Statistical Learning
Understanding peacefulness through the world news
Voukelatou, Vasiliki, Miliou, Ioanna, Giannotti, Fosca, Pappalardo, Luca
Peacefulness is a principal dimension of well-being for all humankind and is the way out of inequity and every single form of violence. Thus, its measurement has lately drawn the attention of researchers and policy-makers. During the last years, novel digital data streams have drastically changed the research in this field. In the current study, we exploit information extracted from Global Data on Events, Location, and Tone (GDELT) digital news database, to capture peacefulness through the Global Peace Index (GPI). Applying predictive machine learning models, we demonstrate that news media attention from GDELT can be used as a proxy for measuring GPI at a monthly level. Additionally, we use the SHAP methodology to obtain the most important variables that drive the predictions. This analysis highlights each country's profile and provides explanations for the predictions overall, and particularly for the errors and the events that drive these errors. We believe that digital data exploited by Social Good researchers, policy-makers, and peace-builders, with data science tools as powerful as machine learning, could contribute to maximize the societal benefits and minimize the risks to peacefulness.
Towards a Mathematical Theory of Abstraction
While the utility of well-chosen abstractions for understanding and predicting the behaviour of complex systems is well appreciated, precisely what an abstraction $\textit{is}$ has so far has largely eluded mathematical formalization. In this paper, we aim to set out a mathematical theory of abstraction. We provide a precise characterisation of what an abstraction is and, perhaps more importantly, suggest how abstractions can be learnt directly from data both for static datasets and for dynamical systems. We define an abstraction to be a small set of `summaries' of a system which can be used to answer a set of queries about the system or its behaviour. The difference between the ground truth behaviour of the system on the queries and the behaviour of the system predicted only by the abstraction provides a measure of the `leakiness' of the abstraction which can be used as a loss function to directly learn abstractions from data. Our approach can be considered a generalization of classical statistics where we are not interested in reconstructing `the data' in full, but are instead only concerned with answering a set of arbitrary queries about the data. While highly theoretical, our results have deep implications for statistical inference and machine learning and could be used to develop explicit methods for learning precise kinds of abstractions directly from data.
A Subspace-based Approach for Dimensionality Reduction and Important Variable Selection
Bo, Di, Hwangbo, Hoon, Sharma, Vinit, Arndt, Corey, TerMaath, Stephanie C.
An analysis of high dimensional data can offer a detailed description of a system but is often challenged by the curse of dimensionality. General dimensionality reduction techniques can alleviate such difficulty by extracting a few important features, but they are limited due to the lack of interpretability and connectivity to actual decision making associated with each physical variable. Important variable selection techniques, as an alternative, can maintain the interpretability, but they often involve a greedy search that is susceptible to failure in capturing important interactions. This research proposes a new method that produces subspaces, reduced-dimensional physical spaces, based on a randomized search and forms an ensemble of models for critical subspaces. When applied to high-dimensional data collected from a composite metal development process, the proposed method shows its superiority in prediction and important variable selection.
Fairness-Aware Unsupervised Feature Selection
Xing, Xiaoying, Liu, Hongfu, Chen, Chen, Li, Jundong
Feature selection is a prevalent data preprocessing paradigm for various learning tasks. Due to the expensive cost of acquiring supervision information, unsupervised feature selection sparks great interests recently. However, existing unsupervised feature selection algorithms do not have fairness considerations and suffer from a high risk of amplifying discrimination by selecting features that are over associated with protected attributes such as gender, race, and ethnicity. In this paper, we make an initial investigation of the fairness-aware unsupervised feature selection problem and develop a principled framework, which leverages kernel alignment to find a subset of high-quality features that can best preserve the information in the original feature space while being minimally correlated with protected attributes. Specifically, different from the mainstream in-processing debiasing methods, our proposed framework can be regarded as a model-agnostic debiasing strategy that eliminates biases and discrimination before downstream learning algorithms are involved. Experimental results on multiple real-world datasets demonstrate that our framework achieves a good trade-off between utility maximization and fairness promotion.
Multiplierless MP-Kernel Machine For Energy-efficient Edge Devices
Nair, Abhishek Ramdas, Nath, Pallab Kumar, Chakrabartty, Shantanu, Thakur, Chetan Singh
We present a novel framework for designing multiplierless kernel machines that can be used on resource-constrained platforms like intelligent edge devices. The framework uses a piecewise linear (PWL) approximation based on a margin propagation (MP) technique and uses only addition/subtraction, shift, comparison, and register underflow/overflow operations. We propose a hardware-friendly MP-based inference and online training algorithm that has been optimized for a Field Programmable Gate Array (FPGA) platform. Our FPGA implementation eliminates the need for DSP units and reduces the number of LUTs. By reusing the same hardware for inference and training, we show that the platform can overcome classification errors and local minima artifacts that result from the MP approximation. Using the FPGA platform, we also show that the proposed multiplierless MP-kernel machine demonstrates superior performance in terms of power, performance, and area compared to other comparable implementations.
Fuzzy Clustering with Similarity Queries
Huleihel, Wasim, Mazumdar, Arya, Pal, Soumyabrata
The fuzzy or soft $k$-means objective is a popular generalization of the well-known $k$-means problem, extending the clustering capability of the $k$-means to datasets that are uncertain, vague, and otherwise hard to cluster. In this paper, we propose a semi-supervised active clustering framework, where the learner is allowed to interact with an oracle (domain expert), asking for the similarity between a certain set of chosen items. We study the query and computational complexities of clustering in this framework. We prove that having a few of such similarity queries enables one to get a polynomial-time approximation algorithm to an otherwise conjecturally NP-hard problem. In particular, we provide probabilistic algorithms for fuzzy clustering in this setting that asks $O(\mathsf{poly}(k)\log n)$ similarity queries and run with polynomial-time-complexity, where $n$ is the number of items. The fuzzy $k$-means objective is nonconvex, with $k$-means as a special case, and is equivalent to some other generic nonconvex problem such as non-negative matrix factorization. The ubiquitous Lloyd-type algorithms (or, expectation-maximization algorithm) can get stuck at a local minima. Our results show that by making few similarity queries, the problem becomes easier to solve. Finally, we test our algorithms over real-world datasets, showing their effectiveness in real-world applications.
Linear regression with partially mismatched data: local search with theoretical guarantees
Linear regression is a fundamental modeling tool in statistics and related fields. In this paper, we study an important variant of linear regression in which the predictor-response pairs are partially mismatched. We use an optimization formulation to simultaneously learn the underlying regression coefficients and the permutation corresponding to the mismatches. The combinatorial structure of the problem leads to computational challenges. We propose and study a simple greedy local search algorithm for this optimization problem that enjoys strong theoretical guarantees and appealing computational performance. We prove that under a suitable scaling of the number of mismatched pairs compared to the number of samples and features, and certain assumptions on problem data; our local search algorithm converges to a nearly-optimal solution at a linear rate. In particular, in the noiseless case, our algorithm converges to the global optimal solution with a linear convergence rate. We also propose an approximate local search step that allows us to scale our approach to much larger instances. We conduct numerical experiments to gather further insights into our theoretical results and show promising performance gains compared to existing approaches.
Laplacian-Based Dimensionality Reduction Including Spectral Clustering, Laplacian Eigenmap, Locality Preserving Projection, Graph Embedding, and Diffusion Map: Tutorial and Survey
Ghojogh, Benyamin, Ghodsi, Ali, Karray, Fakhri, Crowley, Mark
This is a tutorial and survey paper for nonlinear dimensionality and feature extraction methods which are based on the Laplacian of graph of data. We first introduce adjacency matrix, definition of Laplacian matrix, and the interpretation of Laplacian. Then, we cover the cuts of graph and spectral clustering which applies clustering in a subspace of data. Different optimization variants of Laplacian eigenmap and its out-of-sample extension are explained. Thereafter, we introduce the locality preserving projection and its kernel variant as linear special cases of Laplacian eigenmap. Versions of graph embedding are then explained which are generalized versions of Laplacian eigenmap and locality preserving projection. Finally, diffusion map is introduced which is a method based on Laplacian of data and random walks on the data graph.
Neural Collapse Under MSE Loss: Proximity to and Dynamics on the Central Path
Han, X. Y., Papyan, Vardan, Donoho, David L.
Recent work [Papyan, Han, and Donoho, 2020] discovered a phenomenon called Neural Collapse (NC) that occurs pervasively in today's deep net training paradigm of driving cross-entropy loss towards zero. In this phenomenon, the last-layer features collapse to their class-means, both the classifiers and class-means collapse to the same Simplex Equiangular Tight Frame (ETF), and the behavior of the last-layer classifier converges to that of the nearest-class-mean decision rule. Since then, follow-ups-such as Mixon et al. [2020] and Poggio and Liao [2020a,b]-formally analyzed this inductive bias by replacing the hard-to-study cross-entropy by the more tractable mean squared error (MSE) loss. But, these works stopped short of demonstrating the empirical reality of MSE-NC on benchmark datasets and canonical networks-as had been done in Papyan, Han, and Donoho [2020] for the cross-entropy loss. In this work, we establish the empirical reality of MSE-NC by reporting experimental observations for three prototypical networks and five canonical datasets with code for reproducing NC. Following this, we develop three main contributions inspired by MSE-NC. Firstly, we show a new theoretical decomposition of the MSE loss into (A) a term assuming the last-layer classifier is exactly the least-squares or Webb and Lowe [1990] classifier and (B) a term capturing the deviation from this least-squares classifier. Secondly, we exhibit experiments on canonical datasets and networks demonstrating that, during training, term-(B) is negligible. This motivates a new theoretical construct: the central path, where the linear classifier stays MSE-optimal-for the given feature activations-throughout the dynamics. Finally, through our study of continually renormalized gradient flow along the central path, we produce closed-form dynamics that predict full Neural Collapse in an unconstrained features model.
LiMIIRL: Lightweight Multiple-Intent Inverse Reinforcement Learning
Snoswell, Aaron J., Singh, Surya P. N., Ye, Nan
Multiple-Intent Inverse Reinforcement Learning (MI-IRL) seeks to find a reward function ensemble to rationalize demonstrations of different but unlabelled intents. Within the popular expectation maximization (EM) framework for learning probabilistic MI-IRL models, we present a warm-start strategy based on up-front clustering of the demonstrations in feature space. Our theoretical analysis shows that this warm-start solution produces a near-optimal reward ensemble, provided the behavior modes satisfy mild separation conditions. We also propose a MI-IRL performance metric that generalizes the popular Expected Value Difference measure to directly assesses learned rewards against the ground-truth reward ensemble. Our metric elegantly addresses the difficulty of pairing up learned and ground truth rewards via a min-cost flow formulation, and is efficiently computable. We also develop a MI-IRL benchmark problem that allows for more comprehensive algorithmic evaluations. On this problem, we find our MI-IRL warm-start strategy helps avoid poor quality local minima reward ensembles, resulting in a significant improvement in behavior clustering. Our extensive sensitivity analysis demonstrates that the quality of the learned reward ensembles is improved under various settings, including cases where our theoretical assumptions do not necessarily hold. Finally, we demonstrate the effectiveness of our methods by discovering distinct driving styles in a large real-world dataset of driver GPS trajectories.