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 Statistical Learning


Modeling Users' Behavior Sequences with Hierarchical Explainable Network for Cross-domain Fraud Detection

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

With the explosive growth of the e-commerce industry, detecting online transaction fraud in real-world applications has become increasingly important to the development of e-commerce platforms. The sequential behavior history of users provides useful information in differentiating fraudulent payments from regular ones. Recently, some approaches have been proposed to solve this sequence-based fraud detection problem. However, these methods usually suffer from two problems: the prediction results are difficult to explain and the exploitation of the internal information of behaviors is insufficient. To tackle the above two problems, we propose a Hierarchical Explainable Network (HEN) to model users' behavior sequences, which could not only improve the performance of fraud detection but also make the inference process interpretable. Meanwhile, as e-commerce business expands to new domains, e.g., new countries or new markets, one major problem for modeling user behavior in fraud detection systems is the limitation of data collection, e.g., very few data/labels available. Thus, in this paper, we further propose a transfer framework to tackle the cross-domain fraud detection problem, which aims to transfer knowledge from existing domains (source domains) with enough and mature data to improve the performance in the new domain (target domain). Our proposed method is a general transfer framework that could not only be applied upon HEN but also various existing models in the Embedding & MLP paradigm. Based on 90 transfer task experiments, we also demonstrate that our transfer framework could not only contribute to the cross-domain fraud detection task with HEN, but also be universal and expandable for various existing models.


Multi-Representation Adaptation Network for Cross-domain Image Classification

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In image classification, it is often expensive and time-consuming to acquire sufficient labels. To solve this problem, domain adaptation often provides an attractive option given a large amount of labeled data from a similar nature but different domain. Existing approaches mainly align the distributions of representations extracted by a single structure and the representations may only contain partial information, e.g., only contain part of the saturation, brightness, and hue information. Along this line, we propose Multi-Representation Adaptation which can dramatically improve the classification accuracy for cross-domain image classification and specially aims to align the distributions of multiple representations extracted by a hybrid structure named Inception Adaptation Module (IAM). Based on this, we present Multi-Representation Adaptation Network (MRAN) to accomplish the cross-domain image classification task via multi-representation alignment which can capture the information from different aspects. In addition, we extend Maximum Mean Discrepancy (MMD) to compute the adaptation loss. Our approach can be easily implemented by extending most feed-forward models with IAM, and the network can be trained efficiently via back-propagation. Experiments conducted on three benchmark image datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of MRAN. The code has been available at https://github.com/easezyc/deep-transfer-learning.


Stop Learning Data Science to Find Purpose and Find Purpose to Learn Data Science - KDnuggets

#artificialintelligence

Data scientists are in demand, there are no two ways about it. The jobs pay well, there are plenty of openings available, and the industry only appears to be growing in this post-pandemic digital world. It should come as no surprise then that data science students are also a growing sector of the world labor force. But learning data science is not easy. I remember my own experience trying to go from a data-savvy academic researcher to an industry data science professional.


Credit Card Fraud Detection

#artificialintelligence

Using a dataset provided from Kaggle, I have applied three machine learning classification models (KNN, LDA and Logistic Regression) to detect credit card fraud. Other than the transaction amount and time, the original features and background information cannot be provided with the dataset due to confidentiality issues, as indicated by Kaggle. The features (excluding Time and Amount) in the dataset hence have already been transformed with principle component analysis. After reading the data into a pandas data frame, I have checked for the presence of any null or NaN values in the data. Then, I checked for the percentage of fraud and non-fraud cases in the dataset.


Application of Machine Learning Methods in Inferring Surface Water Groundwater Exchanges using High Temporal Resolution Temperature Measurements

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We examine the ability of machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) algorithms to infer surface/ground exchange flux based on subsurface temperature observations. The observations and fluxes are produced from a high-resolution numerical model representing conditions in the Columbia River near the Department of Energy Hanford site located in southeastern Washington State. Random measurement error, of varying magnitude, is added to the synthetic temperature observations. The results indicate that both ML and DL methods can be used to infer the surface/ground exchange flux. DL methods, especially convolutional neural networks, outperform the ML methods when used to interpret noisy temperature data with a smoothing filter applied. However, the ML methods also performed well and they are can better identify a reduced number of important observations, which could be useful for measurement network optimization. Surprisingly, the ML and DL methods better inferred upward flux than downward flux. This is in direct contrast to previous findings using numerical models to infer flux from temperature observations and it may suggest that combined use of ML or DL inference with numerical inference could improve flux estimation beneath river systems.


Class-Incremental Continual Learning into the eXtended DER-verse

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The staple of human intelligence is the capability of acquiring knowledge in a continuous fashion. In stark contrast, Deep Networks forget catastrophically and, for this reason, the sub-field of Class-Incremental Continual Learning fosters methods that learn a sequence of tasks incrementally, blending sequentially-gained knowledge into a comprehensive prediction. This work aims at assessing and overcoming the pitfalls of our previous proposal Dark Experience Replay (DER), a simple and effective approach that combines rehearsal and Knowledge Distillation. Inspired by the way our minds constantly rewrite past recollections and set expectations for the future, we endow our model with the abilities to i) revise its replay memory to welcome novel information regarding past data ii) pave the way for learning yet unseen classes. We show that the application of these strategies leads to remarkable improvements; indeed, the resulting method - termed eXtended-DER (X-DER) - outperforms the state of the art on both standard benchmarks (such as CIFAR-100 and miniImagenet) and a novel one here introduced. To gain a better understanding, we further provide extensive ablation studies that corroborate and extend the findings of our previous research (e.g. the value of Knowledge Distillation and flatter minima in continual learning setups).


Scalable semi-supervised dimensionality reduction with GPU-accelerated EmbedSOM

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Abstract: Dimensionality reduction methods have found vast application as visualization tools in diverse areas of science. Although many different methods exist, their performance is often insufficient for providing quick insight into many contemporary datasets, and the unsupervised mode of use prevents the users from utilizing the methods for dataset exploration and finetuning the details for improved visualization quality. BlosSOM builds on a GPUaccelerated implementation of the EmbedSOM algorithm, complemented by several landmarkbased algorithms for interfacing the unsupervised model learning algorithms with the user supervision. We show the application of BlosSOM on realistic datasets, where it helps to produce high-quality visualizations that incorporate user-specified layout and focus on certain features. We believe the semi-supervised dimensionality reduction will improve the data visualization possibilities for science areas such as single-cell cytometry, and provide a fast and efficient base methodology for new directions in dataset exploration and annotation. Dimensionality reduction algorithms emerged as indispensable utilities that enable various forms of intuitive data visualization, providing insight that in turn simplifies rigorous data analysis. Various algorithms have been proposed for graphs and high-dimensional point-cloud data, and many different types of datasets that can be represented with a graph structure or embedded into vector spaces. Performance of the non-linear dimensionality reduction algorithms becomes a concern if the analysis pipeline is required to scale or when the results are required in a limited amount of time such as in clinical settings. The most popular methods, typically based on neighborhood embedding computed by stochastic descent, force-based layouting or neural autoencoders, reach applicability limits when the dataset size is too large. To tackle the limitations, we have previously developed EmbedSOM [15], a dimensionality reduction and visualization algorithm based on self-organizing maps (SOMs) [13]. EmbedSOM provided an order-of-magnitude speedup on datasets typical for the single-cell cytometry data visualization while retaining competitive quality of the results. The concept has proven useful for interactive and high-performance workflows in cytometry [16, 14], and easily applies to many other types of datasets.


Cluster Stability Selection

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Stability selection (Meinshausen and Buhlmann, 2010) makes any feature selection method more stable by returning only those features that are consistently selected across many subsamples. We prove (in what is, to our knowledge, the first result of its kind) that for data containing highly correlated proxies for an important latent variable, the lasso typically selects one proxy, yet stability selection with the lasso can fail to select any proxy, leading to worse predictive performance than the lasso alone. We introduce cluster stability selection, which exploits the practitioner's knowledge that highly correlated clusters exist in the data, resulting in better feature rankings than stability selection in this setting. We consider several feature-combination approaches, including taking a weighted average of the features in each important cluster where weights are determined by the frequency with which cluster members are selected, which we show leads to better predictive models than previous proposals. We present generalizations of theoretical guarantees from Meinshausen and Buhlmann (2010) and Shah and Samworth (2012) to show that cluster stability selection retains the same guarantees. In summary, cluster stability selection enjoys the best of both worlds, yielding a sparse selected set that is both stable and has good predictive performance.


Non Asymptotic Bounds for Optimization via Online Multiplicative Stochastic Gradient Descent

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The gradient noise of Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD) is considered to play a key role in its properties (e.g. escaping low potential points and regularization). Past research has indicated that the covariance of the SGD error done via minibatching plays a critical role in determining its regularization and escape from low potential points. It is however not much explored how much the distribution of the error influences the behavior of the algorithm. Motivated by some new research in this area, we prove universality results by showing that noise classes that have the same mean and covariance structure of SGD via minibatching have similar properties. We mainly consider the Multiplicative Stochastic Gradient Descent (M-SGD) algorithm as introduced by Wu et al., which has a much more general noise class than the SGD algorithm done via minibatching. We establish nonasymptotic bounds for the M-SGD algorithm mainly with respect to the Stochastic Differential Equation corresponding to SGD via minibatching. We also show that the M-SGD error is approximately a scaled Gaussian distribution with mean $0$ at any fixed point of the M-SGD algorithm. We also establish bounds for the convergence of the M-SGD algorithm in the strongly convex regime.


Modeling Human Driver Interactions Using an Infinite Policy Space Through Gaussian Processes

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper proposes a method for modeling human driver interactions that relies on multi-output gaussian processes. The proposed method is developed as a refinement of the game theoretical hierarchical reasoning approach called "level-k reasoning" which conventionally assigns discrete levels of behaviors to agents. Although it is shown to be an effective modeling tool, the level-k reasoning approach may pose undesired constraints for predicting human decision making due to a limited number (usually 2 or 3) of driver policies it extracts. The proposed approach is put forward to fill this gap in the literature by introducing a continuous domain framework that enables an infinite policy space. By using the approach presented in this paper, more accurate driver models can be obtained, which can then be employed for creating high fidelity simulation platforms for the validation of autonomous vehicle control algorithms. The proposed method is validated on a real traffic dataset and compared with the conventional level-k approach to demonstrate its contributions and implications.