcome this optimization challenge, we propose $\infty$-SGD, a principled stochastic gradient descent method that uses randomly-stopped estimators to avoid infinite sums required by the steady state computation, while learning even when only a subset of the CTMC states can be observed. We apply $\infty$-SGD to a real-world testbed and synthetic experiments showcasing its accuracy, ability to extrapolate the steady state distribution to unobserved states under unobserved conditions (heavy loads, when training under light loads), and succeeding in difficult scenarios where even a tailor-made extension of existing methods fails.


Finding manoeuvre motifs in vehicle telematics

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Driving behaviour has a great impact on road safety. A popular way of analysing driving behaviour is to move the focus to the manoeuvres as they give useful information about the driver who is performing them. In this paper, we investigate a new way of identifying manoeuvres from vehicle telematics data, through motif detection in time-series. We implement a modified version of the Extended Motif Discovery (EMD) algorithm, a classical variable-length motif detection algorithm for time-series and we applied it to the UAH-DriveSet, a publicly available naturalistic driving dataset. After a systematic exploration of the extracted motifs, we were able to conclude that the EMD algorithm was not only capable of extracting simple manoeuvres such as accelerations, brakes and curves, but also more complex manoeuvres, such as lane changes and overtaking manoeuvres, which validates motif discovery as a worthwhile line for future research.


Community Detection on Mixture Multi-layer Networks via Regularized Tensor Decomposition

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We study the problem of community detection in multi-layer networks, where pairs of nodes can be related in multiple modalities. We introduce a general framework, i.e., mixture multi-layer stochastic block model (MMSBM), which includes many earlier models as special cases. We propose a tensor-based algorithm (TWIST) to reveal both global/local memberships of nodes, and memberships of layers. We show that the TWIST procedure can accurately detect the communities with small misclassification error as the number of nodes and/or the number of layers increases. Numerical studies confirm our theoretical findings. To our best knowledge, this is the first systematic study on the mixture multi-layer networks using tensor decomposition. The method is applied to two real datasets: worldwide trading networks and malaria parasite genes networks, yielding new and interesting findings.


Generalised Lipschitz Regularisation Equals Distributional Robustness

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The problem of adversarial examples has highlighted the need for a theory of regularisation that is general enough to apply to exotic function classes, such as universal approximators. In response, we give a very general equality result regarding the relationship between distributional robustness and regularisation, as defined with a transportation cost uncertainty set. The theory allows us to (tightly) certify the robustness properties of a Lipschitz-regularised model with very mild assumptions. As a theoretical application we show a new result explicating the connection between adversarial learning and distributional robustness. We then give new results for how to achieve Lipschitz regularisation of kernel classifiers, which are demonstrated experimentally.


Generalization Guarantees for Sparse Kernel Approximation with Entropic Optimal Features

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Despite their success, kernel methods suffer from a massive computational cost in practice. In this paper, in lieu of commonly used kernel expansion with respect to $N$ inputs, we develop a novel optimal design maximizing the entropy among kernel features. This procedure results in a kernel expansion with respect to entropic optimal features (EOF), improving the data representation dramatically due to features dissimilarity. Under mild technical assumptions, our generalization bound shows that with only $O(N^{\frac{1}{4}})$ features (disregarding logarithmic factors), we can achieve the optimal statistical accuracy (i.e., $O(1/\sqrt{N})$). The salient feature of our design is its sparsity that significantly reduces the time and space cost. Our numerical experiments on benchmark datasets verify the superiority of EOF over the state-of-the-art in kernel approximation.


Smoothness and Stability in GANs

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In this work, we develop a principled theoretical framework for understanding the stability of various types of GANs. In particular, we derive conditions that guarantee eventual stationarity of the generator when it is trained with gradient descent, conditions that must be satisfied by the divergence that is minimized by the GAN and the generator's architecture. We find that existing GAN variants satisfy some, but not all, of these conditions. Using tools from convex analysis, optimal transport, and reproducing kernels, we construct a GAN that fulfills these conditions simultaneously. In the process, we explain and clarify the need for various existing GAN stabilization techniques, including Lipschitz constraints, gradient penalties, and smooth activation functions.


LoCEC: Local Community-based Edge Classification in Large Online Social Networks

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Relationships in online social networks often imply social connections in the real world. An accurate understanding of relationship types benefits many applications, e.g. social advertising and recommendation. Some recent attempts have been proposed to classify user relationships into predefined types with the help of pre-labeled relationships or abundant interaction features on relationships. Unfortunately, both relationship feature data and label data are very sparse in real social platforms like WeChat, rendering existing methods inapplicable. In this paper, we present an in-depth analysis of WeChat relationships to identify the major challenges for the relationship classification task. To tackle the challenges, we propose a Local Community-based Edge Classification (LoCEC) framework that classifies user relationships in a social network into real-world social connection types. LoCEC enforces a three-phase processing, namely local community detection, community classification and relationship classification, to address the sparsity issue of relationship features and relationship labels. Moreover, LoCEC is designed to handle large-scale networks by allowing parallel and distributed processing. We conduct extensive experiments on the real-world WeChat network with hundreds of billions of edges to validate the effectiveness and efficiency of LoCEC.