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 Statistical Learning


Modelling spatiotemporal turbulent dynamics with the convolutional autoencoder echo state network

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The spatiotemporal dynamics of turbulent flows is chaotic and difficult to predict. This makes the design of accurate and stable reduced-order models challenging. The overarching objective of this paper is to propose a nonlinear decomposition of the turbulent state for a reduced-order representation of the dynamics. We divide the turbulent flow into a spatial problem and a temporal problem. First, we compute the latent space, which is the manifold onto which the turbulent dynamics live (i.e., it is a numerical approximation of the turbulent attractor). The latent space is found by a series of nonlinear filtering operations, which are performed by a convolutional autoencoder (CAE). The CAE provides the decomposition in space. Second, we predict the time evolution of the turbulent state in the latent space, which is performed by an echo state network (ESN). The ESN provides the decomposition in time. Third, by assembling the CAE and the ESN, we obtain an autonomous dynamical system: the convolutional autoncoder echo state network (CAE-ESN). This is the reduced-order model of the turbulent flow. We test the CAE-ESN on a two-dimensional flow. We show that, after training, the CAE-ESN (i) finds a latent-space representation of the turbulent flow that has less than 1% of the degrees of freedom than the physical space; (ii) time-accurately and statistically predicts the flow in both quasiperiodic and turbulent regimes; (iii) is robust for different flow regimes (Reynolds numbers); and (iv) takes less than 1% of computational time to predict the turbulent flow than solving the governing equations. This work opens up new possibilities for nonlinear decompositions and reduced-order modelling of turbulent flows from data.


RegTraffic: A Regression Based Traffic Simulator for Spatiotemporal Traffic Modeling, Simulation and Visualization

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Traffic simulation is a great tool to demonstrate complex traffic structures which can be extremely useful for the planning, development, and management of road traffic networks. Current traffic simulators offer limited features when it comes to interactive and adaptive traffic modeling. This paper presents RegTraffic, a novel interactive traffic simulator that integrates dynamic regression-based spatiotemporal traffic analysis to predict congestion of intercorrelated road segments. The simulator models traffic congestion of road segments depending on neighboring road links and temporal features of the dynamic traffic flow. The simulator provides a user-friendly web interface to select road segments of interest, receive user-defined traffic parameters, and visualize the traffic for the flow of correlated road links based on the user inputs and the underlying correlation of these road links. Performance evaluation shows that RegTraffic can effectively predict traffic congestion with a Mean Squared Error of 1.3 Km/h and a Root Mean Squared Error of 1.71 Km/h. RegTraffic can effectively simulate the results and provide visualization on interactive geographical maps.


Power Spectral Density-Based Resting-State EEG Classification of First-Episode Psychosis

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Historically, the analysis of stimulus-dependent time-frequency patterns has been the cornerstone of most electroencephalography (EEG) studies. The abnormal oscillations in high-frequency waves associated with psychotic disorders during sensory and cognitive tasks have been studied many times. However, any significant dissimilarity in the resting-state low-frequency bands is yet to be established. Spectral analysis of the alpha and delta band waves shows the effectiveness of stimulus-independent EEG in identifying the abnormal activity patterns of pathological brains. A generalized model incorporating multiple frequency bands should be more efficient in associating potential EEG biomarkers with First-Episode Psychosis (FEP), leading to an accurate diagnosis. We explore multiple machine-learning methods, including random-forest, support vector machine, and Gaussian Process Classifier (GPC), to demonstrate the practicality of resting-state Power Spectral Density (PSD) to distinguish patients of FEP from healthy controls. A comprehensive discussion of our preprocessing methods for PSD analysis and a detailed comparison of different models are included in this paper. The GPC model outperforms the other models with a specificity of 95.78% to show that PSD can be used as an effective feature extraction technique for analyzing and classifying resting-state EEG signals of psychiatric disorders.


Fairness Increases Adversarial Vulnerability

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The remarkable performance of deep learning models and their applications in consequential domains (e.g., facial recognition) introduces important challenges at the intersection of equity and security. Fairness and robustness are two desired notions often required in learning models. Fairness ensures that models do not disproportionately harm (or benefit) some groups over others, while robustness measures the models' resilience against small input perturbations. This paper shows the existence of a dichotomy between fairness and robustness, and analyzes when achieving fairness decreases the model robustness to adversarial samples. The reported analysis sheds light on the factors causing such contrasting behavior, suggesting that distance to the decision boundary across groups as a key explainer for this behavior. Extensive experiments on non-linear models and different architectures validate the theoretical findings in multiple vision domains. Finally, the paper proposes a simple, yet effective, solution to construct models achieving good tradeoffs between fairness and robustness.


A Novel Center-based Deep Contrastive Metric Learning Method for the Detection of Polymicrogyria in Pediatric Brain MRI

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Polymicrogyria (PMG) is a disorder of cortical organization mainly seen in children, which can be associated with seizures, developmental delay and motor weakness. PMG is typically diagnosed on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) but some cases can be challenging to detect even for experienced radiologists. In this study, we create an open pediatric MRI dataset (PPMR) with PMG and controls from the Children's Hospital of Eastern Ontario (CHEO), Ottawa, Canada. The differences between PMG MRIs and control MRIs are subtle and the true distribution of the features of the disease is unknown. This makes automatic detection of cases of potential PMG in MRI difficult. We propose an anomaly detection method based on a novel center-based deep contrastive metric learning loss function (cDCM) which enables the automatic detection of cases of potential PMG. Additionally, based on our proposed loss function, we customize a deep learning model structure that integrates dilated convolution, squeeze-and-excitation blocks and feature fusion for our PPMR dataset. Despite working with a small and imbalanced dataset our method achieves 92.01% recall at 55.04% precision. This will facilitate a computer aided tool for radiologists to select potential PMG MRIs. To the best of our knowledge, this research is the first to apply machine learning techniques to identify PMG from MRI only.


Evaluating COVID-19 Sequence Data Using Nearest-Neighbors Based Network Model

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus is the cause of the COVID-19 disease in humans. Like many coronaviruses, it can adapt to different hosts and evolve into different lineages. It is well-known that the major SARS-CoV-2 lineages are characterized by mutations that happen predominantly in the spike protein. Understanding the spike protein structure and how it can be perturbed is vital for understanding and determining if a lineage is of concern. These are crucial to identifying and controlling current outbreaks and preventing future pandemics. Machine learning (ML) methods are a viable solution to this effort, given the volume of available sequencing data, much of which is unaligned or even unassembled. However, such ML methods require fixed-length numerical feature vectors in Euclidean space to be applicable. Similarly, euclidean space is not considered the best choice when working with the classification and clustering tasks for biological sequences. For this purpose, we design a method that converts the protein (spike) sequences into the sequence similarity network (SSN). We can then use SSN as an input for the classical algorithms from the graph mining domain for the typical tasks such as classification and clustering to understand the data. We show that the proposed alignment-free method is able to outperform the current SOTA method in terms of clustering results. Similarly, we are able to achieve higher classification accuracy using well-known Node2Vec-based embedding compared to other baseline embedding approaches.


Transfer Learning for Contextual Multi-armed Bandits

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Motivated by a range of applications, we study in this paper the problem of transfer learning for nonparametric contextual multi-armed bandits under the covariate shift model, where we have data collected on source bandits before the start of the target bandit learning. The minimax rate of convergence for the cumulative regret is established and a novel transfer learning algorithm that attains the minimax regret is proposed. The results quantify the contribution of the data from the source domains for learning in the target domain in the context of nonparametric contextual multi-armed bandits. In view of the general impossibility of adaptation to unknown smoothness, we develop a data-driven algorithm that achieves near-optimal statistical guarantees (up to a logarithmic factor) while automatically adapting to the unknown parameters over a large collection of parameter spaces under an additional self-similarity assumption. A simulation study is carried out to illustrate the benefits of utilizing the data from the auxiliary source domains for learning in the target domain.


Reinforcement Causal Structure Learning on Order Graph

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Learning directed acyclic graph (DAG) that describes the causality of observed data is a very challenging but important task. Due to the limited quantity and quality of observed data, and non-identifiability of causal graph, it is almost impossible to infer a single precise DAG. Some methods approximate the posterior distribution of DAGs to explore the DAG space via Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), but the DAG space is over the nature of super-exponential growth, accurately characterizing the whole distribution over DAGs is very intractable. In this paper, we propose {Reinforcement Causal Structure Learning on Order Graph} (RCL-OG) that uses order graph instead of MCMC to model different DAG topological orderings and to reduce the problem size. RCL-OG first defines reinforcement learning with a new reward mechanism to approximate the posterior distribution of orderings in an efficacy way, and uses deep Q-learning to update and transfer rewards between nodes. Next, it obtains the probability transition model of nodes on order graph, and computes the posterior probability of different orderings. In this way, we can sample on this model to obtain the ordering with high probability. Experiments on synthetic and benchmark datasets show that RCL-OG provides accurate posterior probability approximation and achieves better results than competitive causal discovery algorithms.


Scalable and Effective Conductance-based Graph Clustering

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Conductance-based graph clustering has been recognized as a fundamental operator in numerous graph analysis applications. Despite the significant success of conductance-based graph clustering, existing algorithms are either hard to obtain satisfactory clustering qualities, or have high time and space complexity to achieve provable clustering qualities. To overcome these limitations, we devise a powerful \textit{peeling}-based graph clustering framework \textit{PCon}. We show that many existing solutions can be reduced to our framework. Namely, they first define a score function for each vertex, then iteratively remove the vertex with the smallest score. Finally, they output the result with the smallest conductance during the peeling process. Based on our framework, we propose two novel algorithms \textit{PCon\_core} and \emph{PCon\_de} with linear time and space complexity, which can efficiently and effectively identify clusters from massive graphs with more than a few billion edges. Surprisingly, we prove that \emph{PCon\_de} can identify clusters with near-constant approximation ratio, resulting in an important theoretical improvement over the well-known quadratic Cheeger bound. Empirical results on real-life and synthetic datasets show that our algorithms can achieve 5$\sim$42 times speedup with a high clustering accuracy, while using 1.4$\sim$7.8 times less memory than the baseline algorithms.


Adaptive Prototypical Networks

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Supervised Learning with deep networks, although performs very well in domains with large amounts of data, it performs rather poorly in domains where the data distribution is scarce or has a long tail. With the aim of few-shot learning, this issue is mitigated quite convincingly by meta-learning algorithms. One such meta-learning algorithm is Prototypical networks Snell et al. [2017]. The working of Prototypical networks, like other metric-based meta-learning algorithms, is based on learning an embedding function or an embedding space such that a non-parametric learner can easily classify the images in the learned embedding space. In particular, prototypical networks learn an embedding function with euclidean distance as a similarity metric between the query embedding and the class prototype, which is the mean vector of the support set embeddings. This results in similar-looking images getting embedded close to each other in the embedding space and forming clusters. However, along with clustering of similar-looking images, it is more or less equally desirable to have separation of embeddings based on the distinct class labels when it comes to the task of classification. In prototypical networks, each image in a task is embedded independently, and hence there is no information shared between the embeddings regarding the similarity of classes. Thus, in the presence of similar classes or classes with similar features (for, e.g. the English alphabet'p' and Greek alphabet 'ρ') in a particular task, the embeddings from the similar classes lie very close