The importance of algorithmic fairness grows with the increasing impact machine learning has on people's lives. Recent work on fairness metrics shows the need for causal reasoning in fairness constraints. In this work, a practical method named FairTrade is proposed for creating flexible prediction models which integrate fairness constraints on sensitive causal paths. The method uses recent advances in variational inference in order to account for unobserved confounders. Further, a method outline is proposed which uses the causal mechanism estimates to audit black box models. Experiments are conducted on simulated data and on a real dataset in the context of detecting unlawful social welfare. This research aims to contribute to machine learning techniques which honour our ethical and legal boundaries.

It is a machine learning algorithm that is used for classification problems. It follows a sigmoid path due to its function which can be written 1/(1 e (-hypothesis)). What we going to do here is, creating a model using a logistic regression algorithm that just classifies the data between the event i.e. it is happening or not. Hence we define a threshold value that predicts the plot under 0 and 1 as 0.5 being threshold value. It is based on the concept of probability and does predictive analysis.

SVMs (Support Vector Machines) are a way to classify data by finding the optimal plane or hyperplane that separates the data. In 2D, the separation is a plane; In higher dimensions, it's a hyperplane. For simplicity, the following picture shows how SVM works for a two-dimensional set.

Precision medicine is a medical model, which proposes customization of the healthcare to a subgroup of patients, based on a genetics, lifestyle and environment. This technique allows doctors and researchers to prognosis treatment and prevention strategies for a specific disease which can work on a group of people. It is opposed to a one-size-fits-all approach, in which disease treatment and prevention techniques are advanced for the average individual with much less attention for the variations among individuals. There is an overlap between the terms "precision medication" and "personalized medicine." As per the National Research Council, "personalized medicine" is a traditional word with a meaning close to "precision medication."

This paper presents a new variable selection approach integrated with Gaussian process (GP) regression. We consider a sparse projection of input variables and a general stationary covariance model that depends on the Euclidean distance between the projected features. The sparse projection matrix is considered as an unknown parameter. We propose a forward stagewise approach with embedded gradient descent steps to co-optimize the parameter with other covariance parameters based on the maximization of a non-convex marginal likelihood function with a concave sparsity penalty, and some convergence properties of the algorithm are provided. The proposed model covers a broader class of stationary covariance functions than the existing automatic relevance determination approaches, and the solution approach is more computationally feasible than the existing MCMC sampling procedures for the automatic relevance parameter estimation with a sparsity prior. The approach is evaluated for a large number of simulated scenarios. The choice of tuning parameters and the accuracy of the parameter estimation are evaluated with the simulation study. In the comparison to some chosen benchmark approaches, the proposed approach has provided a better accuracy in the variable selection. It is applied to an important problem of identifying environmental factors that affect an atmospheric corrosion of metal alloys.

Applying machine learning (ML) on multivariate time series data has growing popularity in many application domains, including in computer system management. For example, recent high performance computing (HPC) research proposes a variety of ML frameworks that use system telemetry data in the form of multivariate time series so as to detect performance variations, perform intelligent scheduling or node allocation, and improve system security. Common barriers for adoption for these ML frameworks include the lack of user trust and the difficulty of debugging. These barriers need to be overcome to enable the widespread adoption of ML frameworks in production systems. To address this challenge, this paper proposes a novel explainability technique for providing counterfactual explanations for supervised ML frameworks that use multivariate time series data. The proposed method outperforms state-of-the-art explainability methods on several different ML frameworks and data sets in metrics such as faithfulness and robustness. The paper also demonstrates how the proposed method can be used to debug ML frameworks and gain a better understanding of HPC system telemetry data.

Though generative dialogue modeling is widely seen as a language modeling task, the task demands an agent to have a complex natural language understanding of its input text to carry a meaningful interaction with an user. The automatic metrics used evaluate the quality of the generated text as a proxy to the holistic interaction of the agent. Such metrics were earlier shown to not correlate with the human judgement. In this work, we observe that human evaluation of dialogue agents can be inconclusive due to the lack of sufficient information for appropriate evaluation. The automatic metrics are deterministic yet shallow and human evaluation can be relevant yet inconclusive. To bridge this gap in evaluation, we propose designing a set of probing tasks to evaluate dialogue models. The hand-crafted tasks are aimed at quantitatively evaluating a generative dialogue model's understanding beyond the token-level evaluation on the generated text. The probing tasks are deterministic like automatic metrics and requires human judgement in their designing; benefiting from the best of both worlds. With experiments on probe tasks we observe that, unlike RNN based architectures, transformer model may not be learning to comprehend the input text despite its generated text having higher overlap with the target text.

We introduce optimization methods for convolutional neural networks that can be used to improve existing gradient-based optimization in terms of generalization error. The method requires only simple processing of existing stochastic gradients, can be used in conjunction with any optimizer, and has only a linear overhead (in the number of parameters) compared to computation of the stochastic gradient. We show that defining the gradients along the output channel direction leads to a performance boost, while other directions can be detrimental. We present the continuum theory of such gradients, its discretization, and application to deep networks. Experiments on benchmark datasets, several networks and baseline optimizers show that optimizers can be improved in generalization error by simply computing the stochastic gradient with respect to output-channel directed metrics. Stochastic gradient descent (SGD) is currently the dominant algorithm for optimizing large-scale convolutional neural networks (CNNs) LeCun et al. (1998); Simonyan & Zisserman (2014); He et al. (2016b). Although there has been large activity in optimization methods seeking to improve performance, SGD still dominates in large-scale CNN optimization in terms of its generalization ability. Despite SGD's dominance, there is still often a gap between training and real-world test accuracy performance in applications, which necessitates research in optimization methods to increase generalization accuracy.

Multiplayer games have a long history in being used as key testbeds for evaluation and training in artificial intelligence (AI), aptly referred to as the "Drosophila of AI". Traditionally, researchers have focused on using games to build strong AI agents that, e.g., achieve human-level performance. This progress, however, also requires a classification of how 'interesting' a game is for an artificial agent, which requires characterization of games and their topological landscape. Tackling this latter question not only facilitates an understanding of the characteristics of learnt AI agents in games, but can also help determine what game an AI should address next as part of its training. Here, we show how network measures applied to so-called response graphs of large-scale games enable the creation of a useful landscape of games, quantifying the relationships between games of widely varying sizes, characteristics, and complexities. We illustrate our findings in various domains, ranging from well-studied canonical games to significantly more complex empirical games capturing the performance of trained AI agents pitted against one another. Our results culminate in a demonstration of how one can leverage this information to automatically generate new and interesting games, including mixtures of empirical games synthesized from real world games.

With the rapid growth in the fashion e-commerce industry, it is becoming extremely challenging for the E-tailers to set an optimal price point for all the products on the platform. By establishing an optimal price point, they can maximize overall revenue and profit for the platform. In this paper, we propose a novel machine learning and optimization technique to find the optimal price point at an individual product level. It comprises three major components. Firstly, we use a demand prediction model to predict the next day demand for each product at a certain discount percentage. Next step, we use the concept of price elasticity of demand to get the multiple demand values by varying the discount percentage. Thus we obtain multiple price demand pairs for each product and we have to choose one of them for the live platform. Typically fashion e-commerce has millions of products, so there can be many permutations. Each permutation will assign a unique price point for all the products, which will sum up to a unique revenue number. To choose the best permutation which gives maximum revenue, a linear programming optimization technique is used. We have deployed the above methods in the live production environment and conducted several AB tests. According to the AB test result, our model is improving the revenue by 1 percent and gross margin by 0.81 percent.