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 Statistical Learning


DNN-assisted Particle-based Bayesian Joint Synchronization and Localization

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this work, we propose a Deep neural network-assisted Particle Filter-based (DePF) approach to address the Mobile User (MU) joint synchronization and localization (sync\&loc) problem in ultra dense networks. In particular, DePF deploys an asymmetric time-stamp exchange mechanism between the MUs and the Access Points (APs), which, traditionally, provides us with information about the MUs' clock offset and skew. However, information about the distance between an AP and an MU is also intrinsic to the propagation delay experienced by exchanged time-stamps. In addition, to estimate the angle of arrival of the received synchronization packet, DePF draws on the multiple signal classification algorithm that is fed by Channel Impulse Response (CIR) experienced by the sync packets. The CIR is also leveraged on to determine the link condition, i.e. Line-of-Sight (LoS) or Non-LoS. Finally, to perform joint sync\&loc, DePF capitalizes on particle Gaussian mixtures that allow for a hybrid particle-based and parametric Bayesian Recursive Filtering (BRF) fusion of the aforementioned pieces of information and thus jointly estimate the position and clock parameters of the MUs. The simulation results verifies the superiority of the proposed algorithm over the state-of-the-art schemes, especially that of Extended Kalman filter- and linearized BRF-based joint sync\&loc. In particular, only drawing on the synchronization time-stamp exchange and CIRs, for 90$\%$of the cases, the absolute position and clock offset estimation error remain below 1 meter and 2 nanoseconds, respectively.


Automatic Estimation of Ulcerative Colitis Severity from Endoscopy Videos using Ordinal Multi-Instance Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Ulcerative colitis (UC) is a chronic inflammatory bowel disease characterized by relapsing inflammation of the large intestine. The severity of UC is often represented by the Mayo Endoscopic Subscore (MES) which quantifies mucosal disease activity from endoscopy videos. In clinical trials, an endoscopy video is assigned an MES based upon the most severe disease activity observed in the video. For this reason, severe inflammation spread throughout the colon will receive the same MES as an otherwise healthy colon with severe inflammation restricted to a small, localized segment. Therefore, the extent of disease activity throughout the large intestine, and overall response to treatment, may not be completely captured by the MES. In this work, we aim to automatically estimate UC severity for each frame in an endoscopy video to provide a higher resolution assessment of disease activity throughout the colon. Because annotating severity at the frame-level is expensive, labor-intensive, and highly subjective, we propose a novel weakly supervised, ordinal classification method to estimate frame severity from video MES labels alone. Using clinical trial data, we first achieved 0.92 and 0.90 AUC for predicting mucosal healing and remission of UC, respectively. Then, for severity estimation, we demonstrate that our models achieve substantial Cohen's Kappa agreement with ground truth MES labels, comparable to the inter-rater agreement of expert clinicians. These findings indicate that our framework could serve as a foundation for novel clinical endpoints, based on a more localized scoring system, to better evaluate UC drug efficacy in clinical trials.


Secure Multi-Party Computation based Privacy Preserving Data Analysis in Healthcare IoT Systems

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Recently, many innovations have been experienced in healthcare by rapidly growing Internet-of-Things (IoT) technology that provides significant developments and facilities in the health sector and improves daily human life. The IoT bridges people, information technology and speed up shopping. For these reasons, IoT technology has started to be used on a large scale. Thanks to the use of IoT technology in health services, chronic disease monitoring, health monitoring, rapid intervention, early diagnosis and treatment, etc. facilitates the delivery of health services. However, the data transferred to the digital environment pose a threat of privacy leakage. Unauthorized persons have used them, and there have been malicious attacks on the health and privacy of individuals. In this study, it is aimed to propose a model to handle the privacy problems based on federated learning. Besides, we apply secure multi party computation. Our proposed model presents an extensive privacy and data analysis and achieve high performance.


Large-scale Crash Localization using Multi-Task Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Crash localization, an important step in debugging crashes, is challenging when dealing with an extremely large number of diverse applications and platforms and underlying root causes. Large-scale error reporting systems, e.g., Windows Error Reporting (WER), commonly rely on manually developed rules and heuristics to localize blamed frames causing the crashes. As new applications and features are routinely introduced and existing applications are run under new environments, developing new rules and maintaining existing ones become extremely challenging. We propose a data-driven solution to address the problem. We start with the first large-scale empirical study of 362K crashes and their blamed methods reported to WER by tens of thousands of applications running in the field. The analysis provides valuable insights on where and how the crashes happen and what methods to blame for the crashes. These insights enable us to develop DeepAnalyze, a novel multi-task sequence labeling approach for identifying blamed frames in stack traces. We evaluate our model with over a million real-world crashes from four popular Microsoft applications and show that DeepAnalyze, trained with crashes from one set of applications, not only accurately localizes crashes of the same applications, but also bootstraps crash localization for other applications with zero to very little additional training data.


Improving Safety in Deep Reinforcement Learning using Unsupervised Action Planning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

One of the key challenges to deep reinforcement learning (deep RL) is to ensure safety at both training and testing phases. In this work, we propose a novel technique of unsupervised action planning to improve the safety of on-policy reinforcement learning algorithms, such as trust region policy optimization (TRPO) or proximal policy optimization (PPO). We design our safety-aware reinforcement learning by storing all the history of "recovery" actions that rescue the agent from dangerous situations into a separate "safety" buffer and finding the best recovery action when the agent encounters similar states. Because this functionality requires the algorithm to query similar states, we implement the proposed safety mechanism using an unsupervised learning algorithm, k-means clustering. We evaluate the proposed algorithm on six robotic control tasks that cover navigation and manipulation. Our results show that the proposed safety RL algorithm can achieve higher rewards compared with multiple baselines in both discrete and continuous control problems. The supplemental video can be found at: https://youtu.be/AFTeWSohILo.


Online Aggregation of Probability Forecasts with Confidence

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The paper presents numerical experiments and some theoretical developments in prediction with expert advice (PEA). One experiment deals with predicting electricity consumption depending on temperature and uses real data. As the pattern of dependence can change with season and time of the day, the domain naturally admits PEA formulation with experts having different ``areas of expertise''. We consider the case where several competing methods produce online predictions in the form of probability distribution functions. The dissimilarity between a probability forecast and an outcome is measured by a loss function (scoring rule). A popular example of scoring rule for continuous outcomes is Continuous Ranked Probability Score (CRPS). In this paper the problem of combining probabilistic forecasts is considered in the PEA framework. We show that CRPS is a mixable loss function and then the time-independent upper bound for the regret of the Vovk aggregating algorithm using CRPS as a loss function can be obtained. Also, we incorporate a ``smooth'' version of the method of specialized experts in this scheme which allows us to combine the probabilistic predictions of the specialized experts with overlapping domains of their competence.


Road Network Guided Fine-Grained Urban Traffic Flow Inference

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Accurate inference of fine-grained traffic flow from coarse-grained one is an emerging yet crucial problem, which can help greatly reduce the number of traffic monitoring sensors for cost savings. In this work, we notice that traffic flow has a high correlation with road network, which was either completely ignored or simply treated as an external factor in previous works. To facilitate this problem, we propose a novel Road-Aware Traffic Flow Magnifier (RATFM) that explicitly exploits the prior knowledge of road networks to fully learn the road-aware spatial distribution of fine-grained traffic flow. Specifically, a multi-directional 1D convolutional layer is first introduced to extract the semantic feature of the road network. Subsequently, we incorporate the road network feature and coarse-grained flow feature to regularize the short-range spatial distribution modeling of road-relative traffic flow. Furthermore, we take the road network feature as a query to capture the long-range spatial distribution of traffic flow with a transformer architecture. Benefiting from the road-aware inference mechanism, our method can generate high-quality fine-grained traffic flow maps. Extensive experiments on three real-world datasets show that the proposed RATFM outperforms state-of-the-art models under various scenarios.


Can phones, syllables, and words emerge as side-products of cross-situational audiovisual learning? -- A computational investigation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Decades of research has studied how language learning infants learn to discriminate speech sounds, segment words, and associate words with their meanings. While gradual development of such capabilities is unquestionable, the exact nature of these skills and the underlying mental representations yet remains unclear. In parallel, computational studies have shown that basic comprehension of speech can be achieved by statistical learning between speech and concurrent referentially ambiguous visual input. These models can operate without prior linguistic knowledge such as representations of linguistic units, and without learning mechanisms specifically targeted at such units. This has raised the question of to what extent knowledge of linguistic units, such as phone(me)s, syllables, and words, could actually emerge as latent representations supporting the translation between speech and representations in other modalities, and without the units being proximal learning targets for the learner. In this study, we formulate this idea as the so-called latent language hypothesis (LLH), connecting linguistic representation learning to general predictive processing within and across sensory modalities. We review the extent that the audiovisual aspect of LLH is supported by the existing computational studies. We then explore LLH further in extensive learning simulations with different neural network models for audiovisual cross-situational learning, and comparing learning from both synthetic and real speech data. We investigate whether the latent representations learned by the networks reflect phonetic, syllabic, or lexical structure of input speech by utilizing an array of complementary evaluation metrics related to linguistic selectivity and temporal characteristics of the representations. As a result, we find that representations associated...


A Generalized Hierarchical Nonnegative Tensor Decomposition

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Nonnegative matrix factorization (NMF) has found many applications including topic modeling and document analysis. Hierarchical NMF (HNMF) variants are able to learn topics at various levels of granularity and illustrate their hierarchical relationship. Recently, nonnegative tensor factorization (NTF) methods have been applied in a similar fashion in order to handle data sets with complex, multi-modal structure. Hierarchical NTF (HNTF) methods have been proposed, however these methods do not naturally generalize their matrix-based counterparts. Here, we propose a new HNTF model which directly generalizes a HNMF model special case, and provide a supervised extension. We also provide a multiplicative updates training method for this model. Our experimental results show that this model more naturally illuminates the topic hierarchy than previous HNMF and HNTF methods.


Kernel distance measures for time series, random fields and other structured data

arXiv.org Machine Learning

This paper introduces kdiff, a novel kernel-based measure for estimating distances between instances of time series, random fields and other forms of structured data. This measure is based on the idea of matching distributions that only overlap over a portion of their region of support. Our proposed measure is inspired by MPdist which has been previously proposed for such datasets and is constructed using Euclidean metrics, whereas kdiff is constructed using non-linear kernel distances. Also, kdiff accounts for both self and cross similarities across the instances and is defined using a lower quantile of the distance distribution. Comparing the cross similarity to self similarity allows for measures of similarity that are more robust to noise and partial occlusions of the relevant signals. Our proposed measure kdiff is a more general form of the well known kernel-based Maximum Mean Discrepancy (MMD) distance estimated over the embeddings. Some theoretical results are provided for separability conditions using kdiff as a distance measure for clustering and classification problems where the embedding distributions can be modeled as two component mixtures. Applications are demonstrated for clustering of synthetic and real-life time series and image data, and the performance of kdiff is compared to competing distance measures for clustering.