How many different binary classification problems a single learning algorithm can solve on a fixed data with exactly zero or at most a given number of cross-validation errors? While the number in the former case is known to be limited by the no-free-lunch theorem, we show that the exact answers are given by the theory of error detecting codes. As a case study, we focus on the AUC performance measure and leave-pair-out cross-validation (LPOCV), in which every possible pair of data with different class labels is held out at a time. We show that the maximal number of classification problems with fixed class proportion, for which a learning algorithm can achieve zero LPOCV error, equals the maximal number of code words in a constant weight code (CWC), with certain technical properties. We then generalize CWCs by introducing light CWCs, and prove an analogous result for nonzero LPOCV errors and light CWCs. Moreover, we prove both upper and lower bounds on the maximal numbers of code words in light CWCs. Finally, as an immediate practical application, we develop new LPOCV based randomization tests for learning algorithms that generalize the classical Wilcoxon-Mann-Whitney U test.

Computationally efficient surrogates for parametrized physical models play a crucial role in science and engineering. Operator learning provides data-driven surrogates that map between function spaces. However, instead of full-field measurements, often the available data are only finite-dimensional parametrizations of model inputs or finite observables of model outputs. Building off of Fourier Neural Operators, this paper introduces the Fourier Neural Mappings (FNMs) framework that is able to accommodate such finite-dimensional inputs and outputs. The paper develops universal approximation theorems for the method. Moreover, in many applications the underlying parameter-to-observable (PtO) map is defined implicitly through an infinite-dimensional operator, such as the solution operator of a partial differential equation. A natural question is whether it is more data-efficient to learn the PtO map end-to-end or first learn the solution operator and subsequently compute the observable from the full-field solution. A theoretical analysis of Bayesian nonparametric regression of linear functionals, which is of independent interest, suggests that the end-to-end approach can actually have worse sample complexity. Extending beyond the theory, numerical results for the FNM approximation of three nonlinear PtO maps demonstrate the benefits of the operator learning perspective that this paper adopts.

This study investigates the integration of machine learning (ML) and data assimilation (DA) techniques, focusing on implementing surrogate models for Geological Carbon Storage (GCS) projects while maintaining high fidelity physical results in posterior states. Initially, we evaluate the surrogate modeling capability of two distinct machine learning models, Fourier Neural Operators (FNOs) and Transformer UNet (T-UNet), in the context of CO$_2$ injection simulations within channelized reservoirs. We introduce the Surrogate-based hybrid ESMDA (SH-ESMDA), an adaptation of the traditional Ensemble Smoother with Multiple Data Assimilation (ESMDA). This method uses FNOs and T-UNet as surrogate models and has the potential to make the standard ESMDA process at least 50% faster or more, depending on the number of assimilation steps. Additionally, we introduce Surrogate-based Hybrid RML (SH-RML), a variational data assimilation approach that relies on the randomized maximum likelihood (RML) where both the FNO and the T-UNet enable the computation of gradients for the optimization of the objective function, and a high-fidelity model is employed for the computation of the posterior states. Our comparative analyses show that SH-RML offers better uncertainty quantification compared to conventional ESMDA for the case study.

Efficiently generating statistically independent samples from an unnormalized probability distribution, such as equilibrium samples of many-body systems, is a foundational problem in science. In this paper, we propose Iterated Denoising Energy Matching (iDEM), an iterative algorithm that uses a novel stochastic score matching objective leveraging solely the energy function and its gradient -- and no data samples -- to train a diffusion-based sampler. Specifically, iDEM alternates between (I) sampling regions of high model density from a diffusion-based sampler and (II) using these samples in our stochastic matching objective to further improve the sampler. iDEM is scalable to high dimensions as the inner matching objective, is simulation-free, and requires no MCMC samples. Moreover, by leveraging the fast mode mixing behavior of diffusion, iDEM smooths out the energy landscape enabling efficient exploration and learning of an amortized sampler. We evaluate iDEM on a suite of tasks ranging from standard synthetic energy functions to invariant $n$-body particle systems. We show that the proposed approach achieves state-of-the-art performance on all metrics and trains $2-5\times$ faster, which allows it to be the first method to train using energy on the challenging $55$-particle Lennard-Jones system.

The cellular network plays a pivotal role in providing Internet access, since it is the only global-scale infrastructure with ubiquitous mobility support. To manage and maintain large-scale networks, mobile network operators require timely information, or even accurate performance forecasts. In this paper, we propose LightningNet, a lightweight and distributed graph-based framework for forecasting cellular network performance, which can capture spatio-temporal dependencies that arise in the network traffic. LightningNet achieves a steady performance increase over state-of-the-art forecasting techniques, while maintaining a similar resource usage profile. Our architecture ideology also excels in the respect that it is specifically designed to support IoT and edge devices, giving us an even greater step ahead of the current state-of-the-art, as indicated by our performance experiments with NVIDIA Jetson.

This paper presents an extensive study on the application of AI techniques for software effort estimation in the past five years from 2017 to 2023. By overcoming the limitations of traditional methods, the study aims to improve accuracy and reliability. Through performance evaluation and comparison with diverse Machine Learning models, including Artificial Neural Network (ANN), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Linear Regression, Random Forest and other techniques, the most effective method is identified. The proposed AI-based framework holds the potential to enhance project planning and resource allocation, contributing to the research area of software project effort estimation.

Several methods have been proposed for correcting the elevation bias in digital elevation models (DEMs) for example, linear regression. Nowadays, supervised machine learning enables the modelling of complex relationships between variables, and has been deployed by researchers in a variety of fields. In the existing literature, several studies have adopted either machine learning or statistical approaches in the task of DEM correction. However, to our knowledge, none of these studies have compared the performance of both approaches, especially with regard to open-access global DEMs. Our previous work has already shown the potential of machine learning approaches, specifically gradient boosted decision trees (GBDTs) for DEM correction. In this study, we share some results from the comparison of three recent implementations of gradient boosted decision trees (XGBoost, LightGBM and CatBoost), versus multiple linear regression (MLR) for enhancing the vertical accuracy of 30 m Copernicus and AW3D global DEMs in Cape Town, South Africa.

In this work, we propose to tackle the problem of domain generalization in the context of \textit{insufficient samples}. Instead of extracting latent feature embeddings based on deterministic models, we propose to learn a domain-invariant representation based on the probabilistic framework by mapping each data point into probabilistic embeddings. Specifically, we first extend empirical maximum mean discrepancy (MMD) to a novel probabilistic MMD that can measure the discrepancy between mixture distributions (i.e., source domains) consisting of a series of latent distributions rather than latent points. Moreover, instead of imposing the contrastive semantic alignment (CSA) loss based on pairs of latent points, a novel probabilistic CSA loss encourages positive probabilistic embedding pairs to be closer while pulling other negative ones apart. Benefiting from the learned representation captured by probabilistic models, our proposed method can marriage the measurement on the \textit{distribution over distributions} (i.e., the global perspective alignment) and the distribution-based contrastive semantic alignment (i.e., the local perspective alignment). Extensive experimental results on three challenging medical datasets show the effectiveness of our proposed method in the context of insufficient data compared with state-of-the-art methods.

Dataset Condensation (DC) refers to the recent class of dataset compression methods that generate a smaller, synthetic, dataset from a larger dataset. This synthetic dataset retains the essential information of the original dataset, enabling models trained on it to achieve performance levels comparable to those trained on the full dataset. Most current DC methods have mainly concerned with achieving high test performance with limited data budget, and have not directly addressed the question of adversarial robustness. In this work, we investigate the impact of adversarial robustness on models trained with compressed datasets. We show that the compressed datasets obtained from DC methods are not effective in transferring adversarial robustness to models. As a solution to improve dataset compression efficiency and adversarial robustness simultaneously, we propose a novel robustness-aware dataset compression method based on finding the Minimal Finite Covering (MFC) of the dataset. The proposed method is (1) obtained by one-time computation and is applicable for any model, (2) more effective than DC methods when applying adversarial training over MFC, (3) provably robust by minimizing the generalized adversarial loss. Additionally, empirical evaluation on three datasets shows that the proposed method is able to achieve better robustness and performance trade-off compared to DC methods such as distribution matching.

We present an active learning algorithm for the problem of body schema learning, i.e. estimating a kinematic model of a serial robot. The learning process is done online using Recursive Least Squares (RLS) estimation, which outperforms gradient methods usually applied in the literature. In addiction, the method provides the required information to apply an active learning algorithm to find the optimal set of robot configurations and observations to improve the learning process. By selecting the most informative observations, the proposed method minimizes the required amount of data. We have developed an efficient version of the active learning algorithm to select the points in real-time. The algorithms have been tested and compared using both simulated environments and a real humanoid robot.