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 Statistical Learning


Boosting Synthetic Data Generation with Effective Nonlinear Causal Discovery

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Synthetic data generation has been widely adopted in software testing, data privacy, imbalanced learning, and artificial intelligence explanation. In all such contexts, it is crucial to generate plausible data samples. A common assumption of approaches widely used for data generation is the independence of the features. However, typically, the variables of a dataset depend on one another, and these dependencies are not considered in data generation leading to the creation of implausible records. The main problem is that dependencies among variables are typically unknown. In this paper, we design a synthetic dataset generator for tabular data that can discover nonlinear causalities among the variables and use them at generation time. State-of-the-art methods for nonlinear causal discovery are typically inefficient. We boost them by restricting the causal discovery among the features appearing in the frequent patterns efficiently retrieved by a pattern mining algorithm. We design a framework for generating synthetic datasets with known causalities to validate our proposal. Broad experimentation on many synthetic and real datasets with known causalities shows the effectiveness of the proposed method.


Consistent Non-Parametric Methods for Maximizing Robustness

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Learning classifiers that are robust to adversarial examples has received a great deal of recent attention. A major drawback of the standard robust learning framework is there is an artificial robustness radius $r$ that applies to all inputs. This ignores the fact that data may be highly heterogeneous, in which case it is plausible that robustness regions should be larger in some regions of data, and smaller in others. In this paper, we address this limitation by proposing a new limit classifier, called the neighborhood optimal classifier, that extends the Bayes optimal classifier outside its support by using the label of the closest in-support point. We then argue that this classifier maximizes the size of its robustness regions subject to the constraint of having accuracy equal to the Bayes optimal. We then present sufficient conditions under which general non-parametric methods that can be represented as weight functions converge towards this limit, and show that both nearest neighbors and kernel classifiers satisfy them under certain conditions.


Temporal Motifs for Financial Networks: A Study on Mercari, JPMC, and Venmo Platforms

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Understanding the dynamics of financial transactions among people is critically important for various applications such as fraud detection. One important aspect of financial transaction networks is temporality. The order and repetition of transactions can offer new insights when considered within the graph structure. Temporal motifs, defined as a set of nodes that interact with each other in a short time period, are a promising tool in this context. In this work, we study three unique temporal financial networks: transactions in Mercari, an online marketplace, payments in a synthetic network generated by J.P. Morgan Chase, and payments and friendships among Venmo users. We consider the fraud detection problem on the Mercari and J.P. Morgan Chase networks, for which the ground truth is available. We show that temporal motifs offer superior performance than a previous method that considers simple graph features. For the Venmo network, we investigate the interplay between financial and social relations on three tasks: friendship prediction, vendor identification, and analysis of temporal cycles. For friendship prediction, temporal motifs yield better results than general heuristics, such as Jaccard and Adamic-Adar measures. We are also able to identify vendors with high accuracy and observe interesting patterns in rare motifs, like temporal cycles. We believe that the analysis, datasets, and lessons from this work will be beneficial for future research on financial transaction networks.


Learning Task-Oriented Communication for Edge Inference: An Information Bottleneck Approach

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper investigates task-oriented communication for edge inference, where a low-end edge device transmits the extracted feature vector of a local data sample to a powerful edge server for processing. It is critical to encode the data into an informative and compact representation for low-latency inference given the limited bandwidth. We propose a learning-based communication scheme that jointly optimizes feature extraction, source coding, and channel coding in a task-oriented manner, i.e., targeting the downstream inference task rather than data reconstruction. Specifically, we leverage an information bottleneck (IB) framework to formalize a rate-distortion tradeoff between the informativeness of the encoded feature and the inference performance. As the IB optimization is computationally prohibitive for the high-dimensional data, we adopt a variational approximation, namely the variational information bottleneck (VIB), to build a tractable upper bound. To reduce the communication overhead, we leverage a sparsity-inducing distribution as the variational prior for the VIB framework to sparsify the encoded feature vector. Furthermore, considering dynamic channel conditions in practical communication systems, we propose a variable-length feature encoding scheme based on dynamic neural networks to adaptively adjust the activated dimensions of the encoded feature to different channel conditions. Extensive experiments evidence that the proposed task-oriented communication system achieves a better rate-distortion tradeoff than baseline methods and significantly reduces the feature transmission latency in dynamic channel conditions.


Threats, Vulnerabilities, and Controls of Machine Learning Based Systems: A Survey and Taxonomy

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this article, we propose the Artificial Intelligence Security Taxonomy to systematize the knowledge of threats, vulnerabilities, and security controls of machine-learning-based (ML-based) systems. We first classify the damage caused by attacks against ML-based systems, define ML-specific security, and discuss its characteristics. Next, we enumerate all relevant assets and stakeholders and provide a general taxonomy for ML-specific threats. Then, we collect a wide range of security controls against ML-specific threats through an extensive review of recent literature. Finally, we classify the vulnerabilities and controls of an ML-based system in terms of each vulnerable asset in the system's entire lifecycle.


Prediction of Red Wine Quality Using One-dimensional Convolutional Neural Networks

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

As an alcoholic beverage, wine has remained prevalent for thousands of years, and the quality assessment of wines has been significant in wine production and trade. Scholars have proposed various deep learning and machine learning algorithms for wine quality prediction, such as Support vector machine (SVM), Random Forest (RF), K-nearest neighbors (KNN), Deep neural network (DNN), and Logistic regression (LR). However, these methods ignore the inner relationship between the physical and chemical properties of the wine, for example, the correlations between pH values, fixed acidity, citric acid, and so on. To fill the gap, this paper conducts the Pearson correlation analysis, PCA analysis, and Shapiro-Wilk test on those properties and incorporates 1D-CNN architecture to capture the correlations among neighboring features. In addition, it implemented dropout and batch normalization techniques to improve the robustness of the proposed model. Massive experiments have shown that our method can outperform baseline approaches in wine quality prediction. Moreover, ablation experiments also demonstrate the effectiveness of incorporating the 1-D CNN module, Dropout, and normalization techniques.


Discrete Latent Structure in Neural Networks

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Many types of data from fields including natural language processing, computer vision, and bioinformatics, are well represented by discrete, compositional structures such as trees, sequences, or matchings. Latent structure models are a powerful tool for learning to extract such representations, offering a way to incorporate structural bias, discover insight about the data, and interpret decisions. However, effective training is challenging, as neural networks are typically designed for continuous computation. This text explores three broad strategies for learning with discrete latent structure: continuous relaxation, surrogate gradients, and probabilistic estimation. Our presentation relies on consistent notations for a wide range of models. As such, we reveal many new connections between latent structure learning strategies, showing how most consist of the same small set of fundamental building blocks, but use them differently, leading to substantially different applicability and properties.


Tighter Regret Analysis and Optimization of Online Federated Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In federated learning (FL), it is commonly assumed that all data are placed at clients in the beginning of machine learning (ML) optimization (i.e., offline learning). However, in many real-world applications, it is expected to proceed in an online fashion. To this end, online FL (OFL) has been introduced, which aims at learning a sequence of global models from decentralized streaming data such that the so-called cumulative regret is minimized. Combining online gradient descent and model averaging, in this framework, FedOGD is constructed as the counterpart of FedSGD in FL. While it can enjoy an optimal sublinear regret, FedOGD suffers from heavy communication costs. In this paper, we present a communication-efficient method (named OFedIQ) by means of intermittent transmission (enabled by client subsampling and periodic transmission) and quantization. For the first time, we derive the regret bound that captures the impact of data-heterogeneity and the communication-efficient techniques. Through this, we efficiently optimize the parameters of OFedIQ such as sampling rate, transmission period, and quantization levels. Also, it is proved that the optimized OFedIQ can asymptotically achieve the performance of FedOGD while reducing the communication costs by 99%. Via experiments with real datasets, we demonstrate the effectiveness of the optimized OFedIQ.


A Survey of Advanced Computer Vision Techniques for Sports

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Computer Vision developments are enabling significant advances in many fields, including sports. Many applications built on top of Computer Vision technologies, such as tracking data, are nowadays essential for every top-level analyst, coach, and even player. In this paper, we survey Computer Vision techniques that can help many sports-related studies gather vast amounts of data, such as Object Detection and Pose Estimation. We provide a use case for such data: building a model for shot speed estimation with pose data obtained using only Computer Vision models. Our model achieves a correlation of 67%. The possibility of estimating shot speeds enables much deeper studies about enabling the creation of new metrics and recommendation systems that will help athletes improve their performance, in any sport. The proposed methodology is easily replicable for many technical movements and is only limited by the availability of video data.


Beyond ADMM: A Unified Client-variance-reduced Adaptive Federated Learning Framework

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

As a novel distributed learning paradigm, federated learning (FL) faces serious challenges in dealing with massive clients with heterogeneous data distribution and computation and communication resources. Various client-variance-reduction schemes and client sampling strategies have been respectively introduced to improve the robustness of FL. Among others, primal-dual algorithms such as the alternating direction of method multipliers (ADMM) have been found being resilient to data distribution and outperform most of the primal-only FL algorithms. However, the reason behind remains a mystery still. In this paper, we firstly reveal the fact that the federated ADMM is essentially a client-variance-reduced algorithm. While this explains the inherent robustness of federated ADMM, the vanilla version of it lacks the ability to be adaptive to the degree of client heterogeneity. Besides, the global model at the server under client sampling is biased which slows down the practical convergence. To go beyond ADMM, we propose a novel primal-dual FL algorithm, termed FedVRA, that allows one to adaptively control the variance-reduction level and biasness of the global model. In addition, FedVRA unifies several representative FL algorithms in the sense that they are either special instances of FedVRA or are close to it. Extensions of FedVRA to semi/un-supervised learning are also presented. Experiments based on (semi-)supervised image classification tasks demonstrate superiority of FedVRA over the existing schemes in learning scenarios with massive heterogeneous clients and client sampling.