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 Statistical Learning


Towards Understanding the Dynamics of Gaussian-Stein Variational Gradient Descent

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Stein Variational Gradient Descent (SVGD) is a nonparametric particle-based deterministic sampling algorithm. Despite its wide usage, understanding the theoretical properties of SVGD has remained a challenging problem. For sampling from a Gaussian target, the SVGD dynamics with a bilinear kernel will remain Gaussian as long as the initializer is Gaussian. Inspired by this fact, we undertake a detailed theoretical study of the Gaussian-SVGD, i.e., SVGD projected to the family of Gaussian distributions via the bilinear kernel, or equivalently Gaussian variational inference (GVI) with SVGD. We present a complete picture by considering both the mean-field PDE and discrete particle systems. When the target is strongly log-concave, the mean-field Gaussian-SVGD dynamics is proven to converge linearly to the Gaussian distribution closest to the target in KL divergence. In the finite-particle setting, there is both uniform in time convergence to the mean-field limit and linear convergence in time to the equilibrium if the target is Gaussian. In the general case, we propose a density-based and a particle-based implementation of the Gaussian-SVGD, and show that several recent algorithms for GVI, proposed from different perspectives, emerge as special cases of our unified framework. Interestingly, one of the new particle-based instance from this framework empirically outperforms existing approaches. Our results make concrete contributions towards obtaining a deeper understanding of both SVGD and GVI.


The noise level in linear regression with dependent data

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Ordinary least squares (OLS) regression from a finite sample is one of the most ubiquitous and widely used technique in machine learning. When faced with independent data, there are now sharp tools available to analyze its success optimally under relatively general assumptions. Indeed, a non-asymptotic theory matching the classical asymptotically optimal understanding from statistics [van der Vaart, 2000] has been developed over the last decade [Hsu et al., 2012, Oliveira, 2016, Mourtada, 2022]. However, once we relax the independence assumption and move toward data that exhibits correlations, the situation is much less well-understood--even for a problem as seemingly simple as linear regression. While sharp asymptotics are available through various limit theorems, there are no general results matching these in the finite sample regime. In this paper, we study the instance-specific performance of ordinary least squares in a setting with dependent data--and in contrast to much contemporary work on the theme--without imposing realizability.


Statistical Learning under Heterogeneous Distribution Shift

arXiv.org Machine Learning

This paper studies the prediction of a target $\mathbf{z}$ from a pair of random variables $(\mathbf{x},\mathbf{y})$, where the ground-truth predictor is additive $\mathbb{E}[\mathbf{z} \mid \mathbf{x},\mathbf{y}] = f_\star(\mathbf{x}) +g_{\star}(\mathbf{y})$. We study the performance of empirical risk minimization (ERM) over functions $f+g$, $f \in F$ and $g \in G$, fit on a given training distribution, but evaluated on a test distribution which exhibits covariate shift. We show that, when the class $F$ is "simpler" than $G$ (measured, e.g., in terms of its metric entropy), our predictor is more resilient to heterogeneous covariate shifts} in which the shift in $\mathbf{x}$ is much greater than that in $\mathbf{y}$. Our analysis proceeds by demonstrating that ERM behaves qualitatively similarly to orthogonal machine learning: the rate at which ERM recovers the $f$-component of the predictor has only a lower-order dependence on the complexity of the class $G$, adjusted for partial non-indentifiability introduced by the additive structure. These results rely on a novel H\"older style inequality for the Dudley integral which may be of independent interest. Moreover, we corroborate our theoretical findings with experiments demonstrating improved resilience to shifts in "simpler" features across numerous domains.


Distributional Learning of Variational AutoEncoder: Application to Synthetic Data Generation

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The Gaussianity assumption has been consistently criticized as a main limitation of the Variational Autoencoder (VAE) despite its efficiency in computational modeling. In this paper, we propose a new approach that expands the model capacity (i.e., expressive power of distributional family) without sacrificing the computational advantages of the VAE framework. Our VAE model's decoder is composed of an infinite mixture of asymmetric Laplace distribution, which possesses general distribution fitting capabilities for continuous variables. Our model is represented by a special form of a nonparametric M-estimator for estimating general quantile functions, and we theoretically establish the relevance between the proposed model and quantile estimation. We apply the proposed model to synthetic data generation, and particularly, our model demonstrates superiority in easily adjusting the level of data privacy.


ReSQueing Parallel and Private Stochastic Convex Optimization

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We introduce a new tool for stochastic convex optimization (SCO): a Reweighted Stochastic Query (ReSQue) estimator for the gradient of a function convolved with a (Gaussian) probability density. Combining ReSQue with recent advances in ball oracle acceleration [CJJJLST20, ACJJS21], we develop algorithms achieving state-of-the-art complexities for SCO in parallel and private settings. For a SCO objective constrained to the unit ball in $\mathbb{R}^d$, we obtain the following results (up to polylogarithmic factors). We give a parallel algorithm obtaining optimization error $\epsilon_{\text{opt}}$ with $d^{1/3}\epsilon_{\text{opt}}^{-2/3}$ gradient oracle query depth and $d^{1/3}\epsilon_{\text{opt}}^{-2/3} + \epsilon_{\text{opt}}^{-2}$ gradient queries in total, assuming access to a bounded-variance stochastic gradient estimator. For $\epsilon_{\text{opt}} \in [d^{-1}, d^{-1/4}]$, our algorithm matches the state-of-the-art oracle depth of [BJLLS19] while maintaining the optimal total work of stochastic gradient descent. Given $n$ samples of Lipschitz loss functions, prior works [BFTT19, BFGT20, AFKT21, KLL21] established that if $n \gtrsim d \epsilon_{\text{dp}}^{-2}$, $(\epsilon_{\text{dp}}, \delta)$-differential privacy is attained at no asymptotic cost to the SCO utility. However, these prior works all required a superlinear number of gradient queries. We close this gap for sufficiently large $n \gtrsim d^2 \epsilon_{\text{dp}}^{-3}$, by using ReSQue to design an algorithm with near-linear gradient query complexity in this regime.


Private Stochastic Optimization With Large Worst-Case Lipschitz Parameter: Optimal Rates for (Non-Smooth) Convex Losses and Extension to Non-Convex Losses

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We study differentially private (DP) stochastic optimization (SO) with loss functions whose worst-case Lipschitz parameter over all data points may be extremely large. To date, the vast majority of work on DP SO assumes that the loss is uniformly Lipschitz continuous over data (i.e. stochastic gradients are uniformly bounded over all data points). While this assumption is convenient, it often leads to pessimistic excess risk bounds. In many practical problems, the worst-case (uniform) Lipschitz parameter of the loss over all data points may be extremely large due to outliers. In such cases, the error bounds for DP SO, which scale with the worst-case Lipschitz parameter of the loss, are vacuous. To address these limitations, this work provides near-optimal excess risk bounds that do not depend on the uniform Lipschitz parameter of the loss. Building on a recent line of work (Wang et al., 2020; Kamath et al., 2022), we assume that stochastic gradients have bounded $k$-th order moments for some $k \geq 2$. Compared with works on uniformly Lipschitz DP SO, our excess risk scales with the $k$-th moment bound instead of the uniform Lipschitz parameter of the loss, allowing for significantly faster rates in the presence of outliers and/or heavy-tailed data. For convex and strongly convex loss functions, we provide the first asymptotically optimal excess risk bounds (up to a logarithmic factor). In contrast to (Wang et al., 2020; Kamath et al., 2022), our bounds do not require the loss function to be differentiable/smooth. We also devise a linear-time algorithm for smooth losses that has excess risk that is tight in certain practical parameter regimes. Additionally, our work is the first to address non-convex non-uniformly Lipschitz loss functions satisfying the Proximal-PL inequality; this covers some practical machine learning models. Our Proximal-PL algorithm has near-optimal excess risk.


Small Total-Cost Constraints in Contextual Bandits with Knapsacks, with Application to Fairness

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We consider contextual bandit problems with knapsacks [CBwK], a problem where at each round, a scalar reward is obtained and vector-valued costs are suffered. The learner aims to maximize the cumulative rewards while ensuring that the cumulative costs are lower than some predetermined cost constraints. We assume that contexts come from a continuous set, that costs can be signed, and that the expected reward and cost functions, while unknown, may be uniformly estimated -- a typical assumption in the literature. In this setting, total cost constraints had so far to be at least of order $T^{3/4}$, where $T$ is the number of rounds, and were even typically assumed to depend linearly on $T$. We are however motivated to use CBwK to impose a fairness constraint of equalized average costs between groups: the budget associated with the corresponding cost constraints should be as close as possible to the natural deviations, of order $\sqrt{T}$. To that end, we introduce a dual strategy based on projected-gradient-descent updates, that is able to deal with total-cost constraints of the order of $\sqrt{T}$ up to poly-logarithmic terms. This strategy is more direct and simpler than existing strategies in the literature. It relies on a careful, adaptive, tuning of the step size.


SpatialRank: Urban Event Ranking with NDCG Optimization on Spatiotemporal Data

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The problem of urban event ranking aims at predicting the top-k most risky locations of future events such as traffic accidents and crimes. This problem is of fundamental importance to public safety and urban administration especially when limited resources are available. The problem is, however, challenging due to complex and dynamic spatio-temporal correlations between locations, uneven distribution of urban events in space, and the difficulty to correctly rank nearby locations with similar features. Prior works on event forecasting mostly aim at accurately predicting the actual risk score or counts of events for all the locations. Rankings obtained as such usually have low quality due to prediction errors. Learning-to-rank methods directly optimize measures such as Normalized Discounted Cumulative Gain (NDCG), but cannot handle the spatiotemporal autocorrelation existing among locations. In this paper, we bridge the gap by proposing a novel spatial event ranking approach named SpatialRank. SpatialRank features adaptive graph convolution layers that dynamically learn the spatiotemporal dependencies across locations from data. In addition, the model optimizes through surrogates a hybrid NDCG loss with a spatial component to better rank neighboring spatial locations. We design an importance-sampling with a spatial filtering algorithm to effectively evaluate the loss during training. Comprehensive experiments on three real-world datasets demonstrate that SpatialRank can effectively identify the top riskiest locations of crimes and traffic accidents and outperform state-of-art methods in terms of NDCG by up to 12.7%.


CoFiI2P: Coarse-to-Fine Correspondences for Image-to-Point Cloud Registration

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Image-to-point cloud (I2P) registration is a fundamental task in the field of autonomous vehicles and transportation systems for cross-modality data fusion and localization. Existing I2P registration methods estimate correspondences at the point/pixel level, often overlooking global alignment. However, I2P matching can easily converge to a local optimum when performed without high-level guidance from global constraints. To address this issue, this paper introduces CoFiI2P, a novel I2P registration network that extracts correspondences in a coarse-to-fine manner to achieve the globally optimal solution. First, the image and point cloud data are processed through a Siamese encoder-decoder network for hierarchical feature extraction. Second, a coarse-to-fine matching module is designed to leverage these features and establish robust feature correspondences. Specifically, In the coarse matching phase, a novel I2P transformer module is employed to capture both homogeneous and heterogeneous global information from the image and point cloud data. This enables the estimation of coarse super-point/super-pixel matching pairs with discriminative descriptors. In the fine matching module, point/pixel pairs are established with the guidance of super-point/super-pixel correspondences. Finally, based on matching pairs, the transform matrix is estimated with the EPnP-RANSAC algorithm. Extensive experiments conducted on the KITTI dataset demonstrate that CoFiI2P achieves impressive results, with a relative rotation error (RRE) of 1.14 degrees and a relative translation error (RTE) of 0.29 meters. These results represent a significant improvement of 84\% in RRE and 89\% in RTE compared to the current state-of-the-art (SOTA) method. Qualitative results are available at https://youtu.be/ovbedasXuZE. The source code will be publicly released at https://github.com/kang-1-2-3/CoFiI2P.


Identifying Reasons for Bias: An Argumentation-Based Approach

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

As algorithmic decision-making systems become more prevalent in society, ensuring the fairness of these systems is becoming increasingly important. Whilst there has been substantial research in building fair algorithmic decision-making systems, the majority of these methods require access to the training data, including personal characteristics, and are not transparent regarding which individuals are classified unfairly. In this paper, we propose a novel model-agnostic argumentation-based method to determine why an individual is classified differently in comparison to similar individuals. Our method uses a quantitative argumentation framework to represent attribute-value pairs of an individual and of those similar to them, and uses a well-known semantics to identify the attribute-value pairs in the individual contributing most to their different classification. We evaluate our method on two datasets commonly used in the fairness literature and illustrate its effectiveness in the identification of bias.