Statistical Learning
Large Pre-trained time series models for cross-domain Time series analysis tasks
Kamarthi, Harshavardhan, Prakash, B. Aditya
Large pre-trained models have been instrumental in significant advancements in domains like language and vision making model training for individual downstream tasks more efficient as well as provide superior performance. However, tackling time-series analysis tasks usually involves designing and training a separate model from scratch leveraging training data and domain expertise specific to the task. We tackle a significant challenge for pre-training a general time-series model from multiple heterogeneous time-series dataset: providing semantically useful inputs to models for modeling time series of different dynamics from different domains. We observe that partitioning time-series into segments as inputs to sequential models produces semantically better inputs and propose a novel model LPTM that automatically identifies optimal dataset-specific segmentation strategy leveraging self-supervised learning loss during pre-training. LPTM provides performance similar to or better than domain-specific state-of-art model and is significantly more data and compute efficient taking up to 40% less data as well as 50% less training time to achieve state-of-art performance in a wide range of time-series analysis tasks from multiple disparate domains. Time-series analysis tasks involve important well-studied problems involving time-series datasets such as forecasting (Hyndman & Athanasopoulos, 2018) and classification (Chowdhury et al., 2022) with applications in wide-ranging domains such as retail, meteorology, economics, and health. Recent works (Chen et al., 2021; Wang et al., 2022; Zeng et al., 2023) have shown the efficacy of purely data-driven deep learning models in learning complex domain-specific properties of the time series over traditional statistic and mechanistic models across many domains. However, coming up with a model for a specific application or time-series analysis task is usually non-trivial.
Coverage-Validity-Aware Algorithmic Recourse
Bui, Ngoc, Nguyen, Duy, Yue, Man-Chung, Nguyen, Viet Anh
Algorithmic recourse emerges as a prominent technique to promote the explainability, transparency and hence ethics of machine learning models. Existing algorithmic recourse approaches often assume an invariant predictive model; however, the predictive model is usually updated upon the arrival of new data. Thus, a recourse that is valid respective to the present model may become invalid for the future model. To resolve this issue, we propose a novel framework to generate a model-agnostic recourse that exhibits robustness to model shifts. Our framework first builds a coverage-validity-aware linear surrogate of the nonlinear (black-box) model; then, the recourse is generated with respect to the linear surrogate. We establish a theoretical connection between our coverage-validity-aware linear surrogate and the minimax probability machines (MPM). We then prove that by prescribing different covariance robustness, the proposed framework recovers popular regularizations for MPM, including the $\ell_2$-regularization and class-reweighting. Furthermore, we show that our surrogate pushes the approximate hyperplane intuitively, facilitating not only robust but also interpretable recourses. The numerical results demonstrate the usefulness and robustness of our framework.
On the Communication Complexity of Decentralized Bilevel Optimization
Zhang, Yihan, Thai, My T., Wu, Jie, Gao, Hongchang
Decentralized bilevel optimization has been actively studied in the past few years since it has widespread applications in machine learning. However, existing algorithms suffer from large communication complexity caused by the estimation of stochastic hypergradient, limiting their application to real-world tasks. To address this issue, we develop a novel decentralized stochastic bilevel gradient descent algorithm under the heterogeneous setting, which enjoys a small communication cost in each round and small communication rounds. As such, it can achieve a much better communication complexity than existing algorithms. Moreover, we extend our algorithm to the more challenging decentralized multi-level optimization. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first time achieving these theoretical results under the heterogeneous setting. At last, the experimental results confirm the efficacy of our algorithm.
Self-Distilled Representation Learning for Time Series
Pieper, Felix, Ditschuneit, Konstantin, Genzel, Martin, Lindt, Alexandra, Otterbach, Johannes
Self-supervised learning for time-series data holds potential similar to that recently unleashed in Natural Language Processing and Computer Vision. While most existing works in this area focus on contrastive learning, we propose a conceptually simple yet powerful non-contrastive approach, based on the data2vec self-distillation framework. The core of our method is a student-teacher scheme that predicts the latent representation of an input time series from masked views of the same time series. This strategy avoids strong modality-specific assumptions and biases typically introduced by the design of contrastive sample pairs. We demonstrate the competitiveness of our approach for classification and forecasting as downstream tasks, comparing with state-of-the-art self-supervised learning methods on the UCR and UEA archives as well as the ETT and Electricity datasets.
TimeSQL: Improving Multivariate Time Series Forecasting with Multi-Scale Patching and Smooth Quadratic Loss
Mo, Site, Wang, Haoxin, Li, Bixiong, Fan, Songhai, Wu, Yuankai, Liu, Xianggen
Time series is a special type of sequence data, a sequence of real-valued random variables collected at even intervals of time. The real-world multivariate time series comes with noises and contains complicated local and global temporal dynamics, making it difficult to forecast the future time series given the historical observations. This work proposes a simple and effective framework, coined as TimeSQL, which leverages multi-scale patching and smooth quadratic loss (SQL) to tackle the above challenges. The multi-scale patching transforms the time series into two-dimensional patches with different length scales, facilitating the perception of both locality and long-term correlations in time series. SQL is derived from the rational quadratic kernel and can dynamically adjust the gradients to avoid overfitting to the noises and outliers. Theoretical analysis demonstrates that, under mild conditions, the effect of the noises on the model with SQL is always smaller than that with MSE. Based on the two modules, TimeSQL achieves new state-of-the-art performance on the eight real-world benchmark datasets. Further ablation studies indicate that the key modules in TimeSQL could also enhance the results of other models for multivariate time series forecasting, standing as plug-and-play techniques.
Tensor networks for interpretable and efficient quantum-inspired machine learning
It is a critical challenge to simultaneously gain high interpretability and efficiency with the current schemes of deep machine learning (ML). Tensor network (TN), which is a well-established mathematical tool originating from quantum mechanics, has shown its unique advantages on developing efficient ``white-box'' ML schemes. Here, we give a brief review on the inspiring progresses made in TN-based ML. On one hand, interpretability of TN ML is accommodated with the solid theoretical foundation based on quantum information and many-body physics. On the other hand, high efficiency can be rendered from the powerful TN representations and the advanced computational techniques developed in quantum many-body physics. With the fast development on quantum computers, TN is expected to conceive novel schemes runnable on quantum hardware, heading towards the ``quantum artificial intelligence'' in the forthcoming future.
Symmetry-preserving graph attention network to solve routing problems at multiple resolutions
Tran, Cong Dao, Bach, Thong, Hy, Truong Son
Travelling Salesperson Problems (TSPs) and Vehicle Routing Problems (VRPs) have achieved reasonable improvement in accuracy and computation time with the adaptation of Machine Learning (ML) methods. However, none of the previous works completely respects the symmetries arising from TSPs and VRPs including rotation, translation, permutation, and scaling. In this work, we introduce the first-ever completely equivariant model and training to solve combinatorial problems. Furthermore, it is essential to capture the multiscale structure (i.e. from local to global information) of the input graph, especially for the cases of large and long-range graphs, while previous methods are limited to extracting only local information that can lead to a local or sub-optimal solution. To tackle the above limitation, we propose a Multiresolution scheme in combination with Equivariant Graph Attention network (mEGAT) architecture, which can learn the optimal route based on low-level and high-level graph resolutions in an efficient way. In particular, our approach constructs a hierarchy of coarse-graining graphs from the input graph, in which we try to solve the routing problems on simple low-level graphs first, then utilize that knowledge for the more complex high-level graphs. Experimentally, we have shown that our model outperforms existing baselines and proved that symmetry preservation and multiresolution are important recipes for solving combinatorial problems in a data-driven manner. Our source code is publicly available at https://github.com/HySonLab/Multires-NP-hard
FedMFS: Federated Multimodal Fusion Learning with Selective Modality Communication
Yuan, Liangqi, Han, Dong-Jun, Chellapandi, Vishnu Pandi, Żak, Stanislaw H., Brinton, Christopher G.
Multimodal federated learning (FL) aims to enrich model training in FL settings where devices are collecting measurements across multiple modalities (e.g., sensors measuring pressure, motion, and other types of data). However, key challenges to multimodal FL remain unaddressed, particularly in heterogeneous network settings: (i) the set of modalities collected by each device will be diverse, and (ii) communication limitations prevent devices from uploading all their locally trained modality models to the server. In this paper, we propose Federated Multimodal Fusion learning with Selective modality communication (FedMFS), a new multimodal fusion FL methodology that can tackle the above mentioned challenges. The key idea is the introduction of a modality selection criterion for each device, which weighs (i) the impact of the modality, gauged by Shapley value analysis, against (ii) the modality model size as a gauge for communication overhead. This enables FedMFS to flexibly balance performance against communication costs, depending on resource constraints and application requirements. Experiments on the real-world ActionSense dataset demonstrate the ability of FedMFS to achieve comparable accuracy to several baselines while reducing the communication overhead by over 4x.
Several fitness functions and entanglement gates in quantum kernel generation
Quantum machine learning (QML) represents a promising frontier in the quantum technologies. In this pursuit of quantum advantage, the quantum kernel method for support vector machine has emerged as a powerful approach. Entanglement, a fundamental concept in quantum mechanics, assumes a central role in quantum computing. In this paper, we investigate the optimal number of entanglement gates in the quantum kernel feature maps by a multi-objective genetic algorithm. We distinct the fitness functions of genetic algorithm for non-local gates for entanglement and local gates to gain insights into the benefits of employing entanglement gates. Our experiments reveal that the optimal configuration of quantum circuits for the quantum kernel method incorporates a proportional number of non-local gates for entanglement. The result complements the prior literature on quantum kernel generation where non-local gates were largely suppressed. Furthermore, we demonstrate that the separability indexes of data can be leveraged to estimate the number of non-local gates required for the quantum support vector machine's feature maps. This insight can be helpful in selecting appropriate parameters, such as the entanglement parameter, in various quantum programming packages like https://qiskit.org/ based on data analysis. Our findings offer valuable guidance for enhancing the efficiency and accuracy of quantum machine learning algorithms.
Learning to Initialize: Can Meta Learning Improve Cross-task Generalization in Prompt Tuning?
Qin, Chengwei, Li, Qian, Zhao, Ruochen, Joty, Shafiq
Prompt tuning (PT) which only tunes the embeddings of an additional sequence of tokens per task, keeping the pre-trained language model (PLM) frozen, has shown remarkable performance in few-shot learning. Despite this, PT has been shown to rely heavily on good initialization of the prompt embeddings. In this work, we study meta prompt tuning (MPT) to systematically explore how meta-learning can help improve (if it can) cross-task generalization in PT through learning to initialize the prompt embeddings from other relevant tasks. We empirically analyze a representative set of meta learning algorithms in a wide range of adaptation settings with different source/target task configurations on a large set of few-shot tasks. With extensive experiments and analysis, we demonstrate the effectiveness of MPT. We find the improvement to be significant particularly on classification tasks. For other kinds of tasks such as question answering, we observe that while MPT can outperform PT in most cases, it does not always outperform multi-task learning. We further provide an in-depth analysis from the perspective of task similarity.