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 Statistical Learning


The Exponential Growth of AI in Brain Care and Treatment

#artificialintelligence

Advances in computer science are helping to accelerate a broad spectrum of scientific research. The more complex the problem, the greater the potential for artificial intelligence (AI) machine learning to help identify patterns and make predictions. How widely is machine learning being used in treating diseases and disorders of the brain? A new study published earlier this month in the science journal APL Bioengineering examines the state-of-the-art uses of AI for brain disease, and shows there has been exponential growth in over a decade. The biological brain has been the inspiration for artificial neural networks, a type of artificial intelligence (AI) machine learning model.


Top 10 Books You Must Read Before Starting With Machine Learning

#artificialintelligence

In this article, we are going to list the top 10 Machine Learning books that you should read before you start with it. As you know, Machine Learning is a combination of statistic techniques that help computers learn stuff done by humans. This way we are achieving some results with superhuman precision. Now, as we all know, in order to understand the basics of Machine Learning, it's nice to have some knowledge in different areas of "Mathematics". Before you start reading these top 10 books before starting with Machine Learning, we want to show you two other related articles that you will find very helpful.


Black-box density function estimation using recursive partitioning

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We present a novel approach to Bayesian inference and general Bayesian computation that is defined through a recursive partitioning of the sample space. It does not rely on gradients, nor require any problem-specific tuning, and is asymptotically exact for any density function with a bounded domain. The output is an approximation to the whole density function including the normalization constant, via partitions organized in efficient data structures. This allows for evidence estimation, as well as approximate posteriors that allow for fast sampling and fast evaluations of the density. It shows competitive performance to recent state-of-the-art methods on synthetic and real-world problem examples including parameter inference for gravitational-wave physics.


Bayesian Probabilistic Numerical Integration with Tree-Based Models

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Bayesian quadrature (BQ) is a method for solving numerical integration problems in a Bayesian manner, which allows users to quantify their uncertainty about the solution. The standard approach to BQ is based on a Gaussian process (GP) approximation of the integrand. As a result, BQ is inherently limited to cases where GP approximations can be done in an efficient manner, thus often prohibiting very high-dimensional or non-smooth target functions. This paper proposes to tackle this issue with a new Bayesian numerical integration algorithm based on Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) priors, which we call BART-Int. BART priors are easy to tune and well-suited for discontinuous functions. We demonstrate that they also lend themselves naturally to a sequential design setting and that explicit convergence rates can be obtained in a variety of settings. The advantages and disadvantages of this new methodology are highlighted on a set of benchmark tests including the Genz functions, and on a Bayesian survey design problem.


Using a Binary Classification Model to Predict the Likelihood of Enrolment to the Undergraduate Program of a Philippine University

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

With the recent implementation of the K to 12 Program, academic institutions, specifically, Colleges and Universities in the Philippines have been faced with difficulties in determining projected freshmen enrollees vis-a-vis decision-making factors for efficient resource management. Enrollment targets directly impacts success factors of Higher Education Institutions. This study covered an analysis of various characteristics of freshmen applicants affecting their admission status in a Philippine university. A predictive model was developed using Logistic Regression to evaluate the probability that an admitted student will pursue to enroll in the Institution or not. The dataset used was acquired from the University Admissions Office. The office designed an online application form to capture applicants' details. The online form was distributed to all student applicants, and most often, students, tend to provide incomplete information. Despite this fact, student characteristics, as well as geographic and demographic data based on the students' location are significant predictors of enrollment decision. The results of the study show that given limited information about prospective students, Higher Education Institutions can implement machine learning techniques to supplement management decisions and provide estimates of class sizes, in this way, it will allow the institution to optimize the allocation of resources and will have better control over net tuition revenue.


A Novel Classification Approach for Credit Scoring based on Gaussian Mixture Models

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Credit scoring is a rapidly expanding analytical technique used by banks and other financial institutions. Academic studies on credit scoring provide a range of classification techniques used to differentiate between good and bad borrowers. The main contribution of this paper is to introduce a new method for credit scoring based on Gaussian Mixture Models. Our algorithm classifies consumers into groups which are labeled as positive or negative. Labels are estimated according to the probability associated with each class. We apply our model with real world databases from Australia, Japan, and Germany. Numerical results show that not only our model's performance is comparable to others, but also its flexibility avoids over-fitting even in the absence of standard cross validation techniques. The framework developed by this paper can provide a computationally efficient and powerful tool for assessment of consumer default risk in related financial institutions.


Stochastic Optimization with Laggard Data Pipelines

arXiv.org Machine Learning

State-of-the-art optimization is steadily shifting towards massively parallel pipelines with extremely large batch sizes. As a consequence, CPU-bound preprocessing and disk/memory/network operations have emerged as new performance bottlenecks, as opposed to hardware-accelerated gradient computations. In this regime, a recently proposed approach is data echoing (Choi et al., 2019), which takes repeated gradient steps on the same batch while waiting for fresh data to arrive from upstream. We provide the first convergence analyses of "data-echoed" extensions of common optimization methods, showing that they exhibit provable improvements over their synchronous counterparts. Specifically, we show that in convex optimization with stochastic minibatches, data echoing affords speedups on the curvature-dominated part of the convergence rate, while maintaining the optimal statistical rate.


Hogwild! over Distributed Local Data Sets with Linearly Increasing Mini-Batch Sizes

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Hogwild! implements asynchronous Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD) where multiple threads in parallel access a common repository containing training data, perform SGD iterations and update shared state that represents a jointly learned (global) model. We consider big data analysis where training data is distributed among local data sets -- and we wish to move SGD computations to local compute nodes where local data resides. The results of these local SGD computations are aggregated by a central "aggregator" which mimics Hogwild!. We show how local compute nodes can start choosing small mini-batch sizes which increase to larger ones in order to reduce communication cost (round interaction with the aggregator). We prove a tight and novel non-trivial convergence analysis for strongly convex problems which does not use the bounded gradient assumption as seen in many existing publications. The tightness is a consequence of our proofs for lower and upper bounds of the convergence rate, which show a constant factor difference. We show experimental results for plain convex and non-convex problems for biased and unbiased local data sets.


FaceLeaks: Inference Attacks against Transfer Learning Models via Black-box Queries

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Transfer learning is a useful machine learning framework that allows one to build task-specific models (student models) without significantly incurring training costs using a single powerful model (teacher model) pre-trained with a large amount of data. The teacher model may contain private data, or interact with private inputs. We investigate if one can leak or infer such private information without interacting with the teacher model directly. We describe such inference attacks in the context of face recognition, an application of transfer learning that is highly sensitive to personal privacy. Under black-box and realistic settings, we show that existing inference techniques are ineffective, as interacting with individual training instances through the student models does not reveal information about the teacher. We then propose novel strategies to infer from aggregate-level information. Consequently, membership inference attacks on the teacher model are shown to be possible, even when the adversary has access only to the student models. We further demonstrate that sensitive attributes can be inferred, even in the case where the adversary has limited auxiliary information. Finally, defensive strategies are discussed and evaluated. Our extensive study indicates that information leakage is a real privacy threat to the transfer learning framework widely used in real-life situations.


A Homotopic Method to Solve the Lasso Problems with an Improved Upper Bound of Convergence Rate

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In optimization, it is known that when the objective functions are strictly convex and well-conditioned, gradient based approaches can be extremely effective, e.g., achieving the exponential rate in convergence. On the other hand, the existing Lasso-type of estimator in general cannot achieve the optimal rate due to the undesirable behavior of the absolute function at the origin. A homotopic method is to use a sequence of surrogate functions to approximate the $\ell_1$ penalty that is used in the Lasso-type of estimators. The surrogate functions will converge to the $\ell_1$ penalty in the Lasso estimator. At the same time, each surrogate function is strictly convex, which enables provable faster numerical rate of convergence. In this paper, we demonstrate that by meticulously defining the surrogate functions, one can prove faster numerical convergence rate than any existing methods in computing for the Lasso-type of estimators. Namely, the state-of-the-art algorithms can only guarantee $O(1/\epsilon)$ or $O(1/\sqrt{\epsilon})$ convergence rates, while we can prove an $O([\log(1/\epsilon)]^2)$ for the newly proposed algorithm. Our numerical simulations show that the new algorithm also performs better empirically.