In analyzing complex datasets, it is often of interest to infer lower dimensional structure underlying the higher dimensional observations. As a flexible class of nonlinear structures, it is common to focus on Riemannian manifolds. Most existing manifold learning algorithms replace the original data with lower dimensional coordinates without providing an estimate of the manifold in the observation space or using the manifold to denoise the original data. This article proposes a new methodology for addressing these problems, allowing interpolation of the estimated manifold between fitted data points. The proposed approach is motivated by novel theoretical properties of local covariance matrices constructed from noisy samples on a manifold. Our results enable us to turn a global manifold reconstruction problem into a local regression problem, allowing application of Gaussian processes for probabilistic manifold reconstruction. In addition to theory justifying the algorithm, we provide simulated and real data examples to illustrate the performance.

Classification of large multivariate time series with strong class imbalance is an important task in real-world applications. Standard methods of class weights, oversampling, or parametric data augmentation do not always yield significant improvements for predicting minority classes of interest. Non-parametric data augmentation with Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) offers a promising solution. We propose Imputation Balanced GAN (IB-GAN), a novel method that joins data augmentation and classification in a one-step process via an imputation-balancing approach. IB-GAN uses imputation and resampling techniques to generate higher quality samples from randomly masked vectors than from white noise, and augments classification through a class-balanced set of real and synthetic samples. Imputation hyperparameter $p_{miss}$ allows for regularization of classifier variability by tuning innovations introduced via generator imputation. IB-GAN is simple to train and model-agnostic, pairing any deep learning classifier with a generator-discriminator duo and resulting in higher accuracy for under-observed classes. Empirical experiments on open-source UCR data and proprietary 90K product dataset show significant performance gains against state-of-the-art parametric and GAN baselines.

The distribution of data points is a key component in machine learning. In most cases, one uses min-max normalization to obtain nodes in $[0,1]$ or Z-score normalization for standard normal distributed data. In this paper, we apply transformation ideas in order to design a complete orthonormal system in the $\mathrm{L}_2$ space of functions with the standard normal distribution as integration weight. Subsequently, we are able to apply the explainable ANOVA approximation for this basis and use Z-score transformed data in the method. We demonstrate the applicability of this procedure on the well-known forest fires data set from the UCI machine learning repository. The attribute ranking obtained from the ANOVA approximation provides us with crucial information about which variables in the data set are the most important for the detection of fires.

In black-box optimization problems, we aim to maximize an unknown objective function, where the function is only accessible through feedbacks of an evaluation or simulation oracle. In real-life, the feedbacks of such oracles are often noisy and available after some unknown delay that may depend on the computation time of the oracle. Additionally, if the exact evaluations are expensive but coarse approximations are available at a lower cost, the feedbacks can have multi-fidelity. In order to address this problem, we propose a generic extension of hierarchical optimistic tree search (HOO), called ProCrastinated Tree Search (PCTS), that flexibly accommodates a delay and noise-tolerant bandit algorithm. We provide a generic proof technique to quantify regret of PCTS under delayed, noisy, and multi-fidelity feedbacks. Specifically, we derive regret bounds of PCTS enabled with delayed-UCB1 (DUCB1) and delayed-UCB-V (DUCBV) algorithms. Given a horizon $T$, PCTS retains the regret bound of non-delayed HOO for expected delay of $O(\log T)$ and worsens by $O(T^{\frac{1-\alpha}{d+2}})$ for expected delays of $O(T^{1-\alpha})$ for $\alpha \in (0,1]$. We experimentally validate on multiple synthetic functions and hyperparameter tuning problems that PCTS outperforms the state-of-the-art black-box optimization methods for feedbacks with different noise levels, delays, and fidelity.

We introduce Learn then Test, a framework for calibrating machine learning models so that their predictions satisfy explicit, finite-sample statistical guarantees regardless of the underlying model and (unknown) data-generating distribution. The framework addresses, among other examples, false discovery rate control in multi-label classification, intersection-over-union control in instance segmentation, and the simultaneous control of the type-1 error of outlier detection and confidence set coverage in classification or regression. To accomplish this, we solve a key technical challenge: the control of arbitrary risks that are not necessarily monotonic. Our main insight is to reframe the risk-control problem as multiple hypothesis testing, enabling techniques and mathematical arguments different from those in the previous literature. We use our framework to provide new calibration methods for several core machine learning tasks with detailed worked examples in computer vision.

This notebook aims at analyzing the content of a real E-Commerce database that lists purchases made by 25,500 customers over a period from November 2018 to April 2019. Based on this analysis, I develop a RFM model that allows to anticipate the purchases that will be made by a new customer, during the following year and this, from its first purchase. RFM (Recency Frequency Monetary) analysis or RFM segmentation is an effective marketing technique to identify your best customers. Instead of reaching out to 100% of your audience, target only specific customer segments that can prove beneficial for your business in future. Deduct most recent purchase date from today to calculate the recency value.

Pyspark is an Apache Spark which is an open-source cluster-computing framework for large-scale data processing written in Scala.

This course is a lead-in to deep learning and neural networks - it covers a popular and fundamental technique used in machine learning, data science and statistics: logistic regression. We cover the theory from the ground up: derivation of the solution, and applications to real-world problems. We show you how one might code their own logistic regression module in Python. This course does not require any external materials. Everything needed (Python, and some Python libraries) can be obtained for free.

Auto dataset available in R, ISLR package was used for this analysis. Purpose of ML model Predict the car mileage per gallon based on features like weight and year of manufacture. KNN (K-Nearest Neighbor) regression model is being used. Process for Creating ML Model - Divide dataset into train and test sets, 65% and 35% approximately. This resulted in a MSE of 15.25 - Applied KNN regression for 50 k-values and computed mean squared error.

Python is one of the fastest-growing platforms for applied machine learning. In this mini-course, you will discover how you can get started, build accurate models and confidently complete predictive modeling machine learning projects using Python in 14 days. This is a big and important post. You might want to bookmark it. Python Machine Learning Mini-Course Photo by Dave Young, some rights reserved.